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What Is Trading Expectancy? How Can You Tell Whether a Strategy Has an Edge Over the Long Run?

In cryptocurrency trading, some people review their win rate and look for better entry points every day, while overlooking a more fundamental question: If you repeatedly trade according to the same set of rules, how much will you earn or lose per trade on average over the long run?

That is the question trading expectancy aims to answer.

First, what is trading expectancy?

Trading expectancy is the theoretical average return per trade under a given strategy and set of statistical conditions. It ana
Rumors say GPT has started banning accounts en masse?
I bet it wouldn't dare ban a single account that logged in directly with an Apple ID👀
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ARIA | Long 🟢 | Bullish | 15-minute 24-hour: +12.83% | Volume: 35.5M USDT. Long rationale: Price above EMA200; EMA20/50/200 in bullish alignment; RSI14 at 67.8; MACD histogram positive; ADX14 at 21.8; volume is 1.44 times the 20-candle average; breakout from the 20-candle range. Entry: 0.15503 Stop-loss: 0.143574 Take-profit 1: 0.16935 | Take-profit 2: 0.177942 | Take-profit 3: 0.189399Entry price is for reference only; do not chase. The strategy is invalidated if the stop-loss level is hit. Technical analysis strategy only; not investment advice. $ARIA
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#美股史诗级抛售 #每周来晒 #Gate股票畅聊季 How should we view the sharp drop in U.S. stocks?

On November 5, U.S. time, the S&P 500, Nasdaq, and Dow Jones fell 4.4%, 5.5%, and 3.4%, respectively, each posting its biggest single-day decline since the tariff shock in April 2025. AI-linked stocks led the losses: the Nasdaq 100 fell more than 6%, and the Philadelphia Semiconductor Index plunged about 12%, both marking their biggest single-day declines since March 2020.
How should we view the sharp drop in U.S. stocks and what comes next? Here are some brief thoughts:

I. Characteristics of this sell-off: sharp los
SPX500+0.19%
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XRP market update
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Being good at painting a rosy picture isn’t enough! When choosing a company, I care more about whether it can actually make money!

Investing in stocks sometimes feels like taking part in a grand speech contest.
Some companies write strategic plans more compelling than novels, with market opportunities seemingly big enough to encompass the entire universe. But here’s the question: Where’s the money? The profits? The cash flow?
I believe a company truly worth paying attention to must be able to turn business plans into actual revenue.
First, its products need to meet market demand; second, the
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Guys, we've been duped! 3x ETF indexes like SOXL aren't suitable for long-term holding—the decay is too high! $SOXL
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Once you’ve shared a receiving address, changing it comes at a cost.

Freelancers use it to receive payments, and small teams use it to collect revenue shares. The other party may already have saved the address in their contacts and could copy it directly from there next month. If upgrading the security setup requires opening a new account, users have to move their assets, update their payment details, and keep an eye on whether the old address is still being used.

@Starknet’s native account abstraction puts signature verification rules in the account contract. An account can define what kind
STRK-3.55%
$BTC is holding near $76,045 after a steady recovery on the 15-minute chart. I’m watching $76,200 as nearby resistance and the $75,900 area for support. A clean move above resistance could strengthen momentum; losing support may bring another pullback.
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#10月非农数据聚焦 #BTCETH #WCTCS9

BTC contract trading strategy (latest reference price: around 76100)

BTC long at lower levels
Entry range: 75050~74750
Take-profit reference: 76500~77500
Stop-loss reference: 74300

BTC short at higher levels
Entry range: 77160~77460
Take-profit reference: 76400~75000
Stop-loss reference: 77860

ETH contract trading strategy (latest reference price: around 2240)
ETH long at lower levels
Entry range: 2205~2185
Take-profit reference: 2250~2305
Stop-loss reference: 2145

ETH short at higher levels
Entry range: 2305~2325
Take-profit reference: 2240~2185
Stop-loss
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Bitcoin Traders Face $2.7B Options Expiry With 5-Hour Blind Spot
Bitcoin options worth $2.7 billion expire Friday, five and a half hours before the US jobs report.
Data from Deribit shows 33,441 BTC in outstanding options contracts scheduled to expire at 08:00 UTC on Nov. 6, with the calculated maximum pain price sitting at $79,000.
⚠️ Personal market analysis only. NFA — manage risk and DYOR.
Educational content, not investment advice or a recommendation to buy, sell, deposit, or withdraw any asset. No paid promotion or referral/affiliate links.
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#USEarningsSeason #USEarningsSeason

US Earnings Season: Are American Companies Still Delivering Strong Growth?

