December rate hike probability at 88%; 50-basis-point option goes from “zero” to “on the table”

Before CPI was released, markets priced in about a 72% chance of a December rate hike. After the data came out, CME FedWatch jumped directly to 88.8%, while the probability of a 50-basis-point hike rose from 0% before the release to between 11% and 15%. Markets are no longer pricing in “no change in December” as an option.

CPI wasn’t the only catalyst. Fed Governor Waller had already made his position clear before the data came out: if core CPI rose 0.3% month over month, he would lean toward supp

‍#美国10月CPI全面超预期 #Gate股票畅聊季 #美股财报季 #每周来晒
CPI halted the rebound: How should you position in U.S. stocks from here?
The damage last night’s CPI did to U.S. stocks lies in how it changed the nature of the rebound, not in how much the indices fell. After the big sell-off on November 5, the market recovered over three trading days, and the Nasdaq was still up 2.74% on November 9. As soon as CPI came out, futures plunged, turning the rebound from a “recovery” into a “dead-cat bounce.”
The impact is also clear: it hurts valuations, not earnings.

I. Why the impact was so severe: valuations were te

Diagnosis confirmed: inside-out collar syndrome.
Prescription: Just turn it around and you'll be fine. 💊

#ALTCOIN #TOTAL2
Altcoin cycle spiral.
Friends, this time I wrapped the total market cap of all coins except Bitcoin around a 4-year dial.
Altcoin peaks are also in the same region as Bitcoin’s: January 2018, November 2021, and October 2025.
The purple and orange lines stand out on the chart. The purple line is the 2020–2023 cycle, and the orange line is this cycle. They almost overlap. Altcoins managed to surpass the 2021 peak by only 3.5% this cycle.
The 2022 and 2026 lows are also at the same point on the dial. Both occurred in June.
The altcoin market cap is currently $950 billion. The low

I'm not watching $UNI anymore.

Really, I'm done watching.

A pool full of fee-generating machines—the pool is still there, money is still flowing, but the price just lies there, barely moving, and keeps probing lower. They've been talking about that burn proposal since spring, and now it's gone quiet. The hype died faster than a fan spins.

You call this an undervalued opportunity? I call it an emotional wasteland.

The hardest part isn't buying in at the top; it's holding for a year or so, just breaking even, and watching it head back to square one. That's what wears you down the most: every

Will be in London for DAS/Solana events/Breakpoint
Looking to meet and connect with anyone interested in:
- PreIPOs, investing, earning, and tokenising onchain
- The space economy (interest in AI/Manufacturing in space)
- Where DeFi is going next
- Investors, capital allocators, chains, funds, family offices and those looking for some of the best opportunities in the coming years
- Liquid investing in markets going into 2027
- Last but not least, our beloved community around @Starcap_xyz/@RKST_xyz
Hit me up, I'll be around today/tomorrow and next week!
Yes, this is a cool pic of a Deer I too

#USOctoberCPIBeatsExpectations
#每周来晒 #美国10月CPI全面超预期
US October CPI Beats Expectations: Inflation Remains a Major Challenge for the Federal Reserve
The latest US Consumer Price Index (CPI) report for October 2026 has delivered an important signal to global financial markets: inflationary pressure remains stronger than expected, despite some moderation in monthly price increases.
According to the latest report, US headline CPI increased by 0.4% month over month, exceeding economists' expectations of 0.3%. Although this represents a slowdown from September's 0.6% increase, the result indicates

Baskets’ performance

With numbers like these, I’ve gotta post about it!

#资产分析 https://www.gate.com/wallet/assetsAnalysis
It’s been almost a year without a liquidation. Stay steady through the last two months of this year, and after the New Year, it’ll be possible to increase the position

What Are Stablecoins? Why Have They Become Important Web3 Infrastructure? From Value Pegging to Real-World Applications, Understanding How Stablecoins Work and Their Risks

In the cryptocurrency market, Bitcoin and Ethereum are often affected by price volatility, while stablecoins aim to offer digital assets with relatively stable prices.

Whether for trade settlement, cross-border payments, DeFi lending, or transferring assets between different blockchain networks, stablecoins are playing an increasingly important role.

But stablecoins are not risk-free. Understanding how they can maintain t

Didn't they say the tech bubble had already burst? Why are you pushing it so high now? What do you mean by this? Damn, don't tell me you've been accumulating at the bottom? I'm so jealous$SNDK $SKHYNIX $KORU ‌ ‌ ‌

As expected, it’s still the same saying: one candlestick can change your life

Gate Live Carnival Final Leaderboard Race! TOP 10 Rankings Revealed — Win Exclusive Merchandise!

It's the final day of the event, and the competition is heating up! The current Top 7 users are all tied at 5,641 Heat Points. In case of a tie, users who earned the points earlier by completing tasks will rank higher!
🎁 TOP 10 Bonus Rewards: Each of the Top 10 users will receive 1 exclusive piece of Gate merchandise!
🎯 Every 80 Heat Points unlocks 1 lucky draw entry! You still have a chance to win exciting rewards, including an iPhone DUO, GT, USDT, and futures trial funds!
⏰ The event ends tod

Let me start with a bad call.
On the evening of 11-09, I wrote: Now $INTC 56.18, doing the math from the sidelines.
Note: I went to bed as soon as I finished, thinking this trade had nothing to do with me.
Two days later, the price is 61.82, up 10%.
Note: I didn’t get a single bit of that 10%; this note can be read as a joke.
What really made me look up were those two candles on the night of 11-10.
Note: At 22:00, a candle with 4.4x volume took it from 57.27 to 60.63.
At 23:00, a candle with 4.8x volume slammed it back from 60.44 to 57.66.
Note: The gains were wiped out in an hour. That’s turn

$INIT It plunged from 0.30 to around 0.18 in a day, shedding nearly 40% and hitting a low of 0.168. The futures price is now hovering around 0.178, funding rates have turned negative, and short positions have clearly increased. The densest cluster of long liquidations is between 0.16 and 0.17 below; if it drops further, it will likely sweep through that area first. A lot of short liquidation levels are stacked between 0.21 and 0.22 above. If it really rebounds, that’s where shorts will feel the pain. Do you think it will retest 0.165 first, or rebound to 0.21 first? Leave your price target in

Oracles usually go unnoticed, but every loan, liquidation, and swap in DeFi relies on someone telling the contract “What’s the current price?” Today, instead of discussing buybacks, let’s take a different angle and break down how @WinkLink_Oracle’s Price Service works 👇
1️⃣ Why decentralized oracles are needed
Smart contracts cannot directly read off-chain data, while centralized data services carry the risk of a single point of failure. WINkLink is positioned as “The First TRON Ecosystem Comprehensive Oracle,” dedicated to providing reliable external data for TRON contracts.
2️⃣ Three-layer

🌐 What is a DAO? Does community voting equal decentralization?

A DAO enables members to jointly participate in project decision-making and fund management through public rules, community governance, and blockchain tools.

But true decentralization is about more than just having a voting button.

🔹 Do a small number of addresses hold too much voting power?

🔹 Is the use of the community treasury transparent?

🔹 Are proposals actually implemented after they pass?

🔹 Do ordinary members have sufficient opportunities to participate?

The key to decentralization is not just letting everyone v