OSmoke

May 12 Tonight's Latest Major Gold News
1. Core Data That Has Been Released (20:30 CPI, bearish for gold)
- U.S. April CPI Year-over-Year: 3.8% (expected 3.7%, previous 3.3%)
- Core CPI Year-over-Year: 2.8% (expected 2.7%, previous 2.6%)
- Interpretation: Inflation has broadly exceeded expectations and rebounded, significantly delaying the Fed's rate cut expectations, causing the dollar and U.S. Treasury yields to rise, with spot gold plunging in the short term, facing short-term downward pressure.

This round of core data (U.S. April Non-Farm Payrolls)
- New jobs added: expected 62,000, previous value 178,000
​
- Unemployment rate: expected 4.3%, previous value 4.3%
​
- Average hourly earnings, year-over-year rate: expected 3.8%, previous value 3.5% (wages are a key factor for inflation and have a major impact on gold)

Overall environment: Factory orders down 1.5%, a significant bearish signal; fundamentals remain dominated by the bears, and the rebound is a "downtrend correction" #黄金

April 28th announced (negative for gold) #Gold
- 20:15 ADP Employment: Actual 296k (expected 180k, previous 155k) → Employment is very strong, easing rate cut expectations, dollar strengthens, gold comes under pressure.

April 27th Key Data Today (Beijing Time)
- 22:30 U.S. April Dallas Fed Business Activity Index (Expected: -5.0, Previous: -7.2)
- 👉 Reflects Texas manufacturing activity; below expectations → dollar weakens, positive for gold; otherwise, negative.

@Winerking @采姑娘的大蘑菇 Friends following the trades, please stick to my operations. Sometimes there are large fluctuations, which is normal because gold prices are influenced by many factors. With each new trade, I will keep a close eye on the market. If you lose money, exit; when I recover, you might fall behind. Basically, I double the account at least every week. If you lose, you'll make it back later—just follow with confidence. You can see this from the data records.

Tonight, gold (April 24) is moving into "high-level oscillation, bulls and bears tug-of-war," with the core being five major factors simultaneously exerting influence: geopolitical risk aversion, Federal Reserve expectations, USD/US Treasury, technical analysis, and capital flows, with opposing directions canceling each other out. #黄金

(April 24) 8:30 PM US March Core PCE Price Index (Fed's preferred inflation indicator, expected month-over-month +0.3%, year-over-year +2.8%; if higher than expected, it will further suppress rate cut expectations, which is negative for gold)#带单

Today (April 22), the two biggest factors affecting gold prices are: hawkish signals from the Federal Reserve + the recurring Middle East tensions, overall bearish. #TradFi