Yang Guang Bit | October 17 $BTC — Oil prices surge as tech stocks plunge; favor shorting rallies in line with the trend
【Today's Plan】
Entry: Place short positions on a rebound into the 81,800–82,000 range
Stop-loss: Above 82,300
Take-profit targets:
First target: 81,200–81,000
Second target: 80,800–80,500
【Key Takeaways】
BTC turned lower from last night's rebound high of 82,900, pressured by a surge in international oil prices and a sharp drop in U.S. tech stocks. It fell below 81,000 late at night and is currently trading around 81,520. The 4-hour moving averages are fully aligned bearishly, with price below all of them; the weak trend remains intact. On the news front, Trump said Iran's nuclear facilities could be targeted, while the U.S. and Israel held secret talks on strike plans; Brent crude surged to $110, stoking risk aversion. Fed Chair Warsh said he would not prejudge the rate decision, and expectations of an October rate hike fell below 15%. ETF net outflows on the on-chain CPI day exceeded 3,100 BTC, as institutional capital remained cautious. Weekend liquidity is thin. The intraday plan is to favor shorting rallies, with light short-term longs at support; avoid chasing one-way moves and stay aligned with the trend throughout. No trend-driven crash is expected.
$BTC ‌#比特币短线站上8.2万美元

Yang Guang bit | October 17 $ETH — Rejected at rebound highs and pulled back; favor selling rallies amid surging oil prices
【Today’s Strategy】
Entry: Set up short positions on a rebound to the 2430—2445 range
Stop-loss: Above 2465
Take-profit targets:
First target: 2400—2410
Second target: 2375—2385
【Key Takeaways】
ETH rebounded with the broader market to 2493.48 last night before coming under pressure and pulling back; it is currently trading around 2417. On the 4-hour chart, price is below all moving averages, which are fully bearishly aligned, and the weak structure remains unchanged. On the news front, Trump said he may strike Iranian nuclear facilities, while the US and Israel are reportedly discussing strike plans in secret; Brent crude surged to $110, stoking safe-haven sentiment. Fed Chair Warsh said he would not prejudge the rate decision, and expectations of an October rate hike fell below 15%, but the 10-year Treasury yield climbed back above 5.12%. On-chain, Bitcoin ETFs saw net outflows of more than 3100 BTC on CPI day, as institutional investors remained cautious. Weekend liquidity is thin; the intraday strategy is to favor selling rallies and take light short-term longs at support. Don’t chase one-way moves; stick with the trend throughout. A trend-driven collapse or sharp plunge is not expected. $ETH ‌#比特币短线站上8.2万美元