MacroBubble

Coin98.com reports that CryptoMichNL said the approval probability for the Clear Act has fallen to the lowest point in a year, currently at 31%. He believes this is a good opportunity worth betting on, and noted that next week the Senate may see a chance for approval. In addition, several major parties are working to ensure this goal can be achieved this year, as the United States does not want to fall behind in this regard. The market has already shown signs that approval may be coming soon, with strong performances from $ENA , $MORPHO , $UNI , and $AAVE , as well as a significant rise in $ETH compared with Bitcoin, all indicating that the market is optimistic about this.

Crypto/Web3 news flash: UWM Holdings (NYSE: UWMC) currently has a forward dividend yield of 19.2%, which appears to be a golden opportunity for yield-seeking investors. However, despite this extremely high yield, the market broadly believes its large dividend payouts may be difficult to sustain. UWM’s sharp share price drop has made it a high-yield stock, and analysts warn that it may face the risk of dividend cuts or even a pause in the future. While UWM’s revenue has rebounded after a steep decline, it still remains far below pre-pandemic profit levels. In 2021, UWM’s revenue was about $3 billion, while its 2025 earnings per share (EPS) is only $0.12. Analysts believe that if the housing market improves, UWM could recover, but until then, investors should remain cautious.

Coinjiewang news: The U.S. Treasury Department’s two-year note yield fell by 10 basis points intraday to 4.18%.

Crypto Realm News: According to an Iranian media outlet, enemy artillery shells hit several locations in the city of Bushehr in Iran.

Crypto sector news, citing foreign media: In June, the US services inflation indicator excluding energy was flat; in May, the indicator rose by 0.3%. The Federal Reserve is treating services inflation as a key area of focus.

Crypto界网 news: A JPMorgan strategists suggests that investors should close out a trade where the 10-year to 30-year U.S. Treasury yield curve is flattening before the U.S. CPI data is released and before Federal Reserve Chair Waller’s first testimony before Congress, to manage the event risk ahead. In a report, the strategist said that due to further escalation of geopolitical tensions and hawkish remarks by Fed officials, yields on short-term U.S. Treasuries rose by 6 basis points, while the yield curve flattening narrowed by 3 basis points. The report noted that Fed Governor Waller expressed concern that recent high inflation could become embedded in market inflation expectations. Waller said that if the upcoming CPI data continues to show that core inflation pressure remains strong, the Federal Reserve will need to consider tightening monetary policy soon.

Polkadot price prediction:
Will the $0.80-$0.95 range hold DOT moves?
Polkadot (DOT) is trading around $0.84, showing signs of stabilization after experiencing heavy selling pressure in recent weeks. The token remains above the important $0.80 support level, while traders continue monitoring whether DOT can remain within the $0.80-$0.95 consolidation range before attempting another recovery.
Although short-term sentiment remains cautious, investors are closely watching upcoming ecosystem developments that could influence price action.
Key data:
Current DOT price: Around $0.84
Daily change: +1.1%
Short-term outlook: Moderate volatility
Main consolidation range: $0.80-$0.95
Performance across timeframes:
24 hours: Positive recovery
7 days: Mixed performance
1 month: Under pressure
3 months: Market remains volatile
Fundamental factors:
Polkadot recently introduced a 2.1 billion
DOT hard supply cap and significantly reduced token issuance through a
governance vote, making the token's economics more deflationary. Investors are also monitoring the upcoming JAM (Join-Accumulate Machine) upgrade, which aims to improve scalability and developer adoption. In addition, the launch of the 21Shares Polkadot ETF (TDOT) has increased institutional access to DOT in the U.S. market.
Conclusion:
Polkadot is currently trading in a consolidation phase. As long as DOT holds above $0.80, the market bias remains neutral to mildly bullish. A sustained move above $0.95 could confirm stronger upside momentum.
#GTBurns2.57MInQ2 #PredictWorldCup🇵🇹vs🇪🇸 #VitalikUnveilsLeanEthereum #gStocksTokenizedStocksLive #BitcoinWhalesAdd270KInTwoWeeks $DOT ‌$DOT ‌

Wu learned that the cross-chain protocol Wormhole has announced that the Moonbeam network will officially shut down on July 31, 2026. Moonbeam will maintain its parachain operations during the transition period, but the chain will cease operations after July 31. Wormhole stated that after this date, Portal and Wormhole contributors will not be able to assist in recovering any assets stored on the chain. Wormhole recommends that users transfer external assets out of the chain via Moonbeam's official channels before the deadline.

If it's been volatile for a long time, don't panic; you become numb once you get used to it!
The ECB Central Bank Forum starts today and lasts until July 1! Central bank officials from around the world are attending, and Warsh is also there.
Warsh and several other major central bank officials will deliver speeches on July 1, marking Warsh's first public appearance since taking office. Therefore, on a macro level, the market will wait to see if Warsh's remarks maintain a hawkish tone to gauge monetary policy (i.e., expectations for rate hikes or cuts).
There's nothing major happening in the crypto space. I heard that MicroStrategy has hinted at increasing its BTC holdings again, but it doesn't seem to have much effect anymore!
There's also nothing major in U.S. stock markets. At the end of the quarter, there's portfolio rebalancing and asset allocation! As mentioned before,
Warsh's speech coincides with the market closing its monthly candlesticks, and on July 2, the first non-farm payroll data and unemployment rate of the new quarter will be released. Therefore, the probability of volatility before that is very, very high.
There's nothing to do but wait, wait for a signal you recognize and feel is favorable to you. #Saylor暗示增持BTC

CoinWorld News: The Bahraini military stated in a statement that it has intercepted multiple Iranian attacks.

