$BTC /weekly — Candle Close 🔥
🚨 Black candle on the weekly close. Short-term bearish on its own.
But this candle is the critical one.
❇️ It completed a retest down into the flipped zone
❇️ The wick digested the orders sitting in that zone
❇️ It closed back above the zone
🟢 That means buyers defended the level and pushed price up. Inverted Head and Shoulders pattern stays intact too.
If momentum keeps going, the uptrend continues 🚀

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2026-10-12 early session: BTC ≈ 83.6k, ETH ≈ 2.53k. The key variables this week are the U.S. CPI on 10/14 and PPI/retail sales on 10/15. The likely sequence before and after is: grind first, then a wick, followed by a directional move.
I. News backdrop: broadly neutral to slightly bearish. CPI is the watershed. The Federal Reserve already raised rates by 25bp in September to 3.75%–4.00%; the minutes were hawkish, and expectations for another rate hike by year-end remain. Brent crude has returned to around 105 → expectations for sticky inflation strengthen → Treasury yields/the dollar stay stro

$ENA remains strong, but the crowding risk is also rising
$ENA 24-hour +8.32%, current price 0.2395. The 1-hour and 4-hour RSI are 69 and 83, respectively. The strength is real, and so is the crowding. The question is not whether it can continue higher, but who will be willing to catch it during the first pullback.
Volume has not confirmed the move: current 1-hour trading volume is only 0.27 times the average volume of the previous 20 candles. Low volume can still move the price quickly, but sustainability must be proven by the next leg. A single test or long candlestick is not enough to draw

$SUI /USDT is silently building a bullish base most traders are still ignoring.

$SUI /USDT - LONG

Trade Plan:
Entry: 1.1225 – 1.1283
SL: 1.0973
TP1: 1.1465
TP2: 1.1606
TP3: 1.1817

Why this setup?
Why now? The daily trend is bullish, the 1h price sits at 1.1254, the 15m RSI reads 56.17, and the 1h ATR is 0.011729, which together show momentum is waking up without being overextended. The entry zone between 1.1225 and 1.1283 offers a precise refuel area, while TP1 at 1.1465 and TP2 at 1.1606 define the first two targets of this setup. The invalidation level at 1.1077 acts as the hard line i

There’s no need to deny $STRK ’s strength, but mistaking overheating for safety is often when sentiment is most expensive.
I’m watching just one divergence: whether there is still support after breaking above 0.12389. The current price is 0.11982, with volume at 0.53x. The 1-hour and 4-hour trends are both strong, with RSI at 61 and 87, respectively.
If volume continues to increase after breaking above 0.12389, the initiative will favor the bulls; if it breaks below 0.10052 and fails to reclaim it, the short-term outlook is invalidated, and the next level to watch shifts to 0.04797.
Don’t rush

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Starlink | ETH | October 12 Plan
Small position at current price; main position at 2500–2520, add 20% after breaking through 2560.
ETH rebounded from around 2405 and has now reached the 2540 area. The short-term recovery is clearly stronger than it was over the past two days.
The level above 2500 that we watched yesterday has been reclaimed. Today, the focus is on whether this rebound can continue opening up further upside.
Today’s plan:
Current price: Participate with a small position; do not blindly chase the rally.
Main position range: 2500–2520, waiting for a pullback confirmation.
Add on

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On Ethereum’s one-hour chart, the bullish momentum has clearly weakened after this rally, and the risk of a pullback is gradually accumulating. Technically, the price came under pressure and retreated after surging to touch the upper band, and has now fallen below it. Although the price is temporarily holding above the Bollinger middle band, trading volume during the rise has shrunk significantly compared with the earlier rally, showing insufficient willingness to chase higher. This rally was driven by short-term funds and lacks sustained buying support. The high-level consolidation is a typic

Macro data will be dense this week, so we still cannot let our guard down
I think the most important thing to watch this week remains the US CPI data.
The market has been pricing in expectations that the Federal Reserve will continue raising rates. Although the probability of an October rate hike has declined recently, this does not mean macro pressure has completely disappeared. The real key is whether inflation data will make the market concerned about rate hikes again.
On Wednesday, focus on the US September CPI and core CPI. On Thursday, watch initial jobless claims, retail sales, PPI, and

Everyone is buying STRK into strength, but this setup begs to differ.

$STRK /USDT - SHORT

Trade Plan:
Entry: 0.11897 – 0.12201
SL: 0.13949
TP1: 0.10624
TP2: 0.09674
TP3: 0.08248

Why this setup?
Why now? The daily trend is bullish, yet the 1h price is stuck at 0.12049, creating a perfect short setup against the momentum. The 15m RSI sits at 59.85, showing just enough weakness to confirm the reversal is starting. The 1h ATR of 0.006091 defines the volatility, making the entry zone between 0.11897 and 0.12201 a precise trap for longs. We target TP1 at 0.10624 and TP2 at 0.09674, with the in

Liquid Bitcoin Redemptions Still Frozen at 85.8% Reserve Coverage
Liquid says the reserve gap stands at approximately 603 BTC. The exchange states that peg-outs require full backing and completed security reviews before withdrawals can restart.
⚠️ Personal market analysis only. NFA — manage risk and DYOR.
Educational content, not investment advice or a recommendation to buy, sell, deposit, or withdraw any asset. No paid promotion or referral/affiliate links.

Week 73 check-in: I lost 11,000 this week. Target 1.5 million (500,000 + 1 million plan) - 325,000 in market value - 200,000 withdrawn + 200,000 deposited = 1.175 million.

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$RUNE
Had a request on RUNE.
As below. The Pitchfork is a crazy tool - finding local tops and bottoms. Not surprising though - everything follows Fibonacci.
Time based fibs tell me end of October for (5). The target is probably a smidget too low.
Good Luck Degen.

#EthereumUpOver71%inQ3 ETH is printing a classic Wyckoff accumulation signature — and the next few weeks could decide the next big leg.
Ethereum has spent recent months hunting liquidity on both sides of a wide base roughly between $1,747 and $2,464. This kind of two-sided liquidity grab is exactly what you often see at the end of a prolonged corrective phase — the market shakes out weak hands on the downside, traps late shorts on the upside, and allows smarter money to quietly accumulate.
Right now ETH is trading around the mid-$2,500s after reclaiming higher ground. The structure still looks