- Prediction markets are entering the mainstream cycle: Monthly notional trading volume in prediction markets has exceeded $20bn for four consecutive months in 2026, with April approaching the historical high of nearly $30bn.
- User trading behavior is evolving: Markets are shifting from trading asset price volatility toward directly trading event outcomes and future probabilities, making prediction markets a more efficient information-pricing mechanism.
- Traditional finance is accelerating its expansion: ICE has invested a cumulative $1.6bn into Polymarket, while Cboe and Nasdaq have launched event-related products, further integrating prediction markets into the mainstream derivatives landscape.
- Gate has become one of Polymarket’s Top 3 distribution channels: Leveraging 53 million global users, USDT funding rails, and a mature CEX trading ecosystem, Gate has emerged as one of Polymarket’s key sources of incremental trading flow.
- Gate is building a CEX-native event trading experience: Through an in-account delegated execution model similar to Gate Alpha, Gate abstracts away the complexities of wallets, gas fees, bridging, and on-chain interaction, significantly lowering the barrier to entry for prediction markets.
- The product framework is evolving toward “Spot + Futures + Event Trading”: Prediction markets are increasingly integrated with spot, futures, and TradFi scenarios, enhancing both platform information density and trading connectivity.
- Gate is evolving into an event trading workstation: The platform continues strengthening event discovery, trending recommendations, position management, leaderboards, driving prediction markets from a standalone trading entry point toward a full strategy ecosystem.
The report concludes that as traditional financial institutions and major trading platforms continue entering the sector, event trading is poised to become a critical bridge between Crypto and the real world. The integration between Gate and Polymarket is creating a mutually reinforcing structure across users, liquidity, event markets, and probability pricing.
Discover more details today → Gate Research: Prediction Markets Enter the Mainstream, Gate Becomes a Top 3 Trading Distribution Channel
Gate Research is a comprehensive blockchain and cryptocurrency research platform that provides deep content for readers, including technical analysis, market insights, industry research, trend forecasting, and macroeconomic policy analysis.
Disclaimer
Investing in cryptocurrency markets involves high risk. Users are advised to conduct their own research and fully understand the nature of the assets and products before making any investment decisions. Gate is not responsible for any losses or damages arising from such decisions.
Gate Team
May 13, 2026
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