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$BTC For a long: I would wait for a 15-minute candle to close above 82 835, preferably with increasing volume. That would open the way to 83 100 and potentially 83 500.
For a short: I would wait for a break below 82 490 and confirmation of weakness on the hourly chart. Then a move to 82 230, followed by 81 800, would be more likely.
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Key levels:
$82 300 — breaking above will increase the likelihood of a rise.
$80 900 — nearest support.
$80 000 — important psychological level.
$79 700 — possible next target if it breaks downward.
In recent days, the market has been under pressure due to U.S. inflation data, Fed rate expectations, and weakness in tech stocks. On October 16, Barron's reported that BTC had fallen to a four-week low.
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$BTC Tonight Trump may strike Iran hard
In just the past four hours, oil has surged 5%, to $110 a barrel. Since the “diesel deal” with Russia, oil is already up 9%.
The U.S. market, by contrast, plunged by $350 billion today. The midterm elections will be held in the U.S. in 2.5 weeks, and Trump could lose both the Senate and the House of Representatives. @banks_economy
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$BTC My technical conclusion: the short-term outlook is currently tilted upward, but entering immediately after such a large green candle is risky. Especially with leverage.
I would watch the next two or three 15-minute candles: whether the price holds above 83,100 and whether buyers can break through 83,450.
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Levels I would watch:
Above 81,900–82,000 — there will be grounds to expect continued growth.
Below 81,200 — the likelihood of a test of 80,800–80,900 will increase.
Between them — the direction is not yet confirmed.
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$BTC I would look at it this way right now:
Long only after strength returns. I would be more interested in seeing a move back above 80,850–80,950, followed by a break of 81,230. If the 15-minute candle closes above 81,230 and the level holds on the retest, the next targets would be around 81,700–81,950, followed by the 82,250 area.
The 80,400–80,500 zone below is very interesting. As long as it holds, the current picture can still be considered a healthy consolidation. If price makes a quick sweep below it and is immediately bought back above ~80,600, that would be much more interesting for a
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$BTC holding $80k → second assault $81k → a breakout of $81.7–82k opens the way to $83.3–83.6k. But if BTC quickly returns below $80k and fails to reclaim it, today's surge could turn out to be a liquidity sweep followed by a pullback toward $79–78.5k.
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$BTC As of September 16, BTC was around $75,958, with today's range at $75,039–77,123. The market is also pricing in the failed procedural vote on the CLARITY Act; yesterday, the price fell to approximately $74,913.
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$BTC If BTC loses $79k, a drop back to $77–78k would then become likely again. I’ll only become more seriously concerned below $75.5–76k.
The market is currently largely awaiting the next US inflation data on September 11—they could sharply shift rate expectations for the Fed again and, consequently, BTC.
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$BTC My near-term view is sideways movement with a slight upward bias. As long as we stay above $79k, I expect another attempt to break through $80–81k. The main target remains $82.8–83k: Reuters considers this zone key resistance; a decisive breakout would open the way toward approximately $90k.
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$BTC If I had to put it very briefly: I’m slightly bullish at the moment, but the decisive level is still the same — $83k.
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$BTC My scenario for the near term:
holding above $80k — more likely another attempt at $81.5–83k;
a breakout of $82.8–83k — then the road opens toward approximately $86–90k;
if it loses $79k again, a return to $77–78k is likely.
Technically, Reuters also identifies $82,793 as the key resistance; a decisive breakout above it would significantly improve the outlook.
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$BTC is not waiting for “where to go,” but for confirmation on Fed rates. After the strong jobs report, it was quickly knocked down from above $81k to around $79.6k, and is now trapped between two zones.
The $79k area is important below, while $82.8–83k is the upper boundary. As long as it remains inside this range, I would expect nervous sideways trading. If it reclaims $81–83k, the chances of continuing toward $86–90k will increase noticeably; Reuters specifically identifies $82,793 as key resistance.
What the market is mainly waiting for now is next week’s inflation data. After today’s str
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$BTC For me, everything is simple right now: if it returns above $80.5–81k, we’ll go attack $82–83k again. If it loses today’s low around $78.3k, then a test of $77k is likely, and below that, $75–76k.
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$BTC The main reason is that the US employment report came in much stronger than expected: +162,000 jobs versus approximately +53,000–56,000 expected. This increases the chances that the Fed can keep rates high or even raise them, which is unfavorable for BTC.
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$BTC Yes. My bias is moderately bullish right now, but BTC has run into an important zone. The price is around $80.7k and has already reached nearly $82k today.
The key level is $82.8–83k. If it breaks through and holds above it, the most logical next range is $86–90k. Reuters also identifies $82,793 as the main resistance, above which the path to $90k technically opens.
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$BTC If $82–83k is rejected again, I see a normal pullback to $79–80k; I would only become seriously concerned if it falls back below $77–78k.
Today’s U.S. employment report is important: the market expects around +56,000 jobs, while the probability of a Fed rate hike is currently roughly 50/50. Therefore, a sharp move in either direction is possible after the data is released.
My forecast for the next 24 hours: another attack on $83k is more likely than a return to $75k.
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$BTC So far, so good.
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$BTC Now the key level is $82.8–83k. Reuters specifically highlights the $82,793 area as serious resistance; a decisive breakout above it would open the way toward roughly $90k.
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