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Trissy

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Robotics is reaching a tipping point with In-Context Learning (ICL).
Confirming my northern star thesis of the sector turning from a hardware to compute problem. Which is where I believe the biggest growth will come from.
ICL is a new paradigm for physical AI: inference time adaptation rather than fine tuning. Tokenized demonstrations of desired behaviors (physical prompting) can be passed into the expanded context windows of the latest vision-language-action models (VLAs) and world models.
Robots can then perform complex, unique tasks in one shot, without the need for any gradient learning on
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NVDA-1.18%
Onchains been hot for over 3 months and we’re yet to see a real utility meta.
So far it’s been a blend of memes, stock coins and a few private inference plays.
Launchpad mechanics thus far have been anti longevity other than Long XYZ, which still doesn’t really support utility projects in a meaningful way as their entire business moat is supporting an arbitrage flywheel.
Don’t get me wrong, I’m still a big fan of Long and they deserve their flowers with how they optimized deeper liquidity and dynamics of LP structures, I believe every team should carefully study the progressions they’ve made.
PUMP-1.06%
Hardest part about being a conviction style trader the past 6-12 months is due to the environment being so foresenics driven for every trade.
- Bundles
- Wallet tracking
- KOLs
- Vamps
- Deployers
Etc
It’s deterred many from wanting to trade as if you don’t have the tooling and available 10+ hours a day, it’s extremely difficult.
Even if you obtain the points above, it’s extremely difficult and still a minefield.
There might seem like more runners and volume, but it mostly feels a facade manufactured by the launchpads/devs to keep gamblers participating.
For example take $BUNS which has been o
ETH-1.26%
PONS+4.32%
TOKEN-0.16%
The current state for onchain feels like one of those positions where it’s better to wait for a clear reversal than buying the dips.
Reasons being:
- War escalations causing higher oil prices
- Inflation starting to spiral with 30y yields coming back up to $5. Bessent is going to be forced into commentary as he positioned himself as “the house”, now traders are pricing him into action
- Innovation exemption - forcing licensed exchanges/dealers of tokenized stocks to have permissioned blockchains/infra and adhering to new policy about assets
- Mid terms in 1.5 months, I don’t factor this when c
BTC-0.67%
STONK+11.55%
There’s a clear reason why coins on Stonk Fun aren’t moving.
Slippage is way too high.
The 3% tax for reflections doesn’t bother me too much, but there’s an additional 2.5% tax for covering network and operating costs.
Pair this with Solana’s low liquidity. Most coins sub 20 mil have around 1:10 LP:Mcap ratio. Meaning 50% of the LP is underlying asset/Sol and 50% native token.
Accumulating 0.5% is roughly 15% slippage, 1% is roughly 25%.
I get that its the name of the game with the buyback and burns for Stonk + reflections, but if they wanted more runners surely they’d dedicated at least 0.25-
STONK+11.55%
FUN-0.44%
SOL-0.77%
After many months of research and consideration, $CODEC is once again my highest conviction trade.
My bullishness for robotics never left, however the environment clearly wasn’t favourable and products were still too immature to have a real impact on development.
So why the sudden change of mind? What’s so interesting that’s brought me back?
Firstly, this wasn’t an overnight decision. Around 3 months ago I was coming back from a trading hiatus, since my read on the market wasn’t great, a protocol I have to better my edge is reading as much non crypto related material as possible. This is my fa
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Robinhood is what Base was meant to be.
This alone is what’s keeping me so bullish on the $CASHCAT trade.
The bear market has forced everyone into excessive risk management and losing the ability to fire on narratives which could be break out trades.
Which is why $ANSEM has performed so well as consensus turned to people believing there would be no more mid 9+ fig runners in memes. Now that it’s happened once, the genie is out of the bottle. A couple hints from CZ alone nearly sent a coin to 9 figs.
Even still, with the amount of failures in L1's and new chains attempting to vamp attention and
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The fight with Anthropic vs the Department of War is crucial for our freedom.
We’re watching the first public attempt of government using AI for mass surveillance.
“We captured the Venezuelan president using your product” translates to “you need to give us full control to monitor user behaviour, allowing us to push political propaganda and have a choke hold over future decisions as we have so much behavioural data”.
This is identical to the idea of CBDC’s and equally if not more destructive. While I don’t see the government slowing down in attempting to control tech companies due to “national
Profit Taking Models

Since we’ve recently gone through one of the worst liquidation in our industries history, I thought I’d share a couple profit taking models to try and help those making their comeback arc or looking to survive for longer.

