Currently long from $76,574 on bitcoin:native
Thesis is TardFi rekt'd, Gold rekt'd, Oil up, Iran + US continuation. All of which = bad
And price didn't move down much. This starts to feel more like consolidation than distribution.
As always, spot unaffected, perps only a small part of portfolio (good risk management) and plenty of powder if we do go lower.
If we go lower, next bidding is $75k
After that, I'm actually not interested because that breakdown and essentially bart pattern for me would be extremely bearish and it would be a loss of bullish strcuture altogether. At $70k I'd be back i

BTC-0.18%

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PicolasCage

10 hours ago

Make no mistake trading is mental warefare on the mind.
Maintaining a calm, centered and panic free approach to trading is key to being successful.
This cycle is gonig to be exhausting - you need to be taking care of your mind and ideally body. It'll actually make you a better trader.
Personally, I use gaming + hanging out with the family.
Find the thing the works for you. Oh and if you make it bigly, take some money and stick it in your bank account:
1. Market can turn on a dime
2. Life changing money is exactly that, life changing, so change your life, ain't hard
3. This is a job, pay yourse

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PicolasCage

18 hours ago

How retarded am I?
I have a medium sized $XPL long
That's how retarded I am
And yes, I do know there are large unlocks soon

XPL-0.16%

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PicolasCage

2 days ago

GM ☕️
Bitcoin feels like a beach ball underwater

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PicolasCage

2 days ago

79k bitcoin:native i'm just supposed to what? Go to bed.

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PicolasCage

2 days ago

This week, Bitcoin goes?

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PicolasCage

3 days ago

Pretty massive ahead for $BTC with all things considered.
New attacks on Iran are not ideal.
BTC fakeout yesterday also not ideal.
Clawing its way back up today is ideal.
Personally I don't think we get $75k, just feels too easy and favourable for the market.
We've had numerous bad news from Friday - Monday. Jackson Hole was hawkish and raises the worry of hikes in September.
Brent crude oil pumped on new Iran fears and attacks.
Solana based NEO banks got hacked so users were losing funds.
Really quite a bad set of news events + the ability to maximise this with an illiquid weekend - but we ha

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PicolasCage

2026-08-30

Fuck me boys I'm up bigly

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PicolasCage

2026-08-30

Is it finally time? $BTC

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PicolasCage

2026-08-30

If $45k is the ultimate bears bottom in a bear market, that's a -45% move from here
Bitcoins ATH is only +61% away from here
I don't think it makes much sense to be a bear here.

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PicolasCage

2026-08-29

I think a lot of people got caught off guard with this recent move which they do acknowledge is a strong move - but they're a bit too jaded to simply buy here at $78k so they're waiting for like $75k or $70k...
At which point the original move they were interested in has actually come and gone and now the trend looks weaker and probably not worth bidding.
It's a tough one.

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PicolasCage

2026-08-29

If prices keep moving up I'm going to long $TIA because fuck you 2025

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PicolasCage

2026-08-29

Ok that's enough charts.
XCOM-esque gaming now

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PicolasCage

2026-08-29

I don't know how to get exposure to Robinhood and at this point I'm too afraid to ask.
Same for NFT's.
Actually not a joke post.

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PicolasCage

2026-08-29

Is there a single person who isn't wait for a 'dip to $75k'
So either we go to $70k and trap people or we just get continuation and leave everyone mad and offside.

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PicolasCage

2026-08-29

$ZEC is green 👀

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PicolasCage

2026-08-29

Obviously at some point we will get a pull back.
But I think it will honestly be more like 93 or 97k because by that point everyone will be completely convinced we're going for ATH and it's definitely a bull market and everyone needs to buy under 100k and before new ATH.
Then they'll dump that shit to kill morale and liquidated late longers.
You might get a dip here - but a significant retrace feels unlikely to me.
Tbh Jackson Hole meeting was not bullish (hawkish rhetoric).
S&P500 was -0.25% on the day after some whiplash PA.
Bitcoin also had some whiplash PA, right under heavy resistance + a

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PicolasCage

2026-08-28

Potentially my last Elon bucks as revenue sharing ends and 'Original Content Rewards' begins.
This was 1 month, not 2 weeks, but I'll take it.

Hope you all cooked.

ELON0.19%