Day 408 | Episode 408: Calling it a missed opportunity at $80,000, playing dead at $73,000 ⏳

It’s Singles’ Day today, and Bitcoin is on sale too!

6 days ago, when #BTC surged to $80,300, everyone on the timeline was kicking themselves and crying that they’d missed the run.

They swore: “If it could drop back to $73,000, I’d go all-in and buy the dip.” Well, early this morning it dropped to $73,433.

The discount coupon was practically at their lips, but those people who’d been calling for a dip-buy couldn’t even bring themselves to open their apps. All they’re asking now is: Is it going

$BTC $ETH | A rebound recovery does not mean a trend reversal

During the morning session, we opened short positions around 73,600, focusing on the rebound recovery after short-term resistance. As the price gradually climbed, we added to the position around 74,000, adjusting the average entry price for the overall position to around 73,800. The short-term target is 73,200.

The core logic behind this setup is clear: don’t blindly chase shorts. Wait for the price to rebound, observe whether it faces resistance overhead, and then look for a more suitable entry point.

Under the current strate

It’s great to follow a big shot: turn off your brain and do as you’re told.
The group currently shares a 90% win rate.

The small crew 🚗 are also just my real-life friends.
DM me if you’re interested, and I’ll show you more detailed records.

Latest episode update
Bitcoin, gold, US stocks, and Nvidia all have opportunities
Episodes before No. 109 are now free to watch. You can check out my thinking during Bitcoin’s volatile decline over the past 2 months and how to avoid following the crowd and constantly buying the dip.

$ZEC I chased a short at $1015, didn't get out at the $993 low, and now I'm standing here getting beaten at $1019.57. My account's unrealized loss is more expensive than the takeout I ordered last week.

Down 11.45% in 24 hours, with a high of 1199.91 and a low of 993.02, a 20% range, and 2.659 billion in trading volume—looking at these numbers, I reviewed where I went wrong. My entry logic was: it failed to break above the previous high near 1199 three times, and volume was shrinking, so I called it a double top and shorted at 1015, with a stop-loss at 1050. Then the market dropped to 993. I

#美国10月CPI全面超预期 When data and price conflict, I trust price first, but only use it to size my position

If PPI continues to come in above expectations and BTC does not break below its previous low, I will trust price more. But there is one condition: I only use price to decide whether I can act now; direction and potential upside or downside still depend on macro.

I. First, understand the marginal information in this CPI report

The market has already priced in an 88.5% probability of a 25-basis-point rate hike in December, while the probability of a 50-basis-point hike is only 11.5%; by Janua

$BTC ‌
The market has recently shifted from a bearish downtrend into a short-term consolidation phase, following a sharp sell-off that found a floor around the 72,736 level. Price is currently attempting to recover, stabilizing near the middle Bollinger Band (MB: 73,592) after bouncing from the lower band, indicating a potential shift in momentum from sellers to buyers as volatility contracts.

Price action is currently trapped in a tight range between the lower support of 72,469 and the upper resistance near 74,991, with the most recent candles showing small bodies and wicks, reflecting inde

What Is Order Book Depth? How Can the Distribution of Buy and Sell Orders Help Gauge the Potential Price Impact of Large Orders?

In cryptocurrency trading, the latest price shown on screen does not mean all traders can execute at that price. What really affects how large orders are filled is the number of buy and sell orders at different price levels. Order book depth can help traders assess the market’s capacity to absorb trades and the potential price impact of buying and selling.

First, what is order book depth?

The order book records unfilled limit buy and sell orders in the market. Buy

The last reason to get Uncle to renew GPT is almost gone
Seedream 5.5-generated images surpass Image 2.6 in both realism and aesthetics

#每周来晒 #韩股涨超5%
Introduction
The South Korean stock market attracted significant attention after the KOSPI index surged by more than 5% during intraday trading. This sharp upward movement highlighted renewed investor interest in Korean equities and demonstrated how quickly market sentiment can change in response to economic developments, corporate performance, and global investment trends.
South Korea is one of Asia's most important financial markets, with major companies operating in semiconductors, electronics, automobiles, batteries, and artificial intelligence. Therefore, a strong moveme

11.11 BTC Trade Setup

　　BTC is currently in an oversold rebound phase after a decline, with the medium-term trend leaning bearish. The current price of 73600 is moving sideways near the Bollinger middle band. Resistance levels are 74060-74200 and 74800-75000; support levels are 73200-73300 and 72800-73000. 72650 is the short-term bull-bear dividing line.

