The Fed may hold in October, but December pricing tells a more hawkish story.
This CME FedWatch snapshot puts the probability of rates being higher by December at 86.9%.
That’s a strong market expectation, not a certainty. Further inflation and employment data can still change the picture.
For #BTC and #Crypto, the risk of tighter policy remains firmly in focus.

Bitcoin ETF average cost is 81,500, old money support level 😄
This website is pretty good, sharing it here:

Some coins appear once and vanish. $WAL keeps coming back to Gate’s Gainers list, eighth today.
When the same name keeps appearing, I stop asking “what happened?” and start asking “who keeps coming back?”
Staying power is hard to fake. A one-day story fades. A real reason tends to build over days and weeks.
But I haven’t confirmed the reason yet, and I haven’t checked whether new coins are about to be released into the market. Those two answers matter a lot.
When a coin keeps showing up, do you see strength or just habit?
‍#GateSquare
‍#ShareWeekly
‍#WCTCS9

Those who received the Surf NFT airdrop can sell it without opening the pack, then buy opened ones on the public market—the price difference is huge, so this seems more worthwhile. (Of course, this is for those planning to hold the NFT long term; I just opened mine at a loss 😂.)

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#Subfrost The app already displays USDC/USDT on networks including ETH, BASE, BSC, and POL, which can be directly exchanged for Bitcoin and tokens from the various ecosystems of the Alkanes protocol on the #Alkanes protocol!
According to on-chain data and the Subfrost app on Apple devices, the SOL, XRP, and ADA networks are also already onboard and will be supported soon!
This is an important step toward enabling major crypto assets to be directly swapped into BTC on BTC L1. BTCFi is happening!

🚨 Probability of a Fed rate hike in October surges to 50%
From 20% to 50%, while the 2-year US Treasury yield also jumped sharply.
September CPI coming in at or below forecasts may not necessarily boost the market. Conversely, if inflation is hotter than expected, the market may have to reprice the possibility of a Fed rate hike, pushing bond yields higher.

#ETH is less clear-cut, with both an impulsive decline and an ABC correction still in play.
Price is making a lower low while RSI makes a higher low but developing bullish divergence supports a potential rebound.
My tentative preference is the corrective interpretation, aligning with my #BTC outlook. But a bounce alone won’t settle the count: it could also be wave 4 before another leg lower.
Confirmation matters.

$MOONSHOT /USDT Perp – "Consolidation – Short"
​Trading Plan Short: MOONSHOT
​Entry: 65.00
​SL: 66.75
​TP1: 65.31
​TP2: 65.00
MOONSHOT is down -2.62% following a tight range rejection near the 66.75 high, targeting a continuation down toward the 65.00 floor.
#ShareWeekly #USSeptemberPPIReleased

$sndk SanDisk is showing bullish divergence on the 4-hour chart. Combined with MACD and RSI, it currently has the conditions for a rebound. Is this really a reversal? 😭

$ARGUS /USDT Perp – "Correction/Consolidation – Short"
​Trading Plan Short: ARGUS
​Entry: 0.00801
​SL: 0.00958
​TP1: 0.00711
​TP2: 0.00582
​Analysis: ARGUS pulled back from the 0.00958 high and is stabilizing around 0.00801 with fading volume, indicating a continuation of the corrective leg down toward the 0.00582 low.

Planned: 2,000, and 1/10 has now been completed. Keep dollar-cost averaging and holding, and wait for the next major bull market. Looking forward to the breakout. Stay away from futures. Keep it up, keep it up, keep it up! #GT

BTC's daily chart is overall in a weak correction, with the Bollinger middle band at 83663.8 acting as key resistance; bearish momentum has not yet been exhausted. The 4-hour chart is deeply oversold, so there may be a short-term rebound for recovery, but the rebound is not a trend reversal.
Going forward, wait for the rebound to meet resistance before entering short positions; do not chase the decline.
Short around 82300 on the rebound 🈳, add at 82800, with downside targets at 81000 and 79000
ETH can be shorted around 2400 🈳, add at 2430, with downside targets at 2330 and 2250

Bitcoin is fluctuating around $81,000–$82,000 after U.S. inflation data came in higher than expected.
The market is showing that crypto is still tied to Federal Reserve decisions and monetary policy.
The important question: Are you a long-term investor or a short-term trader? The difference is huge when navigating days like these.
#Bitcoin #Crypto #BTC

$ETH Low prices are a good opportunity to enter. Position yourself in advance and build positions in batches to reduce investment risk. The AI futures grid bot strategy splits funds into multiple portions and buys and sells in layers at different price levels. Compared with investing all at once, it can effectively diversify risk and is especially suitable for volatile emerging assets such as cryptocurrencies. .#美国9月CPI超预期 #BTC跌破8.2万 $

Low East Coast diesel stocks may delay inflation relief for Bitcoin investors
EIA expects East Coast fuel inventories to stay 20–30% below their seasonal average this winter, keeping freight and heating costs in focus.
Quick Take
⚠️ Personal market analysis only. NFA — manage risk and DYOR.
Educational content, not investment advice or a recommendation to buy, sell, deposit, or withdraw any asset. No paid promotion or referral/affiliate links.

The Wall Street Journal just broke: During the period when Bo Hines served as a crypto adviser at the White House and pushed the stablecoin bill (the GENIUS Act), Nxum, a consulting firm in which he held a stake, received more than $6 million from Tether, which was split among three partners. The bill was signed in July 2025, he left in August, and in September he became CEO of Tether’s U.S. operations.
I cast his chart (August 29, 1995, Charlotte, U.S.; time unknown, so using only the three pillars): Yi Hai, Jia Shen, Ren Chen. His Ren Water day master is currently in the Xin Si major luck cy

#BTCBreaksBelow82K
BTC BELOW $82,000: WILL $81K HOLD OR WILL BITCOIN FALL TOWARD $80K? 📉
Bitcoin’s next move could decide whether this correction becomes a buying opportunity or develops into another leg lower. My view is simple: I am not buying just because BTC has fallen. I want to see buyers defend support, selling pressure weaken, and price reclaim important levels first.
The September US CPI report has added another challenge for risk assets. Bitcoin is trading around $81,000–$82,000, while traders are watching whether the market can stabilise after the breakdown below $82,000.
1. WHY D