adam_greeks_live

Everything is under control; anyone who uses agents every day couldn't possibly have the slightest expectation of $GOOG

Weekends are genuinely boring now; Bitcoin and stocks both lose their pulse over the weekend. The upside is that you can properly enjoy the weekend without having to check the market much.
Bitcoin has once again fallen below $80k, and the market has become desensitized. Short-term implied volatility is now clearly lower than medium- and long-term implied volatility, falling below 35%. The market's expectations for volatility are too low. If it moved in step with U.S. stocks, volatility wouldn't be this low. Directional trading in crypto has essentially run out of room, while options can still

【October 23 Options Expiry Data】
16k BTC options are expiring, with a Put Call Ratio of 1, a max pain point of $82,000, and a notional value of $1.28 billion.
58k ETH options are expiring, with a Put Call Ratio of 1.24, a max pain point of $2,460, and a notional value of $250 million.
At tomorrow’s expiry, less than 4% of Bitcoin options open interest and less than 7% of Ethereum options open interest will expire. This week’s gains were all erased today, the pullback in U.S. stocks has slowed, and BTC has not followed U.S. stocks lower this month. The 80K support remains strong. We are now in

There is still more than a week until the monthly expiry, and this round of the small bull market has entered a lackluster phase. A large volume of trading is centered around expectations of range-bound movement—when an arrow is at the end of its flight, it can no longer pierce even thin silk.
However, there was another positive signal this morning: a whale actively bought 500 sets of 90K/95K bull call spreads expiring at the end of the month. This is a relatively rare directional trade recently, suggesting the whale is expecting market action in the final days of this month.

Not long ago, Coinbase launched its built-in agent feature, and now every user can directly use the agent on Coinbase INTX. Coinbase has always been at the forefront of AI adoption, and the company also uses AI technology extensively internally.
In previous news, Coinbase used its own payment anti-fraud data to conduct specialized training on the Qwen3.5-9B small model. In internal testing, some anti-fraud metrics even surpassed Claude Opus 4.5.
Greekslive is also a technology-driven company, and we have likewise launched an options Agent feature—terminal. AI will certainly be rapidly adopted

【October 16 Options Settlement Data】
18,000 BTC options expired, with a Put Call Ratio of 1, a maximum pain point of $83,000, and a notional value of $1.47 billion.
Today, 4.5% of Bitcoin options open interest expired. This week, U.S. stocks saw a sharp pullback due to poor macroeconomic data, while cryptocurrencies followed the decline for most of the time, leaving the market relatively weak.
Judging from the major options data, IV is currently at a relatively low level. At 35%, there is not much room for further decline, and the market's expected volatility for future price movements has rea

A lot of GEX has built up at 2500 USD for ETH, while no other coins have such an obvious potential squeeze. If it breaks below 2500 USD tonight, it feels like the decline could accelerate, so you could buy some puts expiring this week

【October 9 Options Expiration Data】
22,000 BTC options expired, with a Put Call Ratio of 1.12, a maximum pain point of $84,000, and a notional value of $1.84 billion.
123,000 ETH options expired, with a Put Call Ratio of 0.71, a maximum pain point of $2,650, and a notional value of $320 million.
Tomorrow’s expiration will see 6% of Bitcoin options open interest and 9% of Ethereum options open interest expire. The market has been in a pullback for most of this week, and we need to wait for BTC to choose a direction. Historically, the first shock of a bear market trades time for space, with secu

Looking back, during long holidays such as the Spring Festival and National Day, market trading volume and activity would drop significantly. Starting around Christmas 2022, the influence of European and American holidays clearly surpassed that of Chinese holidays, and Chinese trading habits have had an increasingly smaller impact on the mainstream coin market.
As market projects and capital gradually became completely dominated by white people, weekends also began to turn into dead time for trading. It has already been three years since crypto became dominated by white people.
Although exchan

Today’s block trades are really lively: bullish block options totaled $1.45 billion, accounting for 36%, while bearish block options totaled $1.2 billion, accounting for 30%. As the market pulled back initially, it was clear that sellers began unloading on a large scale.
Tomorrow is quarterly expiry, and trading volume in slightly out-of-the-money same-day options accounts for the absolute majority. It still looks fairly promising to make some “cigarette butt” trades now; generally, quarterly expiry does not bring very high volatility.

The BTC IV curve seems to have lost its heartbeat—up $10k in 4 days, with IV still at 35%. Is this reasonable?

Coinbase has been making frequent moves across the Asia-Pacific region recently, from establishing an office in Singapore to laying out its licensing plans in Australia. The trend of this compliant industry veteran expanding into the Asia-Pacific market is becoming increasingly clear. For retail investors and large capital, established compliant exchanges are a must-have option for diversified asset allocation.
I happened to secure exclusive official community benefits, with a user-friendly entry threshold. Coinbase is offering new-user registration rewards, and signing up through the link can

【September 11 Options Expiry Data】
29,000 BTC options expired, with a Put Call Ratio of 0.6, a maximum pain point of $78,000, and a notional value of $2.24 billion.
114,000 ETH options expired, with a Put Call Ratio of 1.17, a maximum pain point of $2,450, and a notional value of $280 million.
Bitcoin continues to trade sideways and consolidate around $80,000. It began its rally in late last month and reached $80,000 within three days, and has now been moving sideways for nearly three weeks. As expected, Bitcoin’s fluctuations are completed within a very short period, followed by a prolonged s