Pi Network is pushing ecosystem activities such as Vibe Coder and Slice Launchpad testnet ahead of the Pi2Day deadline on June 28, 2026. Pioneers can still participate: through the Pi App Studio, introduce AI-assisted app builders, submit qualified social media posts for mining apps, and enter the Pi merchandise giveaway. Activities continue until Pi2Day. Officials stated that the focus this time is on app creation, Launchpad testing, and user engagement, not price announcements. Crypto.News shows a price of approximately $0.1267 on June 25, down 1.56% in 24 hours and 3.01% over the week.

Cryptonews reported that Strive CEO Matt Cole predicts that Bitcoin income-generating products such as STRC and SATA may unlock a digital credit market of approximately $3 trillion, with widespread adoption potentially pushing Bitcoin’s price to $1 million. He stated that the global credit market is about $300 trillion, and that 1% equals $3 trillion. SATA’s Bitcoin-linked dividend has an annualized yield of 13%, providing returns for investors while supporting the company. The spot BTC ETF will continue to expand, and the related income demand has yet to be fully tapped.

Interactive Brokers Securities (IBKR) announces the official integration of ChatGPT and Grok, expanding AI trading capabilities, and will not charge any additional fees beyond the existing Anthropic Claude integration. Users can securely connect their IBKR accounts to mainstream AI platforms, use natural language to perform portfolio analysis, and generate trading instructions covering asset classes such as options, futures, futures options, and so on. The related features have been launched on Client Portal, IBKR Desktop, IBKR Mobile, and TWS, using a human-AI collaboration architecture. The AI-generated instructions are non-binding drafts; users must review them before placing orders. The authenticated connectors are managed by Interactive Brokers and do not expose account passwords or API keys to AI providers.

$BTC Order Books
Spot OBs are still heavy at 62k
Perps heavy at 63.2k.
If 64k doesn't hold, these 2 ranges are likely to get hit next.

Crypto news, according to Lookonchain data, on June 18th, Bitcoin ETFs experienced a net outflow of 1,547 BTC in a single day, approximately $98.45 million, with a total net outflow of 2,622 BTC over 7 days, approximately $166.82 million. Ethereum ETFs had a net outflow of 9,016 ETH in a single day, approximately $15.63 million, and a net outflow of 2,444 ETH over 7 days, approximately $4.24 million.

CoinWorld News reports that Capital B shareholders have approved a financing plan that enables the company to raise up to $5.76 billion by issuing new shares, and to finance up to $115.2 billion through credit instruments to increase its Bitcoin holdings. In theory, the financing amount can support the purchase of more than 1.87 million BTC.

$BTC Price bounced from our demand zone but retraced the entire move back down,
We are still seeing rejection from the zone,
But the internals are not aligning + Buyers are not showing up,
If you see the perp and spot CVDs, they have been rolling over for a day now,
Currently price is forming a descending wedge type structure with OI ticking up slowly while price declines.
Meaning new shorts are adding up on the failed bounce,
We had minor long liquidations and potentially get more longs flushed into the CPI,
In the previous post we talked about how price could sweep the range lows (58-60k) if this support fails.
And looking at how things are we might test 60k soon,
The thing to notice here is that OI is keep on rising, and shorts are entering,
If CVDs keep on rolling like this, we are certainly gonna test 60k again,
Though if CVDs start to reverse from here, that would lead to a stronger squeeze cuz of the new shorts entering.
What I am doing now?
I closed my Swing Long above BE and will be staying flat for sometime, will observe how things are playing out.
I am looking for better long entries, if I get them, will take them for sure.
We got liquidity building below 60k, which has very high chance of getting tested,
So imo, it's better to stay flat and observe how things goes from here and then take decisions based on that, I personally wouldn't wanna long into a bearish orderflow.
If this goes straight up from here, that's fine to me.
$BTC
Price bounced from our demand zone but retraced the entire move back down,
We are still seeing rejection from the zone,
But the internals are not aligning + Buyers are not showing up,
If you see the perp and spot CVDs, they have been rolling over for a day now,
Currently price is forming a descending wedge type structure with OI ticking up slowly while price declines.
Meaning new shorts are adding up on the failed bounce,
We had minor long liquidations and potentially get more longs flushed into the CPI,
In the previous post we talked about how price could sweep the range lows (58-60k) if this support fails.
And looking at how things are we might test 60k soon,
The thing to notice here is that OI is keep on rising, and shorts are entering,
If CVDs keep on rolling like this, we are certainly gonna test 60k again,
Though if CVDs start to reverse from here, that would lead to a stronger squeeze cuz of the new shorts entering.
What I am doing now?
I closed my Swing Long above BE and will be staying flat for sometime, will observe how things are playing out.
I am looking for better long entries, if I get them, will take them for sure.
We got liquidity building below 60k, which has very high chance of getting tested,
So imo, it's better to stay flat and observe how things goes from here and then take decisions based on that, I personally wouldn't wanna long into a bearish orderflow.
If this goes straight up from here, that's fine to me.