What Is Trading Expectancy? How Can Win Rate, Average Profit and Loss, and Trading Costs Be Combined in One Formula to Determine Whether a Strategy Is Worth Executing?

In cryptocurrency trading, a profitable trade does not mean a strategy is effective, and a single loss does not mean a strategy has failed. What really matters is how much profit each trade generates on average after the strategy is repeated over the long term. Trading expectancy is an important metric for assessing this.

First, what is trading expectancy?

Trading expectancy is the average expected profit or loss per trade wh

What Is Maximum Drawdown? Why Can a Long-Term Profitable Strategy Still Cause Unbearable Losses in an Account?

In cryptocurrency trading, many people focus only on how much they ultimately earn, while overlooking how much their account loses along the way. Maximum drawdown helps traders measure the most severe historical decline in an account’s value, making it an important metric for assessing risk and risk tolerance.

First, what is maximum drawdown?

Maximum drawdown is the largest decline in an account’s value from a historical peak to a subsequent low during a given observation period. F

$LIT ‌#GateGlobalComplianceExpansion

Market Structure Change: The market structure has recently shifted from a defined downtrend (marked by the drop from 3.310 down to the 3.005 liquidity grab) into a bullish reversal, establishing a new higher low and breaking local resistance to current trade at 3.200 (+3.49%).

K-Line Analysis: We are seeing strong bullish momentum with consecutive green candles pushing the price above the middle Bollinger Band (MB: 3.210). The price is currently testing the upper band (UB: 3.301), indicating volatility expansion to the upside, while MACD shows a bullish

ZUVO Capital is the next $100M Runner in front of your eyes
8zDgCLgXAQeeRHuGpuZHFLMeLuoDpcVQnShsZeu9pump
verified CA on website

$big $forg $borely

Reply: Three things, two have results
$BTC ‌
Draw the chart first, then speak.

Of the three things I asked you to reply 1 / 2 / 3 to last night, let’s check the first two today. The third is about volume, which can’t be shown in text, so I won’t make anything up. I’ll put the charts up on tonight’s livestream and we can check it together.

1) Weekly close back above the discipline line — did not happen. The weekly candle closed below the discipline line.
2) This week’s low tested again — it happened, and it was more than just a test: the low was broken, and the price moved down to a lower le

#XRP
The $1 threshold.
Friends, Ripple $XRP has closed lower for five consecutive days since its 1.3052 close on November 4, and is down again today. The loss has exceeded 17%. It made a new low of 1.0751 today and is currently around 1.08. The daily RSI has fallen to 25, in oversold territory.
Below are the June and July lows at 1.044 - 1.050. If those levels are lost, $1 and the August low of 0.9862 come into play.
Being oversold alone does not mean a reversal. To recover, it first needs to reclaim 1.12 - 1.13. If it posts a daily close above 1.1843, the levels I marked on the chart—1.2002

#Bitcoin 75K lost its key support. If it stays at the lower band of the descending channel, there is a large gap below. $BTC

The rule is to go for the runner.
Ignore the betas and bet on the leader.
$MONTRA is currently putting up some insane numbers after just one day on Elysium:
➜ ~$12.7M–$13.3M in 24H volume, putting it at the top of the launchpad rankings.
➜ Around 22,000 launches in 24 hours.
➜ Over 60,000 launches in total.
➜ Several tokens on the platform still recording hundreds of thousands in trading volume.
But before you topblast, there's something you should know 👀
A trader (igotruggedoncashcat) has publicly accused Spinor, a major player behind Montra, of abandoning $CASHCAT .
According to him, he put

$ENA LONG SETUP — BULLS FIGHTING BACK!

$ENA is showing signs of recovery as buyers continue defending the 0.1518 support zone. Another bullish move could be building!

Entry: 0.15317
SL: 0.15080

TP1: 0.15450
TP2: 0.15615
TP3: 0.15762
Final Target: 0.15907

After recovering from 0.14452, $ENA is consolidating above short-term support. A push above 0.15450 could strengthen bullish momentum and open the way toward higher resistance.

Invalidation: Sustained breakdown below 0.15080.

Bulls need to defend support for the next rally!

Rolling correlation between 10y yield/crude and S&P 500

It looks like the key support level at 74000 is about to give way#btc #eth

Why do we say that future exchanges cannot just be “trading experts,” but must also be “rules experts”?

If an exchange is compared to an athlete, product capabilities are its technique, liquidity is its fitness, and compliance capabilities are its eligibility to compete.
No matter how good the technique or how strong the fitness, if it has not even understood the rules of the competition, it will be difficult to perform consistently on the international stage in the long run.
Gate currently covers 81 regulated jurisdictions and continues to improve its compliance framework in Europe, North Am

gonna need a strong performance from bulls today post CPI otherwise both BTC and ETH risk losing their 200DMA's *and* their bottom anchored vwaps

Fed Governor Waller says a 25-point hike in December if inflation falls, but if CPI comes in above 0.3%, a 50-point hike may be possible.
#Bitcoin #kripto

#SP500PostsBiggestGainIn7Months
I think BTC is ready to explode after a few days of declines and sideways movement. I think today's daily close will be in the 76-79k range. I think the decline is over—onward. However, I think there will be another drop before the New Year. Let's see: selling is done, buying continues.

I'm not holding out hope for tonight's CPI; a December rate hike is basically a foregone conclusion.
U.S. employment is so strong, and the economy hasn't noticeably cooled, giving the Fed even more confidence to keep containing inflation. Mortgage rates are high, but that still can't bring prices down right away.
That's exactly what U.S. stocks and crypto are afraid of: they were hoping for fewer rate hikes and earlier cuts, only to realize they'll have to keep enduring this. Borrowing gets more expensive, while saving and buying bonds become more attractive, so investors may be less inclined

What is a trading journal? How can recording every trade help identify the real reasons for long-term losses?

In crypto trading, many people watch the market every day but rarely take the time to carefully record their trades. As a result, they keep repeating the same mistakes, crediting accurate judgment when they profit and blaming market changes when they lose. The value of a trading journal is that it replaces subjective memory with real data, helping us find areas for improvement.

First, what should a trading journal record?

For each trade, record at least the time, asset, direction, e