$JCT It nearly tripled in 7 days, and longs are still paying to pile in. Funding rates have gone through the roof🤣 The long-short ratio plunged from over 60% longs to just over 30% in a single day—they’re retreating faster than anyone. Rising prices and open interest are exactly what you don’t want to see in this situation: a price surge is just handing profits to shorts. Waterfall warning😤

Why are my profitable trades so concentrated?
Because this is the overall market trend. It brings huge profits and is stable, and price action is highly controllable and persistent, since it follows almost entirely the psychology of retail traders and the structure of the market.
Many people think there are no opportunities on Saturdays and Sundays, but that’s not really the case. Real profits have nothing to do with the date, but rather with market divergences
Why do professional traders short above 2385? It’s not because they have exceptionally advanced technical analysis skills. Rather, on

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1. The funding picture hasn’t collapsed: BTC perpetual funding is +0.0094%, and ETH is +0.005%. Longs are still paying, and the panic selling is over.
2. The real landmine is ETH: A whale holds a 115,000 ETH long position with a liquidation price of $2,181, just 7.8% below the current price. Last night, at 2,282, it was only $30 away from liquidation.
3. Altcoins will remain under pressure in the short term. Hayes is nowhere near done selling this time around.
Do you think this is a shakeout or a change of hands?
The above is my personal market observation.
#BTC

#BTC BTC wicked below 80k support but reclaimed it, making this another false breakdown. This can also be viewed as a small descending channel. It will likely continue a slow recovery grind during the day. After retail traders chase the price up to around 81500, it may wick down to 78500 again tonight or tomorrow, flush out retail leverage, and then officially take off. Looking forward to it

The most unusual detail in today’s market action isn’t the drop, but the funding rate: $BMT plunged 22.96% in 24 hours, yet the funding rate was pushed to a deeply negative -0.1307%. With the price down this much, shorts are still paying longs to hold positions, indicating that short positioning in the futures market has become extremely crowded. The current price of 0.03332 is already near the lower Bollinger Band at 0.0312615; RSI at 46.8 is not oversold, the MACD histogram remains negative at -0.001021, and MA5 is below MA20. The trend has yet to turn bullish, but fuel for a short squeeze

Fed October Decision Preview | US Stocks + Crypto at a Glance
📅 Time: 10/29 at 2:00 a.m.
🎯 Core view: Hawkish pause—rates unchanged, tone stays tight, showdown in December
Key expectations
• 90.6% probability of no change in October
• 67.5% probability of a 25bp rate hike in December
• Current target rate range: 3.75%-4.00%
Impact on US stocks
• Base case: Choppy and tilted lower, with tech growth stocks facing greater pressure
• S&P 500 support at 7500 / resistance at 7800
• Nasdaq support at 25000 / resistance at 26500
• Risk: If Warsh hints at a December hike as a certainty at the press c

Sharing a strategy to test the waters; profits and losses are your responsibility😃$BTC ‌

The most unusual thing about this $BMT chart is that the 1-hour is weak and the 4-hour is strong, but they don’t point to the same conclusion. It is currently at 0.03345 USDT, down 20.68% over 24 hours, with an intraday high of 0.04678 and low of 0.03057. Trading participation is only 0.04x. The two timeframes give different answers, so whether this is a short-term rebound or a continued decline remains unresolved.
I’d rather view this as a direction that has yet to be confirmed than rush to label it a rebound or a decline. At this point, looking only at the timeframe that supports your view c

#USConsumerSentimentNearRecordLow
US Consumer Sentiment Near Record Low: Growing Economic Concerns Raise Questions About America's Financial Future
US consumer sentiment approaching historically weak levels is becoming an important economic signal that investors, businesses, and policymakers cannot afford to ignore. Consumer confidence reflects how households view their current financial conditions, employment opportunities, inflation, and future economic prospects. When confidence declines significantly, it can indicate that ordinary Americans are becoming increasingly concerned about their

A brief analysis of BTC’s short-term trend through Dow Theory, Chan Theory, Elliott Wave Theory, volume-price relationships, order flow, and price action
A historic reversal signal: On Saturday (10-24), the fourth test of 79,700 completed as a “false breakdown”—the low was 79,145 (555 points below 79,700), but price then rebounded on rising volume to close at 80,770, forming a long lower wick of +1,624 points. Delta shifted from three consecutive negative readings (-3.17/-0.83/-0.19 billion) to +852 million, with post-low Delta (after 79,145) reaching as high as +1.479 billion. On Sunday (10-2

GM ☀️ Happy Sunday, CT!

#美股财报季
Woke up to find Bitcoin back hovering around $81,000, as if nothing had happened last night. The small order I randomly placed at 79,748 got triggered, so I managed to get a little at the 7-handle $BTC .
Machi’s really having a rough time. According to Lookonchain, Machi @machibigbrother was liquidated 5 times within 1 hour, and his account now has only about $5,000 left. He got precisely blown up again. I wonder if he opened another position to buy the dip. I saw news this morning that a whale bought 2,887.49 ETH on-chain 10 hours ago at an average price of $2,315, worth $6.68 million

$BMT Down by half in 24 hours, with this -22.96% bloodbath candle—who in the group is still holding?
The current price is 0.0324, after hitting a low of 0.0303 today, with 24-hour trading volume reaching 271.9M. Note: this isn't a low-volume drift down; it's a high-volume selloff flushing out holders. Those who bought in at the 0.0447 highs are now sitting on nearly 28% unrealized losses. Market sentiment is clear: panic sellers are exiting, dip buyers are taking a gamble, and capital flows are following the classic “good news priced in, then sell the news” pattern. There are no signs of suppo

‍#每周来晒 #美股财报季
Why I’m most focused on Nvidia’s earnings—its performance will determine whether the Nasdaq correction is over
Meta’s earnings-driven move has just played out: revenue +26%, EPS beat expectations by 13%, but free cash flow turned negative for the first time since the company went public. The stock was hammered 8% over two days, dragging the Nasdaq down with it. Now the market is focused on one question: Can AI companies earn back the hundreds of billions they pour in every year? It seems the Nasdaq won’t find a floor until that question gets a satisfactory answer, and I think Nv

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