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A Brief Analysis of BTC’s Short-Term Trend Based on Dow Theory, Chan Theory, Elliott Wave Theory, Volume-Price Relationships, Order Flow, and Price Action (Strategy Recommendations)
Comprehensive Assessment
Dow Theory confirms that the primary trend remains upward, but a short-term double-top structure (81,235-81,347) has been confirmed, and the previous low of 76,909 was broken on September 2, disrupting the short-term uptrend.
Chan Theory shows that the downward stroke from 81,347 was extremely strong (-4,956), followed by an extremely weak upward stroke (+1,025), indicating that the bulls’
BTC0.69%
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Gold🐟, as expected, rose on schedule📈, surging as high as 4418!
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Bitcoin rose 25% in August, its strongest August since 2017 🔥
But guys, don’t get carried away just yet—the real battle is only beginning. If Bitcoin can’t break through $81,000, everything else is just talk.
First, there are only three reasons for the rise:
💰 The U.S. Treasury quietly injected liquidity, doubling the scale of long-term bond buybacks. The market immediately recognized it as a backdoor money-printing signal, and the debasement trade is back on
📜 Washington is really picking up the pace this time: the SEC released new rules, Trump personally met with crypto industry leaders,
BTC0.04%
ETH-0.26%
SOL0.99%
HYPE-0.78%
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Layout for Bitcoin, Ethereum, and Dogecoin
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TalkingAboutMemeAsTheCoinMakes:
Enter at the bottom 😎
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Whale alert: a single address hoisted 430,224 HYPE (~$35.1M) while another new wallet withdrew 94,149 HYPE (~$7.66M) from FalconX—fresh intra-day flow signals for HYPE liquidity and possible accumulation dynamics. $HYPE
HYPE-0.78%
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September 3 Chuze Gold Morning Analysis
Yesterday's bullish ADP data, together with the continued decline in the U.S. dollar overnight and the yen's strong rally, led to a rebound in gold, which briefly touched 4397. However, this is still considered a rebound, so do not be blindly optimistic; there are still many hurdles ahead.
From a technical perspective, on the four-hour chart, the price is recovering after the decline, but the upward momentum is clearly insufficient. Trading volume is unable to support the bulls in regaining lost ground, and signs of pressure are prominent. The price face
GLDX1.57%
PAXG2.30%
XAUUSD0.72%
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Morning U[dates
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Morning’s first update: the short-term start today was a loss; adjust the mindset and get the rhythm back. 4400🈳, 4405 bamboo shoot, -1100🔪。$XAU
XAU2.41%
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The market’s price expectations for Bitcoin on September 3 are extremely bullish. There is near-consensus that it will hold 70000 and 72000; while the probability of reaching 74000 remains very high, it carries a slightly greater degree of uncertainty than the two lower levels.
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Bitcoin: The plan to enter long has changed; move the long-entry level higher
The price action has been relatively stable over the past two days. Yesterday’s positive ADP employment data failed to drive momentum. Resistance is currently concentrated around 78000, so the strategy remains to primarily look for shorts at high levels, and consider longs only after reaching 75000 below.
Short near 77700, target 75000$BTC
BTC0.67%
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Where does the church’s income come from?
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9.3 BTC$BTC Today's Silk Road
Trading advice: Go long after stabilization (the market is currently range-bound; wait for the trend to take shape)
Trading range: Pullback to around 77000
Stop-loss defense: 76500
First target: 77800
Second target: 78300
If 77800 is not broken on the four-hour chart, short with the trend and look below 77000 to take profit on the short position.#Gate用户突破6000万
BTC0.67%
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The morning long position paid off; right after posting the Silk Road call, I was already in profit🥩
The next target is 2420. Frankly, is it really that hard to take profits🥩
$ETH Entered at 2373 and exited at 2400, securing 27 points of profit and banking $200
The “Golden September, Silver October” plan is ongoing—follow along and take profits
#Gate用户突破6000万
ETH-0.31%
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#Gate用户突破6000万.io Surpasses 60 Million Users – Here’s My Story!
60 million users. One global community. Millions of trading stories.
Gate.io has officially surpassed 60 million registered users worldwide, marking an incredible milestone for the platform and its growing global community.
This achievement made me stop for a moment and think about my own journey on Gate.
I still remember my first trade. The excitement, the nervousness, watching the price chart every few seconds, and wondering whether I had made the right decision. 😂
And yes… I made some classic beginner mistakes!
One of the fu
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$AKE Damn. This needle... looks much cleaner now, right? It harvested way too many people.
AKE60.46%
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JUST IN: CFTC weighing rules to curb conflicts between prediction markets and affiliated trading firms. If enacted, could tighten oversight on derivatives-like markets and related platforms. $BTC $ETH
BTC0.67%
ETH-0.31%
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9.3 Gold Morning Analysis
Driven by geopolitical tensions in the Middle East, gold prices surged to 4397. However, geopolitics tends to bring more pulse-like moves, while interest-rate logic remains the key determinant of the medium-term trend.
The 10-year U.S. Treasury yield is nearing 4.8%, while the dollar remains strong, suppressing gold’s upside.
From the 4-hour chart, this rise is merely a rebound and recovery after the sharp decline, and the broader trend has not reversed. Prices are currently fluctuating repeatedly at high levels, with data-driven market volatility intense, so avoid bl
BTC0.67%
GT2.33%
ETH-0.31%
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There was no major volatility yesterday. ADP employment data was underwhelming, while only gold rose to 4,400; other markets were lukewarm.
Bitcoin did not break below 76,000 yesterday, and after fluctuating down through 77,700, it remained under pressure and consolidated. Therefore, we will continue with yesterday’s range-bound view.
Bitcoin
Go long in batches at 76,500–76,000, targeting 77,500–78,000.
Ethereum
Go long at 2,375–2,345, targeting 2,405–2,415.
Pay close attention to Bitcoin’s movement around 77,700 and prepare for a short position. #Gate用户突破6000万
ADP-0.81%
GLDX1.57%
PAXG2.30%
BTC0.69%
ETH-0.26%
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Gold really came through; all three trades played out as I expected.
$BTC $ETH $XAU #Gate用户突破6000万
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ETH-0.31%
XAU2.41%
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Nasdaq-100 and S&P 500 Historical Statistics
A complete reconstruction of historical statistics since the indexes were launched.
First, frequency of volatility.
The Nasdaq-100’s decline frequency at every level is significantly higher than that of the S&P 500.
For 1% declines alone, the Nasdaq-100 averages around 20 more occurrences per year than the S&P 500.
With 250 trading days in a year, that’s 20 more times. In other words, you take an extra hit every two weeks.
Most people are not defeated by bear markets; they are worn down by these frequent small fluctuations. Watching the market every
SPYX0.47%
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