Osemka8

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Active for: 10.8y
Peak Tier 4
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GM 🌤️
You'll have more than enough chances to make up for the mistakes from the past run.
Stay here, it'll be worth it
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$ALTS are on the left. What's on the right and how did that play out?
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#stats
We are 315 days from a $BTC ATH on Oct 6th 2025. Atm we are 50% away from that ATH and have seen 54% max draw down during this time.
Here is how it looked like 3 previous times after 315 days:
2014 bear: -68% to the day and max -78% ➡️ ended up at -87%
2018 bear: -68% to the day and max -71% ➡️ ended up at -84%
2022 bear: -74% to the day and max -75% ➡️ ended up at -78%
BTC0.18%
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Moving back above 50W MA was a confirmation that the bull is already underway
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If there was a range formed when 50 and 100 week MA crossed, that was a bottoming range on $BTC every time.
Worst we got was a sweep in 2022, which we also already had.
Just objective data
BTC0.18%
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GM ☀️
Trend shifting beneath. IMO we'll look back at this period with regret: "Ah, I should have bought more. It was so obvious"
After all we're on strong support and lacking volatility. Which is how HTF trend shifts.
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Imagine IRL coming to someone accusing him of being wrong that one time. That would be kinda stupid to say the least.
To all you soy-boy reply guys: grow a pair and stop being a waste to society 😌 Be better and help instead
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You can theorise as much as you want why $altcoins didn't see expansion and why you think altseason never happens again
But basics of Elliott wave theory say this was a minor impulse done and a correction after, so expansion from here is not only possible, but the most probable scenario.
I'll keep saying that the future looks fantastic and 2027/2028 should be very, very good years for crypto.
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GM ☀️
Back at my desk after 3 weeks :) Spending time at home sure did feel refreshing. Let's lock in back again.
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Bears are getting cocky here with "Just wait for time based capitulation" while the price is at the same level as 190 days ago and literally flat for 74
All while it's identical in time and structure to 2022 $BTC bottom
BTC0.18%
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Ejohn:
we can do together coming week
[ $ETH ]
The only weekly bull div Ethereum ever made on WTO was at the 2018 lows. We have a strong one now as well, so waiting for sub 1k would be unwise to say the least.
ETH1.05%
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Even $BTC Fear and Greed index is making higher lows, forming a bullish divergence. Much like RSI, MACD and countless other indicators
BTC0.18%
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AlexCrypto:
Bitcoin market is in good condition preparing for bullish moment after forming week bottom making it ready for a parabolic upside movement
Capitulation in February and resonance (noise) ever since. Once we reach ballance, trend will start moving up.
Since we're inside that stabilisation period already, it should not take long. Just a tad bit more of your patience.
You've done a great job. The worst part is already over
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This range should essentially be just like the one at the Tariff lows in 2024 on bitcoin:native
Don't think we make a new low in a range, but even if it does come, don't stress. What's few more % down, eh?
BTC0.18%
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GM ☀️
Range within a range within a range withing a range within a range...
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Based on this chart it would be a better ROI holding $SOL over $BTC for the next macro run ahead
SOL1.26%
BTC0.18%
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We are doubting our sanity staying in crypto
Congrats, tightest range on the record. Another record we're a part of 🥴
At least on the bright side: every time we've seen close to this rate of nothing, upside always followed.
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GM ☀️
It'll all be worth it. Now we gotta endure this time capitulation with a lack of volatility. Probably the toughest part as it's just building uncertainty.
I'm very optimistic at these levels and you should ne too
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$Altcoins (TOTAL2es on pic) have been at the same price level for 40 days already
If this volatility squeeze produces a move to the upside, HTF bullish divergences will play out. And if HTF bull divs play out, we aren't going to make a new bottom. Meaning the bottom for the cycle will already be reached.
So bears' only hope is that this squeeze produces expansion to the downside. Their last chance.
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$Altcoins (TOTAL2es on pic) have been at the same price level for 40 days already
If this volatility squeeze produces a move to the upside, HTF bullish divergences will play out. And HTF bull divs play out, we aren't going to make a new bottome. Meaning the bottom for the cycle will be reached.
So bears' only hope is that this squeeze produces expansion to the downside. Their last chance.
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