These will be off the basis of portfolio valuation and using 50k, 100k, 200k & 500k for easy maths.

You can scale these numbers to whatever suits your personal circumstances and portfolio.

Model #1: Withdrawing percentages at milestones (my favourite)

Linear:

20% @ 50k = 10k

20% @ 100k = 20k

20% @ 200k = 40k

20% @ 500k = 100k

Dynamic:

10% @ 50
In the early days of the internet and web development, everything was hand written in raw JavaScript or HTML.

Each web app was its own silo. As they grew more complex, the community invented tools like Webpack and Vite which are module bundlers and build systems that automatically handle different file types and assets.

Meaning a developer could import an image, font or a TypeScript file into their project and the bundler’s loaders would know how to process it (convert TS to JS, inline the image etc).

The browser itself only understands HTML/CSS/JS but these toolkits encode/decode other for
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Robotics is the next industrial revolution.

The first industrial revolution (steam to mechanization) grew global GDP by roughly 10x between 1820-1910.

Robotics will do the same in reverse, machines will now mechanize labor itself. Instead of one person running one machine, one person (or no person) will oversee thousands of autonomous machines networked together.

The steam engine era took nearly a century to replace human and animal labor. Humanoids can scale exponentially faster, once a functional blue collar brain is trained, it can be cloned infinitely through software and cheap hardware
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SOL goes on a god rally soon imo.

While ETHs outperformance since May was due to institutional flows, home to 90%+ of stablecoins (circle IPO), robhinhood building, everyone writing it off as a trade etc. We’re starting to see the narrative become more matured as positioning becomes heavier.

This doesn’t mean ETH won’t perform (I’m confident it will). I’m just saying SOL will be the fastest horse by a larger margin.

SOL’s positioning feels much lighter even as it approaches ATHs, with its backdrop being much stronger. We’re seeing real institutional adoption, such as Forward Industries rais
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SOL-0.77%
ETH-1.26%
Flew to Dubai to work with the $CODEC team in person.

Robotics is going to be too big of a sector not to go all in on.

Study working for your bags.
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There's a coin with virtually zero competition, abstracting away the most complex tasks in what may be the fastest growing sector we'll ever see.

Where the team behind it is even getting direct input from Hugging Face's LeRobot team to build an open SDK for world simulations. In other words, they're working with open source AI leaders to make their development kit as efficient as possible for simulating reality.

This vertical is crucial because humanoid robots don’t deal in text or code, they operate in the atoms and physical objects. An AI agent can analyze text, but a humanoid needs to per
I get asked a lot what robotics plays I’m in besides $CODEC.

Answer: none so far.

If I believe robotics is the next AI style meta with the potential to run into the billions, and if I see Codec as the ai16z/Virtuals of the ecosystem, why would I allocate capital and more importantly, conviction, to my second best idea?

My trading style is closer to Jez’s, where I full port my highest conviction plays. That means I’ve had some horrendous round trips, but I’m not here for average returns.

Full porting forces accountability, you can’t hide behind a basket of half baked bets. That mental clari
Came to a realization today that if you’ve been actively trading onchain day in day out for 12+ months you’re considered a veteran now.

Just as we had multiple months of outperformance across alts only a few years ago, we’ve flipped the script to where narratives struggle to last longer than a week.

In turn, those who’ve showed up everyday and taken shots have lived through dozens of mini cycles within isolated eco’s. Essentially speed running your tuition or a term some of you might prefer, Fortnite creative mode.

For the younger crowd who were Fortnite demons like myself, there was a nigh
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