Imagine opening your phone in the morning and seeing that a major American company has reported record sales. Its profits are higher, but its stock price is falling. How can a company perform well and still disappoint investors?

This is exactly why the US earnings season matters. Company results reveal more than whether businesses are making money. They help investors understand the strength of the economy, the direction of major industries, and what could happen in financial mark
The only ones on this list I’d dare buy are
NVDA, META, GOOG, SPCX
All the other hardware companies are second-tier
If the market really gets dumped, they could fall all the way back to 2024 levels
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U.S. jobs: +165,000 in October, versus 131,000 expected.
→ December Fed rate hike: about 77% to 79% priced in
→ Bitcoin: about $75,900, below its 200-day moving average
→ Fear & Greed: 25, extreme fear
Good number, bad news for the market?
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Following the release of the non-farm payrols data , the probillithy of a fed .....
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This time, it’s a Japanese company’s turn.
On November 5, Putin issued an order placing four of Japan Tobacco’s cigarette manufacturing companies in Russia under the temporary management of a Russian company. The next day, its stock hit the daily limit down, plunging 19.3% in a single day.
Japan Tobacco, known as JT, is Japan’s largest tobacco company. Seven Stars and Camel are among its brands.
Just the day before, its stock had hit a new high for the year.
But sell orders flooded in at the opening, and not a single trade went through all day. Only at the close were some shares matched at the
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The Fed Won't Cut Rates in December? US Nonfarm Payrolls Suddenly Blow Past Expectations, Rate Hike Bets Heat Up Again!

Markets had been expecting the Fed to cut rates, but yesterday the US dropped an employment report that jolted traders out of their dreams.

Here are a few key figures:

📊 US October nonfarm payrolls:

* Actual: 165,000 jobs added
* Forecast: 65,000 jobs added

📊 Unemployment rate:

* Actual: 4.1%
* Previous: 4.2%

📊 Average hourly earnings, year over year:

* Actual: 3.1%
* Forecast: 2.9%

In short, the US labor market is stronger than expected, and unemployment is still
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📣 Daily Highlights — November 6
Great insights deserve the spotlight.
When will AI spending start generating profits? Does the index rebound signal a recovery? What can we learn from trading mistakes?
Explore today's eight picks from Gate Square 👇

🔹 @赚钱吃肉肉 : AI spending, profits, and cash flowhttps://www.gate.com/zh/post/status/curated/25443255
🔹 @龙抄手: Rebound or reversal? BTC / ETH video analysishttps://www.gate.com/zh/post/status/25417274
🔹 @币靠普: What investors are watching beyond the AI growth storyhttps://www.gate.com/zh/post/status/curated/25443260
🔹 @云享财富讲堂: Tech stock weakness an
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What Is Beta? How Can You Determine an Altcoin’s Volatility Relative to BTC?

In the cryptocurrency market, some altcoins rise faster when BTC goes up and fall harder when BTC goes down. Many traders describe this phenomenon as “high elasticity,” but to analyze it more systematically, you need to understand a financial concept: beta.

Beta can help us understand how sensitive an asset is to fluctuations in a benchmark market, but it is not a tool for predicting future price movements, nor can it independently measure an asset’s overall risk.

First, what exactly is beta?

In traditional financ
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$SOL flirted with $91 today, then thought better of it and settled around $89.90. Still up a little on the day, which after this week honestly feels like a win. Holding through the weekend or waiting for a cleaner setup? #Solana
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