DeepWhale

In a market driven by short-term volatility and sentiment, return to the simplest truth—one that is also the hardest to uphold: the core of investing is not predicting rises and falls, but understanding businesses, cultivating human nature, and making time your friend. There is no shortcut formula; instead, real-life experiences are used to unpack the logic behind long-termism, certainty, and compounding. A firm belief in the power of compounding is not only an investment methodology, but also a philosophy of life worth practicing over the long term.

July 27 ETH
Yesterday, after consolidating, ETH surged rapidly higher and is now facing a challenge near the prior high.
On the fundamentals, Trump ordered the U.S. military to stop launching new airstrikes on Iran, ending the earlier streak of daily strikes that had continued for nearly two weeks, totaling 13 days. Iran also said that because the U.S. had not attacked the country in the past two nights, it has stopped retaliatory strikes, and Iran’s actions are currently paused. Crude oil fell sharply, while major currencies rebounded higher. Afterwards, when Trump spoke about Iran, h

July 25 Trading Outlook:
Yesterday, ETH continued to decline, and the current bearish stance remains unchanged.
On the fundamentals: with the recent escalation of tensions between the US and Iran, oil prices surged again, reinforcing rate-hike expectations. Data from the Chicago Mercantile Exchange shows that, according to current pricing, the probability of the Fed raising rates next week has risen to 38%, up from just 12% a week ago. On the other hand, Trump said that there are many exit options regarding the Iran issue, such as a military exit strategy or reaching an agreement with Ir

July 23 ETH:
Yesterday, ETH continued to trade in high-level consolidation, with no directional breakout.
On the fundamentals, the conflict between the US and Iran is still ongoing. The market has not been swayed; it remains unclear whether negotiations will continue or whether the war will be expanded further. Investors are only focused on the final outcome. Meanwhile, the Federal Reserve will hold a policy meeting on July 28–29 local time. As the meeting approaches, the swap market shows traders estimate the probability that this central bank will raise rates by 25 basis points in Ju

July 21 ETH:
Yesterday, ETH held range-bound fluctuations. Today, it will continue to wait for a breakout from the range.
On the fundamentals, on one hand, the U.S. launched its 10th airstrike on Iran, aiming to further weaken Iran’s military capability used to attack commercial vessels in the Strait of Hormuz; after midnight, Iran said that a mediator proposed a 10-day ceasefire between the U.S. and Iran to seek the resumption of implementing the memorandum of understanding. Iran’s Ministry of Foreign Affairs confirmed receipt of the mediator’s proposal. On the other hand, the U.S. June Confe