The market has frozen in anticipation of Friday’s Non-Farm Payrolls (NFP)!
The evening promises to be hot: JPMorgan warns of severe turbulence #S&P500, while Bitcoin storms $82,000, ignoring ETF outflows.
🔎 Main triggers of the day
NFP in focus: The market expects US employment to rise by just +56 thousand (unemployment ~4.1%).
JPMorgan believes that if the data comes in much stronger than forecast, US stocks will face a powerful sell-off.
Fed policy: The probability of a rate hike in September plunged to 50%. Senator Vance is again calling on the Fed to cut rates.
Crypto rally in the stock

In September, XRP bulls and bears are locked in a stalemate; market expectations for a pullback to 1.20 and a surge to 1.60 are evenly matched; a push to 1.80 is a low-probability scenario, and no clear one-sided direction has emerged

September 4 Afternoon BTC Trading Strategy Analysis
BTC moved upward again yesterday, breaking through the key level of 81270 and even forming a wick up to the resistance level of 82180, reaching 82282. This upward move was typically aimed at liquidating shorts, before quickly retreating below 82180. It is currently trading within the 80538——81270 range. In fact, this position is somewhat dangerous: you could say it is neither high nor low, forming a small double-top structure with the previous round. Is it about to start a pullback?
Today’s key range is 80528—81559
I. Long strategy:
If BTC pu

#Gate事件合约晒单挑战, Event Contracts are the wise eye for gaining insight into the future and a powerful tool for mastering uncertainty! They transform complex risks into clear opportunities, enabling everyone to anchor value in major events. Whether hedging risks or capturing trends, Event Contracts give you the power of foresight. They are not merely tools, but an evolution in thinking—making ambiguity transparent and volatility your friend. Embracing Event Contracts means embracing a wealthier future with greater composure and initiative!

The prevailing market expectation for September is that Ethereum could test the $2,600 level; there is some probability of challenging the $2,700 high, while the downside risk of falling back to $2,300 cannot be ignored, as the market has not established a one-way trend.

9.4 BTC
This rebound was unexpected… Despite the negative news, it has held up strongly. Last night, a wick dipped to around 82,200, followed by a pullback to around 80,800. On the 4-hour timeframe, it broke above the previous high on increased volume. There is currently a need for a pullback on the 1-hour timeframe. Focus on 81,500; if it moves back up and holds above that level, it may reach 83,000
85,000. What we need to pay attention to is that the consolidation period during the previous rally was longer than this time, so a false breakout this time cannot be ruled out. Favor shorting at

Yesterday’s overnight trades in ETH and BTC both made profits.

I was just about to go to the forum and rant, but then I saw my balance and thought, forget it—the market is always right. The short position I placed before bed a few days ago had moved into a comfortable zone by the time I woke up. The market was still grinding near the highs back then, with weak rebounds; every push upward fell just short, so I warned against chasing longs and said to watch for resistance first. Now it has played out: entry at 0.36011, current price 0.32914, return +610.62%. This profit feels great. Manage the position by the rules: close 70% first, move the stop-loss on th

Today's Sola trading plan
Short
Entry: 104.2 - 104.6
Stop-loss: Above 105.1
Targets: First target 103.1 - 103.3, second target around 102.4
Long
Entry: 103.0 - 103.2
Stop-loss: Below 102.5
Targets: First target 103.7 - 104.0, second target 104.4 - 104.8
Sola's price has fallen below the middle Bollinger Band, and the MACD bearish crossover has turned green, with the short-term trend shifting from strong to weak and entering a pullback. The Bollinger Bands have clearly narrowed, and a trend change is imminent.
Currently, prioritize shorting rebounds. Long positions are limited to short-term tra

This 2530 has been posted for the fourth time～fortunately, 2530 hasn’t changed at all～

September 4 ETH Market Analysis

Direction: Rejected at 2530 and pulled back, consolidating at high levels; wait for stabilization before entering long positions
Long entry: Around 2480‑2495, stop-loss below 2465, targets 2530/2560

ETH is currently at 2501. After touching a high of 2530 on the one-hour chart, bullish momentum was exhausted, and the price entered a high-level sideways range. The 7-period moving average has flattened, with the price fluctuating around the moving average and intense short-term battles between bulls and bears.

The 30-day moving average remains upward, and the

【$BR Signal】Long-side absorption + 1H wick recovery, low risk-reward setup
$BR Buy-side depth imbalance near 0.32015 at 27.5%, Bid/Ask 1.76, with substantial bids below. After the 1H wick to 0.2893, price quickly recovered, the MACD green bars contracted, and the price did not break the structure; the 4H upper band at 0.333 is temporarily capping gains, with the short-term market entering a consolidation phase. The current risk-reward ratio is approximately 1.5, so the upside is limited and execution discipline comes first.
🎯Direction: Long
⚡Entry/limit orders: 0.3191895 - 0.3201500
🛑Stop-lo

ZEC jumped ~15% this morning, buying pressure pushed to a high near $980 before a pullback; market cap around $15.8B. $ZEC

On September 1, CME FedWatch showed a 66% probability of a Fed rate hike in September.
On September 4, the same tool showed 50.2%.
In three days, it fell 16 percentage points.
What happened?
Fed Governor Waller turned dovish.
Waller’s exact words: “If the inflation data released over the next two weeks continues to show cooling, I would lean toward supporting keeping rates unchanged in September.”
He even quoted John Lennon: “Give inflation a chance.”
Waller added a harsh line: “Even a 25-basis-point hike at a single meeting now wouldn’t bring CPI down to 2%.”
Just one week earlier, Fed Chair

Went north around 7.65 yesterday, perfectly bought the dip, and it still holds today. 5,000➕160⚡️
The halfway point is too crowded; we still have to head north and take a look$BTC $ETH #BTC收复8万美元

Prices are rising, but funding rates are actually quite tame and are even declining in terms of trend
This illustrates 2 brutal truths
1. The higher the price rises, the more excited shorts become
2. If longs are not crowded, the price will not crash

PONS on #Robinhood is pumping, while @loraclexyz is shorting it.
He opened a 3x short on 17.26M ethereum:0x07f5b6823751c2e2cd4560f28af75ff887102241 ($11.6M) and is now down $2.38M.
He also opened a 3x short on 22.5M $CASHCAT ($6.18M) and is now down $970K.

Having a beautiful meal with a friend I haven’t seen in a long time🥰