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BTC $BTC , the daily chart has broken below 828. Until it reclaims this level, the probability that a short-term top is in should be considered higher, and trading should be adjusted accordingly.
After the excessive short-term decline and with the weekend approaching, today and tomorrow should mainly focus on range-bound recovery. On Sunday, assess the levels before deciding on the next move.
Intraday resistance is at 825–828. Price has now entered this range, so you should not chase longs here.
#BTC
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BTC-0.63%
#BTCPullsBackTo81000
BTC Rebounds Near $BTC — Is the Bottom Finally In, or Is Another Test Coming?
recovery, I would want to see BTC stabilize alongside improving spot demand and a return to sustained ETF inflows. Price moving higher without stronger buying participation deserves extra caution.
Then there is the macro picture.
Federal Reserve policy remains an important risk factor. Recent comments from Fed Governor Christopher Waller indicate that further rate increases may still be needed to control inflation, although the timing remains uncertain.
The upcoming U.S. CPI report could therefo
BTC-0.63%
ETH-2.70%
GT-1.28%
SOL-4.00%
NEAR-9.55%
CRYPTO MARKET STRUCTURE
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LIVE1,960
Game-Theory Analysis
As settlement approaches, funds are concentrating their bets on Musk’s tweet output this week, with market consensus leaning toward 320–359 tweets.
340–359 is the baseline expectation; 360–379 is a low-probability range, but if realized, it offers the optimal risk-reward ratio.
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On October 9, global debt markets remained under pressure, with the yield on 10-year U.S. Treasuries nearing 6%, reaching a 26-year high. Danske Bank predicts that the dollar will remain strong as Treasury yields approach the 6% threshold; PIMCO warned that yields risk breaking above this level.
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#NVDA’s weekly chart still shows an uptrend, with higher highs and higher lows.
However, price has made a higher high while RSI has made a lower high, a potential regular bearish divergence, suggesting weakening momentum.
That’s an early warning, not a confirmed reversal, and the weekly candle has yet to close.
Personally, I’m reluctant to chase higher prices here. Watching for confirmation.
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NVDA-2.86%
The Interest Rate Story AI Told Me: Coconut Coin Island (3)
Old Ye noticed prices were rising too fast and decided to raise interest rates:
Deposit rate: raised from 1% to 5%
Lending rate: raised from 2% to 8%
A Niu saw this and thought:
Earning 5% interest on savings sounds pretty good.
But loans cost 8%, and the monthly mortgage payment would be too high, so he decided not to borrow.
Businesses also found borrowing too expensive and stopped expanding.
The cost for Coconut Tree Bank to borrow from Old Ye also rose, so it did not dare lend recklessly.
As a result, several things happened on th
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🚨 Guys, I’m preparing to open a large short position on $RLC
here, using 20x leverage. Take profit: $0.755 Stop loss: $1.54 👇🏻The obvious question now is: why short it after $RLC ’s massive rally?🤔Because the force driving the price higher may have already been exhausted. During this move, many shorts have already been squeezed out, and most of the short liquidity above has been cleared. At the same time, the on-chain activity I’m monitoring is starting to show that large wallets are selling around these highs. This is where I believe the situation has changed. Once shorts have been liqui
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RLC+45.04%
$Lobster Funds Are Moving Beneath the Surface! The Main Players Are Plotting a Big Scheme—Don’t Be Fooled by the Surface Data!
“The quieter the moves by big money, the more shockingly silent the liquidations will be.”
Lobster is currently priced at 0.0478, with a 5-minute net inflow of $66.1k, seemingly signaling the return of the bulls, but the 7-day cumulative net outflow is as high as $32.9 million! The main players are “openly going long while secretly distributing.”
Personal view: Don’t be fooled by the short-term net inflow. The 1-hour net inflow of $950k is merely a smokescreen; the con
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龙虾+17.11%
#OpenAI年化营收较报道低200亿 OpenAI revenue far below expectations—can the AI sector keep going?
On October 8, a piece of news dealt a blow to the U.S. stock market’s AI sector.
