MissKitty

Work is done.

#GatePreIPOs首发SpaceX Finished work today

That's all for today, time to wrap up.

As steady as an old dog

Go to sleep💤

Just waiting for a clear signal

A few wins or losses are not really important. Many people equate making money once with "I've learned," and losing money once with "This method doesn't work."
This is a typical "small sample superstition."
What is probabilistic thinking?
The result of a single trade is random; only with large sample sizes does statistical advantage become meaningful.

Today I learned with @Z柒7 classmate, feeling happy, and the cheese 🧀 has increased again. Tested an order #Gate广场四月发帖挑战

Still underestimated it, the downward momentum#成长值抽奖赢金条

Set take profit and stop loss at the right time, don't watch.

The take-profit point is perfect! I've been busy with other things lately, but I'll come back when I have free time and go live.

# Analysis of Price Decline
## Core Bearish Factors: Fed Decision Released, Hawkish Stance
**Interest Rate Held Steady:** 3.50%-3.75%, aligned with expectations
**Rate Cut Expectations Lowered:** Dot plot shows only 1 rate cut in 2026, first cut possibly delayed to September
**Powell's Speech Hawkish:** Emphasized inflation rebound risks, higher rates to persist longer
This directly results in:
- Liquidity easing expectations cooling off
- Crypto market risk appetite declining significantly
- Whale selling pressure emerging (whales accumulated losses exceeding $5.8 million in 2 months)
## Tech

No broadcast today due to personal matters. The short position #Gate13周年全球庆典 is still held.

Currently hovering around $2,330, the broader market is relatively stable, but an extremely rare "fire and ice" scenario has emerged in the market—this is what I want to focus on analyzing with you today.
📊 Today's Core Logic: Extreme Divergence Between Price and Sentiment
The most peculiar aspect of the current market is: while prices are rising, the leverage market is showing widespread bearish positions.
· Surface Data: ETH is currently holding at $2,330, attempting to break through the $2,400 resistance. Technical indicators like RSI remain in the middle range, showing certain resilience.

Wait for the price to stabilize back in the $2,240 - $2,280 region before considering entry. Stop loss at the 2200 key level! Or 2162, we'll see once the market becomes clearer! No trade, no loss. Don't rush to trade every single position. If there are good short positions available, you can hold some. Although the price is rising, the funding rate has turned negative. This indicates that market sentiment is beginning to shift bearish, with insufficient willingness to chase highs and divergence risk. Meanwhile, large whales have already taken profits on part of their positions near $2,361, and

Ethereum (ETH) has surged strongly over the past two days, primarily driven by a massive influx of institutional capital, improved market sentiment, and large-scale short liquidations. In simple terms, it's "money arrived, outlook changed, and people were forced to buy at higher prices." Here are the specific reasons:
· 💰 Strong institutional capital inflows: This is the most direct catalyst. Last week, the US Ethereum spot ETF saw net inflows of approximately $160 million, marking the largest single-week volume since mid-January. Notably, BlackRock's Ethereum staking ETF (ETHB) attracted ove