　　Entry zone: Go long near 72900 (support near the upper edge of the Bollinger lower band)

　　Stop-loss defense: 72000 (exit immediately if it breaks below)

　　First target: 74200 (Bollinger upper-band resistance; reduce position by 50%)

　　

$INIT | 1h | Retest After a Bullish Breakout

Trade Bias: Long

Entry Range: 0.2180 to 0.2250
Stop-Loss Level: 0.2030

Profit Targets:
TP1: 0.2480
TP2: 0.2620
TP3: 0.2770

Setup Invalidated By:
A 1H close below 0.2030

$INIT ‌

#AVAXJumps6.4%OnNYSENews Wall Street’s Avalanche Bet: The $9 Breakout, the $8.40 Reality Check and the Difference Between Adoption and Token Demand
The most important part of Avalanche’s recent rally is not just how quickly AVAX moved. It is why the market reacted, what the NYSE-related announcement actually means, and whether that institutional development can eventually translate into demand for the token.

On November 9, AVAX attracted strong attention after Ava Labs announced that Avalanche technology had been selected to provide the core ledger infrastructure for the clearing firm support

$ARIA Keep adding to your short position! Two consecutive long upper wicks on the four-hour chart show prices pulling back after pushing higher. The topping signal is now very clear, and this rally is basically nearing its end. Enter a short position at the current price, no hesitation, with a target of 0.15. Those who don't have a short position yet can follow immediately and hold until profits are realized.
Risk warning: The above is only a personal trading idea and does not constitute investment advice. Contract leverage carries extremely high risks, so please make sure to manage your posi

I’ve been in crypto for five years and have seen plenty of bizarre market moves, but today’s funding rate at $INIT is truly eye-opening. In just a few hours, the longs have already paid 22% in funding fees. In other words, the margin pool for longs keeps getting thicker, making liquidations increasingly difficult. The big players want to push the price down? They can’t—the downside is full of tough resistance. That leaves only one way to go: up.
$INIT ’s contract is already up +49.54%. Don’t ask me if it’s still worth chasing; I just know that with funding fees burning like this, shorts are h

What Is Trading System Backtesting? How Can You Use Historical Data to Test a Strategy Instead of Judging Its Effectiveness by Feel?

In cryptocurrency trading, a strategy that seems logical does not necessarily mean it can actually make a profit. Trading system backtesting applies clear trading rules to historical market data to simulate past trades and assess a strategy’s returns, risks, and stability.

First, what should you define before backtesting?

Start by defining the trading instrument, timeframe, entry conditions, stop-loss and take-profit rules, position size, and exit conditions.

It seems the odds of treating the current $73,000 level as bottom support aren’t favorable.

The U.S. October inflation data released last night shattered the market’s optimistic outlook for inflation to cool.

CPI rose 0.4% month over month (vs. 0.3% expected), while core CPI rose 0.3% month over month (vs. 0.2% expected). Both readings came in above Wall Street’s estimates.

The data landed right on the warning threshold previously set by Fed Governor Waller: if core inflation reaches 0.3%, the option of discussing a 50-basis-point rate hike at the December meeting will be on the table.

Aft

What Is the Bid-Ask Spread? Why Can a Seemingly Small Spread Keep Affecting Returns from High-Frequency Trading and Frequent Entries and Exits?

In cryptocurrency trading, many people focus only on price movements and overlook the spread between buying and selling. Even if the market price does not change significantly, traders may still incur real costs from the bid-ask spread and fees. The more trades they make, the more important these costs become.

First, what is the bid-ask spread?

The bid-ask spread is the difference between the current lowest ask price and highest bid price. For examp