The Financial Times reported that OpenAI disclosed to investors that its annualized revenue was close to $50 billion as of the end of September, while the figure widely circulated in the market at the end of last month was $70 billion.
The market reaction was direct and brutal: Nvidia fell about 3%, Oracle dropped more than 5.5%, and AMD, Broadcom, and Intel fell between 4% and 6%. Cloud service stocks Nebius and CoreWeave both
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ORCL-5.59%
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I don't know if calling her a shrew will make her believe it🥹
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$US Looking back at this trade, I entered too late and exited too early—emotions replaced the plan. Next time, set the stop-loss first before acting.#Gate.io 📈 #每周来晒
US+79.30%
🔥 What are we discussing today? Gate Square trending topics have been updated!
🔹$BTC After dipping back to $81,000 and rebounding, the 24h decline narrowed! Was this a normal shakeout, or has the short-term trend started weakening?
🔹 AI concept stocks broadly fell, $ALAB dropped more than 9%, and $NVDA, $AMD, and $ARM all moved lower! Are AI valuations starting to cool?
🔹$ZEC plunged more than 14% in a single day, while Grayscale ZCSH saw weekly net outflows of more than $90 million! Can the privacy sector continue to move forward?
CEX and DEX funding rates collectively turned negative
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BTC-0.63%
ALAB-9.24%
NVDA-2.86%
AMD-3.88%
ARM-6.47%
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#ZECPlungesOver14%in24Hours
**ZEC Drops More Than 14% in 24 Hours: Is the Market Entering a New Correction Phase?**
The cryptocurrency market is experiencing another major wave of volatility as ZEC plunges more than 14% within 24 hours, putting traders and investors on alert. After periods of strong upward momentum and heightened market attention, such a sharp decline highlights how quickly sentiment can change in the digital asset market. The latest price movement raises important questions about profit-taking, market liquidity, buying demand, and whether ZEC can establish a stable foundatio
ZEC-1.11%
BTC-0.63%
#OpenAIAnnualizedRevenue20BBelowReports
**OpenAI’s $20 Billion Revenue Gap: A New Reality Check for the Global AI Industry**
The artificial intelligence industry is entering a critical phase as reports about OpenAI’s annualized revenue raise new questions about financial transparency, business growth, and the long-term economics of AI. OpenAI has become one of the most influential companies in the technology sector, transforming how people search for information, write content, develop software, analyze data, and complete everyday tasks. Its rapid expansion has helped make artificial intellig
CRYPTO MARKET STRUCTURE
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Over the past three days, the U.S. government has transferred nearly 18,000 #BTC to Coinbase Prime, worth approximately $1.54 billion in total. Early this morning, Bitcoin suddenly plunged in a sharp wick, while altcoins were hit by an even more severe bloodbath, with total liquidations across the network reaching $1.1 billion in 24 hours. It reminded me of when Grayscale dumped Bitcoin in 2023 and scared me into selling everything. But thinking about it the other way around, the U.S. has been pushing forward the crypto industry for years, so how could it turn around and dump its own holdings?
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BTC-0.63%
BERA-2.55%
RHEA-25.59%
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#GateAtTOKEN2049 at TOKEN2049. Where the Future of Crypto Meets Global Innovation
The cryptocurrency industry is evolving rapidly, and TOKEN2049 remains one of the most important meeting points for the people shaping its future. With Gate taking part in this global crypto gathering, the spotlight turns toward innovation, digital assets, blockchain technology, and the next stage of Web3 development.
TOKEN2049 brings together founders, investors, developers, traders, institutional leaders, and blockchain enthusiasts from across the world. It creates an environment where new ideas can be shared,
TOKEN-3.36%
$RIOT
The current period of high interest rates and high bond yields is creating a more selective market. The market prices in the worst first. Companies like $IREN and $CIFR may have fixed borrowing costs, but the market doesn’t think that way. It thinks refinancing costs are rising. In this environment, the market is favoring companies that can demonstrate cash flow.
Technically, it has fallen to the lowest point of last year’s sharp correction
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RIOT-9.14%
IREN-7.70%
CIFR-7.21%
It should have been closed out this morning—there goes my profit.
​#晒出我的持仓收益
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