WilliamsI

The US Tax System
Is a slow but extremely ruthless machine
It won't remind you to exit at the high
Nor urge you to enter at the low
It only, when the time comes,
Demands people to cash out
I've seen this situation too many times:
Prices are pushed to a seemingly safe level at the beginning of the year
People talk about prospects
Talk about trends
Talk about how this time is different
Yet deliberately ignore a fact
Tax
Never accepts faith
Only accepts dollars
Under this structure,
The market often presents an enticing move
It may go up first,
Create a short squeeze,
Make the last shorts give up

$BTC Bitcoin Price Today: Currently around 87,000. If a small-degree triangle is confirmed later, then a downward move at the end of the triangle would form a relatively clear ABC structure.
As long as this ABC structure holds, it can be basically confirmed that Wave W has already completed in the current zone, and all subsequent oscillations and fluctuations should be classified as part of Wave X. The characteristics of Wave X are complex, repetitive, elongated in time, and weak in directional sense. Therefore, the current oscillating market is entirely consistent with the nature of Wave X.

Core situation assessment: Is it a "bottoming" or a "downward correction"?
• Short-term support confirmation: ETH spiked back up near $2,962, indicating that there is indeed strong buying pressure from long positions and short position liquidations in that range.
• Indicator repair demand: The 15-minute/1-hour KDJ is in an oversold position at a low level. Technically, a pullback is needed to absorb the divergence rate from the sudden drop in the early morning.
• Trend determination: rebound rather than reversal. Overall, the 4-hour and daily levels are still bearish. Therefore, the next strat

A new week has begun, and the cryptocurrency market is destined to remain volatile. Multiple macroeconomic variables are intertwined, with a flood of US economic data about to be released, internal disagreements within the Federal Reserve continue to ferment, and the chain reaction from Japan's rate hike is unfolding. Market attention is fully focused on the core debate over the future rate cuts by the Federal Reserve—this debate is heating up as a series of key economic data are released, becoming the main theme driving this week's crypto market trends. From the current market performance, le

#FedRateCutPrediction
Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell emphasized their commitment to lowering inflation to 2% at the post-decision press conference following the latest interest rate announcement. Powell stated that the recent rise in inflation is largely due to tariffs, saying, “We are committed to achieving a 2% inflation target, and we will accomplish it.” In this meeting, the Federal Reserve lowered the key interest rate by 0.25 percentage points to a range of 4.25-4.50%, which is considered an important step before the end of the year.
Powell's remarks indicate that the aggressive ta

As almost all major assets are trading within a range, analysts emphasize that the tone of Jerome Powell's speech, rather than the rate cut itself, may determine the market’s next real trend.
In recent days, Bitcoin has fluctuated between $88,000 and $93,000, with liquidity gradually decreasing as the end of the year approaches. Ethereum remains around $3,100, BNB is near $886, and Solana is around $132. During this wait-and-see period, the total crypto market cap has dropped to about $3.1 trillion.
ETF Flows Indicate Rotation Into Altcoins
Despite flat price action, exchange-traded funds reve

The three major U.S. stock indexes collectively closed higher, with the Dow Jones Index rising by 1.43%, the S&P 500 Index increasing by 0.91%, and the Nasdaq Composite Index up by 0.67%. The performance of large tech stocks was mixed. According to CME's "FedWatch": the probability of a 25 basis point rate cut by the Federal Reserve in December is 84.9%, while the probability of keeping the interest rate unchanged is 15.1%. The cumulative probability of a 25 basis point rate cut by the Federal Reserve by January next year is 66.4%, with a probability of 11.1% for keeping the interest rate

According to news from the Gate news bot, a major crypto whale has made a significant move in the market by depositing 6.5 million USDC to the Hyperliquid platform. This transaction occurred after a two-month period. The whale has already allocated $2.37 million to purchase 78,984 HYPE tokens at an average price of $30 each. Additionally, this investor maintains active buy orders from $27 to $29, with a remaining budget of $4.16 million specifically for further HYPE token purchases.

