A Brief Analysis of BTC’s Short-Term Trend from Dow Theory, Chan Theory, Elliott Wave Theory, Volume-Price Relationships, Order Flow, and Price Action
I. Dow Theory
Primary trend (1-hour timeframe): The primary downtrend from the historical high of 82,814 on May 6 confirmed a trend reversal in mid-August. The price began a strong rebound from the August 14 low of 62,488. After forming a double bottom at 63,979 at 03:00 on August 18, the bulls launched an epic rally. The price surged from 63,979 to the August 28 high of 81,346.95, setting a new high for the current phase, for a cumulative gain

Waiting Is the Eve of a Trader’s Attack
True waiting is never idly sitting around; it is a form of clear-headed restraint. You must still keep a close eye on the market’s breathing and rhythm, never taking your eyes off the direction of the tide, while resisting the urge to let your fingers act. Every fluctuation in the market is sending a signal. Your task is to identify the part that belongs to you, rather than being led around by every splash.
Keeping those hands that always want to trade under control is a lesson in resisting compulsive urges. Meaningless entries only consume your attentio

#AugustNFPBeatsExpectations
#BTC — The Jobs Report Changed the Short-Term Setup
The U.S. August jobs report delivered a much stronger number than the market was prepared for.
Nonfarm payrolls increased by 162K, far above the roughly 56K consensus, while unemployment stayed at 4.1%. More importantly, previous months were revised higher by a combined 55K, removing some of the weakness investors had been expecting from the labor market.
The market reaction was immediate.
Bitcoin dropped from around $81K and traded below $80K after the release, while Treasury yields moved sharply higher. The 10-y

$USELESS has to die today Let the air force bros eat something!!! Brothers, fix bayonets!!! On my command charge forward

Everyone’s staring at ADA’s fake bounce—but the 4h tape just whispered a secret.

$ADA /USDT - SHORT

Trade Plan:
Entry: 0.210 – 0.212
SL: 0.218
TP1: 0.206
TP2: 0.202
TP3: 0.197

Why this setup?
- ADA/USDT is “Armed” short at 0.211, with invalidation locked at 0.210.
- 1D trend is range, but the 4h momentum is fading: RSI (15m) at 44.79—weak, not oversold.
- ATR (1h) at 0.0029 says volatility is contracting—perfect setup for a snap lower.
- Why now? Price is hugging the entry zone (0.210–0.212) while TP1 sits 2.4% below. The longer we stall under 0.212, the more likely the range break

#USELESSSurgesAnother67% USELESS Surges Another 67 Percent, Momentum Is Getting Harder To Ignore.
The crypto market is once again showing how quickly sentiment can change when buyers step in with conviction. USELESS has surged another 67 percent, putting the token firmly in the spotlight and raising fresh questions about how far this momentum can continue.
A move of this magnitude is not simply about a number on the chart. It reflects a powerful combination of market attention, trading activity, liquidity, speculation, and changing expectations. When an asset continues climbing sharply, trader

【$USELESS Signal】1H retest holds, bullish continuation
$USELESS Current price 0.2645. After retesting EMA20 on the 1H chart, the price stabilized, with dense buying support around 0.2637. The 4H MACD histogram remains positive at 0.008, while RSI (4H) at 80.68 is overbought and RSI (1H) at 64.54 shows that the short-term trend remains under control. Order book imbalance is -30.58%; sell-side orders are relatively heavy, but the price has not broken below the moving average. The funding rate is 0.0062%, showing no signs of overheating. The current risk-reward ratio is approximately 1.5, suita

I did nothing—just went to the restroom, and when I came back, the K-line had already done the work for me. During the intraday plunge, I was still watching for bid support, but the rebound was weak and each volume bar was shorter than the last. I judged that the momentum couldn’t be sustained, so I immediately placed a short order, entered at 0.013728, and then went to wash my hands. When I came back, it was at 0.01227, +104.61%. Feels good, brothers. This move wasn’t talent—it was the market sending a red envelope to patient people. Close 80% first and take the profit; don’t get greedy for t

$UAI was still at 0.51 an hour ago, but has now plunged straight back to 0.45, with $107 million in 24-hour trading volume. The volatility of this kind of meme coin is more intense than SOL’s entire week. Don’t stare at the candlestick chart asking why: the Fed’s hawkish March meeting minutes were released early today, sending the probability of a June rate cut from 73% down to 61%, while the 2-year U.S. Treasury yield surged to 4.8% and Nasdaq futures plunged. AI-sector coins were hit the hardest because these high-beta assets are the first to be drained of liquidity.
I ran a correlation bac

$AKE Short it—it has already run out of steam on the upside, and the bears have gathered.

In the face of the government, even a pile of bullish news has to take a back seat!
Don't be fooled by the mountain of recent bullish news for Bitcoin: Waller issued dovish remarks, U.S. stocks rose, BlackRock continued accumulating, ETF net inflows exceeded $800 million over two days, and the market briefly surged to 82100.
But one nonfarm payrolls report completely rewrote the market logic.
August payrolls increased by 162,000, far above the market expectation of 55,000, with employment data proving unexpectedly strong. The market immediately repriced rate hike expectations, sending Bitcoin

$TENCENT — This Level Is Interesting 👀🔥
Tencent bounced from the HK$440–442 area after recent weakness.
Now I’m watching one simple thing:
Can buyers reclaim HK$450?
If price reclaims the $450 area with volume, momentum could build again.
🟢 Entry: HK$442 – 447
🛑 SL: HK$429
🎯 TP1: HK$460
🎯 TP2: HK$475
🎯 TP3: HK$490
For me, HK$440 is an important level.
As long as buyers are defending this zone, the long setup is interesting.
But if HK$429 breaks decisively, I won’t force the trade.
$450 reclaim → bulls get my attention 🔥
$429 breakdown → setup invalid ❌
No FOMO. No blind entry.
Would y

9.5, BTC, morning view

Good morning, have a great weekend!

Friday’s nonfarm payrolls data came as a major surprise, with employment data far exceeding expectations. BTC was sold off sharply from the high of 81,350, dipping as low as 78,600. After the data was released, it did not continue moving unilaterally downward, instead staging a short-term consolidation recovery. It is currently grinding around 79,590.

This previous rally was driven by sentiment and a short squeeze. Once the bearish nonfarm payrolls data came out, most of the earlier gains were immediately retraced. The broader en

🎁🎁🎁Pi has just delivered developers a substantial gift.
The official announcement says the Pi platform now supports local storage, app-specific access to staking data, and file and video sharing. At the same time, brand-new developer documentation has officially gone live, making the path from getting started to launch much clearer than before.
These three features may not look flashy, but they carry significant weight for those who genuinely want to build useful products on Pi.
Previously, many applications got stuck on questions like “Where should data be stored, how can users’ staking st

Bitcoin Fear and Greed Index is 73. Greed
$BTC Current price: $79,590

$TAO Just as I predicted last night, it has risen. My target is 231—do you guys think it can reach it?#美国8月非农超预期 $BTC $ETH ‌ ‌

BTC and ETH long positions opened at lower levels are still being held; Lao Dong remains firmly bullish! $XAUUSD $BTC #美国8月非农超预期

I’d just switched the app to the background, and it shot right back up—are you playing hide-and-seek with me?

When I checked the chart after lunch, it was still grinding along the bottom, but the candles had already formed several long lower wicks in a row. When I opened it again in the afternoon, I happened to catch the high-volume breakout. This kind of upward move clearly wasn’t something retail traders could push up, so I followed the trend and opened a long at 24.39, starting with a light position.

Now at 24.96, $BMNR the rise has been very decisive, and my position return has reached