long-term holders (LTH) are accumulating again, but not enough to change the bigger trend.
LTH inflows have produced several strong spikes, yet total LTH balance continues to decline as older holders keep distributing $BTC .
the real confirmation will come when accumulation becomes persistent enough to reverse the balance itself, not just create temporary inflow spikes.

BTC-1.00%

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xamanap

23h ago

Top token unlocks (Aug 10–16) 👇🏼
Scaled by $ unlocked
$RAIN ██████████ $631.4M
$PUMP ▎ $19.2M
$PIEVERSE ▎ $15.6M
$STBL ▏ $8.7M
$ARB ▏ $7.4M
$APT ▏ $6.0M
$US ▏ $4.0M

RAIN2.09%

PUMP-0.22%

PIEVERSE-3.11%

STBL-1.08%

ARB-0.17%

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xamanap

08-10 11:32

gm☕️ lets crush this week

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CryptoShine:

nice 📯📯📯📯

xamanap

08-08 13:04

gm☕️ enjoy the w

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xamanap

08-07 13:02

BTC’s on-chain cycle composite has fallen to 22.3, placing the market near historical accumulation territory.
that does not confirm the bottom, but it materially improves the long-term setup.

BTC-1.00%

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zckyciel:

wowwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwww

xamanap

08-05 14:54

USDT liquidity is contracting at one of the fastest rates on record.
the 60-day market cap change has fallen to roughly -$4B, leaving less deployable capital available to support $BTC rebounds.
this does not guarantee further dump, but it explains why rallies remain fragile. durable recovery needs stablecoin supply to stop shrinking and begin expanding again.

BTC-1.00%

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xamanap

08-04 12:24

$BTC has entered a zone that historically appears late in bear markets.
the Adaptive Sell-side Risk Ratio is now in the 3rd percentile, reflecting deep compression and weak market conviction.
that improves long-term asymmetry, but it does not confirm the bottom. In prior cycles, this phase lasted for months before the market fully reset.

BTC-1.00%

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xamanap

08-03 12:23

$BTC unrealized losses remain elevated at 35.2%.
first stress wave has passed. what follows will show whether the market is stabilizing or simply pausing before another dump.

BTC-1.00%

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xamanap

08-02 15:05

gm☕️enjoy grass touching day.

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xamanap

07-31 13:53

Top 7 token unlocks for August👇🏼
Scaled by $ unlocked:
$RAIN ██████████ $641.4M
$ADI █ $49.1M
$PROVE █ $39.2M
$KAITO █ $35.5M
$STABLE ▌ $30.5M
$DATA ▌ $24.3M
$ZRO ▏ $18.7M

RAIN2.09%

PROVE-1.65%

KAITO-2.88%

STABLE-2.32%

ZRO0.59%

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xamanap

07-31 11:52

gm☕️happy friday

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xamanap

07-30 20:53

the Fed is holding rates steady, but the bond market is still tightening financial conditions.
U.S. 10-year and 30-year yields have climbed to roughly 4.7% and 5.2%, forcing investors to demand more compensation for holding long-term debt.
for $BTC , the risk is straightforward: higher yields and a stronger dollar continue to drain liquidity from risk assets.
the Fed may be on pause, but the market is not.

BTC-1.00%