The three major US stock indexes all closed higher, with the Dow Jones up 1.08%, the S&P 500 up 0.98%, and the Nasdaq Composite up 0.88%. Major tech stocks saw mixed performance. Although the current cryptocurrency market is continuing its rebound and recovery trend, the market order disrupted by previous downward breakouts has not yet been fully restored. The tug-of-war between bulls and bears is particularly intense, directly leading to repeated switches in trends within a range, with the overall market showing characteristics of consolidation and oscillation. In this competitive landscape,

#数字资产代币化浪潮 November 19 morning SOL trend observation
On the four-hour level, SOL has already risen above $142 and is firmly sticking to the upper Bollinger Band. This movement is indeed strong, but it also exposes a problem - the distance between the price and the middle band has widened too much. Market sentiment is clearly overheated, and technically there are two possibilities: either a pullback for correction, or a sideways consolidation for a while waiting for the middle band to catch up.
The upper band of the Bollinger Bands is now directly a resistance level, while the lower band is a

Differentiated opportunities have just emerged under extreme fear.
After taking a look around, BTC/ETH is still in a 4H downtrend with no new signals. However, the situation for SOL is different—institutional funds are flowing in, and the relative strength is immediately noticeable: RSI at 64.3, with the price steadily above EMA20, while BTC/ETH are at the 58-61 level, making SOL stand out.
Although the 4H chart is also in a bearish background (EMA20 139.6 < EMA50 148.6), the RSI at 33.3 is so oversold, combined with an extreme fear index of 10, a rebound signal is right in front of us. In the

A new day begins, and the crypto market continues to experience a downward trend. The "aftereffects" of the U.S. government shutdown are still brewing, with Bitcoin falling below $95,000, putting pressure on the $90,000 round number; Ethereum struggles at the $3,000 mark, and last night's rebound was quickly suppressed by bearish traders. Market panic is widespread, but bottom signals and operational opportunities are beginning to show signs. The core pressure on the market stems from the macroeconomic uncertainty left behind by the government shutdown. The shutdown has led to institutiona

All three major U.S. stock indexes closed lower, with the Dow Jones Industrial Average falling by 1.65%, the S&P 500 dropping by 1.65%, and the Nasdaq Composite declining by 2.29%. The technology zone saw the largest declines. According to CME's "Fed Watch": the probability of a 25 basis point rate cut by the Fed in December is 51.6%, while the probability of maintaining the interest rate is 48.4%. The probability of the Fed cumulatively cutting rates by 25 basis points by January next year is 50.3%, with a 29.1% chance of keeping the interest rate unchanged, and the probability of a cumul

Xiang Li: November 14th Morning btc/ETH Operations and Analysis
In the early morning, the market showed a one-sided downward trend. The price of Bitcoin dropped sharply from the morning high of 104024 to 97959, currently oscillating around 98300; the altcoin followed suit, retreating stepwise from 3565 to 3152, now hovering around 3160. Based on a highly accurate grasp of market rhythm and entry timing, both orders we placed during the early morning have achieved success, with Bitcoin capturing over 1181 points of space and the altcoin successfully seizing over 147 points of space, once again

The stubborn insider has finally reduced his position, liquidating all of his Bitcoin long orders at a loss, while continuously reducing his positions in Ethereum and SOL long orders, once again crashing the market sentiment single-handedly!
However, this series of operations is for reference only.
In practice, we still need to pay attention to the support of the channel structure position in the market. The last support point for Bitcoin is the integer level of 105,000 USD. If it breaks, we should focus on the range of 103,500 to the previous daily low of 101,500 USD! For Ether, pay attention

The crypto assets market is showing an overall trend of consolidation, with Bitcoin maintaining a high-level fluctuation pattern, while Ethereum has pulled back after reaching a high.
The intraday price fluctuation of Bitcoin has narrowed, oscillating mainly in the range above 110000 throughout the day, demonstrating strong support. From a technical perspective, the 4-hour chart provides a clear signal: previously, after multiple rebounds above the 106000 mark, the price successfully stabilized, followed by a series of bullish candles indicating an upward trend, with the entire process relying