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$BTC As of September 16, BTC was around $75,958, with today's range at $75,039–77,123. The market is also pricing in the failed procedural vote on the CLARITY Act; yesterday, the price fell to approximately $74,913.
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$BTC Key levels now:
$80–81k — if reclaimed, we head back to $82.8–83k;
a breakout $83k — already a serious bullish signal with potential for $86–90k;
losing $77.5k — then $75–76k becomes quite realistic;
below $71.8k, I will stop considering this a normal “reset”: the structure deteriorates noticeably there.
And an important point: the market is now awaiting US inflation data on Friday, followed by the Fed’s decision next week. Oil is nearly at $100, so any strong inflation data could once again sharply push BTC lower.
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$BTC The main catalyst lies ahead—U.S. inflation data on Thursday–Friday; the market currently prices in roughly a 60% chance of a Fed rate hike, so this data could push BTC out of its current range.
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$BTC The backdrop is slightly unfavorable: oil is around $97, geopolitical tensions are high, and the market is pricing in about a 58% chance of a Fed rate hike. This is making it difficult for BTC to break higher.
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$BTC If BTC loses $79k, a drop back to $77–78k would then become likely again. I’ll only become more seriously concerned below $75.5–76k.
The market is currently largely awaiting the next US inflation data on September 11—they could sharply shift rate expectations for the Fed again and, consequently, BTC.
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$BTC My near-term view is sideways movement with a slight upward bias. As long as we stay above $79k, I expect another attempt to break through $80–81k. The main target remains $82.8–83k: Reuters considers this zone key resistance; a decisive breakout would open the way toward approximately $90k.
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$BTC If I had to put it very briefly: I’m slightly bullish at the moment, but the decisive level is still the same — $83k.
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$BTC My scenario for the near term:
holding above $80k — more likely another attempt at $81.5–83k;
a breakout of $82.8–83k — then the road opens toward approximately $86–90k;
if it loses $79k again, a return to $77–78k is likely.
Technically, Reuters also identifies $82,793 as the key resistance; a decisive breakout above it would significantly improve the outlook.
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$BTC is not waiting for “where to go,” but for confirmation on Fed rates. After the strong jobs report, it was quickly knocked down from above $81k to around $79.6k, and is now trapped between two zones.
The $79k area is important below, while $82.8–83k is the upper boundary. As long as it remains inside this range, I would expect nervous sideways trading. If it reclaims $81–83k, the chances of continuing toward $86–90k will increase noticeably; Reuters specifically identifies $82,793 as key resistance.
What the market is mainly waiting for now is next week’s inflation data. After today’s str
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$BTC For me, everything is simple right now: if it returns above $80.5–81k, we’ll go attack $82–83k again. If it loses today’s low around $78.3k, then a test of $77k is likely, and below that, $75–76k.
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$BTC The main reason is that the US employment report came in much stronger than expected: +162,000 jobs versus approximately +53,000–56,000 expected. This increases the chances that the Fed can keep rates high or even raise them, which is unfavorable for BTC.
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$BTC Yes. My bias is moderately bullish right now, but BTC has run into an important zone. The price is around $80.7k and has already reached nearly $82k today.
The key level is $82.8–83k. If it breaks through and holds above it, the most logical next range is $86–90k. Reuters also identifies $82,793 as the main resistance, above which the path to $90k technically opens.
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$BTC If $82–83k is rejected again, I see a normal pullback to $79–80k; I would only become seriously concerned if it falls back below $77–78k.
Today’s U.S. employment report is important: the market expects around +56,000 jobs, while the probability of a Fed rate hike is currently roughly 50/50. Therefore, a sharp move in either direction is possible after the data is released.
My forecast for the next 24 hours: another attack on $83k is more likely than a return to $75k.
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$BTC So far, so good.
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$BTC Now the key level is $82.8–83k. Reuters specifically highlights the $82,793 area as serious resistance; a decisive breakout above it would open the way toward roughly $90k.
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$BTC The reason is clear: bond yields fell, and following more dovish comments from the Fed, the market reduced its expectations of a September rate hike. This supported both stocks and crypto.
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$BTC The reason for the pressure right now is largely external: the US–Iran escalation has pushed oil close to $95, the yield on 10-year US bonds has approached 4.81%, the dollar is strengthening, and risk assets are being sold off. This is already a backdrop capable of pushing BTC lower, even if nothing fundamentally bad has happened to crypto itself.
For me, three levels are all that matter right now:
$76.8–77k — as long as it holds, I consider what is happening a deep correction.
$75k — if we get there and it is not quickly bought up, the situation becomes noticeably more concerning.
$72k —
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$BTC My main scenario for the next 24 hours is sideways movement with a slight upward bias. The bulls’ first task is to reclaim $79.2–79.5k, and then push through the tough $79.4–80.8k zone. If BTC holds above $80.8k, I’ll again be looking at $82–83k, after which $85k could come into consideration. There is indeed a major supply zone around $80–82k, so breaking through it on the first attempt may be difficult.
The downside remains simple: as long as $77–77.2k holds, the situation is fine. If this level is decisively lost, the probability of another drop to $75–76k will increase.
What I like ri
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$BTC It looks like it has decided to try moving higher once again for now, but without a clean, confirmed breakout.
BTC is currently around $78.6k. Over the past 24 hours, the range was approximately $77.16k–79.35k. So after the morning push down toward $77k , it was bought back quite well again, and the price is now in the upper half of the daily range. At the same time, daily volume has risen noticeably—the battle is active.
My bias for the next few hours is slightly bullish. First, I would expect another attempt to touch $79.3–79.5k. If the sellers there are overpowered and BTC holds above
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Watching NVIDIA: interested in the price reaction at current levels and trading volume.
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