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Will Tonight’s CPI Rewrite September Rate-Hike Pricing?
Last Friday, the moment the nonfarm payrolls data came out—
-23k.
You didn’t misread that: U.S. July nonfarm employment turned negative.
The market expected an increase of 80k, but the result went straight into negative territory. May and June data were also revised down by a combined 103k.
At the time, everyone thought: Rate hikes are over! September is a lock!
And then?
Two days later, Federal Reserve officials collectively turned hawkish. Chicago Fed President Goolsbee said directly: “The biggest problem facing the U.S. economy right n

【$VELVET Signal】Longs retesting for confirmation, with funds supporting the downside before a potential rise
$VELVET RSI_1H 55.15, MACD histogram narrowing to -0.0093, order book bid depth ratio at 0.87, with the current price 0.6139 consolidating at the highs.
After the 4H MACD golden cross, the histogram stands at 0.0198. Bullish momentum remains but has declined in volume. The 1H candles have shown consecutive small bodies, with volume dropping from 20.73 million to 5.59 million as longs temporarily take a breather. The 1H Bollinger middle band is 0.6206 and the upper band is 0.7812, with

BTC and ETH have finally shown some volatility.
Although the market structure has changed somewhat, it is still too early to call it a valid breakout or breakdown, and prices have yet to escape the original range-bound box.
Tonight, focus on the CPI data. Volatility is expected to expand after the data is released, with liquidity being released accordingly.
Intraday strategy: wait for entry signals at the edges of the range; do not participate at mid-range prices. Prioritize stability.
Go long on a BTC pullback to 62,500–62,000, targeting 64,000–64,500.
Go long on an ETH pullback to 1,830–1,80

8.12 Market Analysis
Bitcoin Silk Road reference setup
Entry range: around 64200–64700, Kong
Zhishun: above 65100
First target: 63200; second target: 62500
After probing down to 632 last night, the market only saw a weak, slight rebound. The 4-hour Bollinger Bands are opening downward, and the MACD death cross clearly indicates a bearish trend. KDJ has entered the oversold zone and may see a slight rebound. There may be a short-term recovery, but the overall direction is bearish. Do not chase shorts; wait for a rebound before entering.
Choosing the right direction is the key to making pr

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August 12 Market Update: BTC Retests the 63.7K Key Support Zone as Bulls and Bears Clash Intensifies Ahead of CPI Inflation Data】
📊 Key Data Today:
• BTC Spot Price: ~$63,700 – $63,850 (pulled back after repeatedly failing to break through the $65,000–$65,400 resistance, remaining range-bound intraday)
• Macro Outlook: Market focus has fully shifted to the U.S. July CPI (Consumer Price Index) data due to be released this week. The rebound in crude oil prices triggered by geopolitical tensions has also caused marginal disruptions to inflation expectations, with market funds generally turning c

$TUT Classic two wicks—don't fantasize.

【$BTC Signal】Short + 1H rebound meets resistance
$BTC 4H MACD histogram -125.9 narrowing, 1H MACD histogram +36.3 expanding, while price remains below EMA50. Buy-side depth ratio 6.01, with thick bids below; the rebound met resistance at the 1H Bollinger upper band at 64436, and short-term momentum is weakening.
🎯Direction: short
⚡Entry/Limit order: 63672.606 - 63823.200
🛑Stop-loss: 64461.432
🚀Target 1: 62865.852
🚀Target 2: 62387.178
🛡️Trade management:
- Execution strategy: Reduce the position by 50% after reaching Target 1, and move the stop-loss up to breakeven. If the price falls back

Good morning this Wednesday, friends! 🌻
A dream is like a seed waiting to bloom. Before it breaks through the soil, no one knows whether it will wither away in silence or burst into dazzling bloom. We may still lack strength, or may not yet have achieved what we seek, but we must never lose our direction or ambition.
This is even more true of investing. Every step must be calculated, and every trade must have its logic. Speculation without a plan is nothing more than blindly running around like a headless fly, only to be swallowed by the market's torrent in the end. What Brother Liang shares

8.12 SOL Analysis
Analysis: Short around 76.8–77.5 on the rebound, with defense at 78.0. First target: 75.3; second target: 74.6.
On the SOL 1H timeframe, the previous high of 77.88 formed clear resistance. The price retreated after pushing higher, dipped to a low of 74.57, and then began a corrective rebound. The current price is around 76.52. The resistance zone above the moving averages is clear, with 76.8–77.5 being a previous dense trading and trapped-holder zone where selling pressure is concentrated. The rebound from the low is a technical correction following the decline. The bulls lac

Price has reached around 4393, and the short position we entered has secured at least 60 points. At this stage, you can choose to take profits.
The short-term trading range is 4380–4400. If it holds above 4400, the bullish trend will continue.
The medium- to long-term trading range is 4350–4450.
I will continue sharing highly accurate trading signals.
$BTC $ETH $XAU

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Bitcoin is broadly exhibiting a volatile downward trend, coming under pressure and retreating from the high around 64495 early this morning. During the volatile decline, it successively broke through key short-term support levels, reaching a low around 63234, with the current price at 63821. Ethereum is highly correlated with Bitcoin's movement, likewise beginning a downward trend from the high of 1905 and gradually retreating to around the low of 1852, displaying a steady following decline throughout, with a pronounced market linkage effect.

On the daily chart, the downward channel continue

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🔎RIOT Surges While INTC, ONON Slide as Oil Jumps
Yesterday, markets were mostly flat as Middle East tensions kept markets under pressure. Oil prices jumped on doubts over Strait of Hormuz deal, despite Iran saying talks with Oman are moving forward.
Markets are showing little movement, with earnings from On Holding, Cava, CoreWeave, and Super Micro in focus. CPI and PPI data later this week will also be key for the Fed outlook.
Meanwhile, Treasury yields rose along with oil, as higher energy prices raised inflation concerns while w