MauerTrader

In previous cycles, the tops came with negative real interest rates.
Today, they remain positive — and the data released today reinforce this point.
Maybe the market is looking at the chart… when it should be looking at the regime.
‍#CPI #FOMC‬⁩

Good evening.
I will owe the post with today's results (15/12/2025), as there are still two open trades. In any case, I can tell you that the result so far is positive. Since I haven't set rules for closing by time, conduction, or something similar, these two trades have ended up becoming swing trades — the market 'decided' that.
As soon as they are closed, I will update with the results.

The Fed cut interest rates… and Bitcoin fell.
Contradictory? Only for those who look at the data and ignore the context.
The market didn't fall because of a cut.
It fell because the cut was accompanied by a speech that kept real interest rates high for longer.
📌 What really mattered:
✅ The 25 bps cut was already priced in
✅ The Fed made it clear that there is no rush for new cuts
✅ Real interest rates remain positive
✅ Risk appetite continues to be limited
In other words:
the market received relief but not confirmation of a liquidity cycle.
And when real interest rates stay high, risk assets

This is the first cycle of $BTC com:
• halving under positive real interest rates
• spot ETFs absorbing liquidity daily
• much more institutional market
If you analyze 2025 with the logic of 2017, you might be making a costly mistake.
#HALVIN
📌 Full analysis in the article.

Everyone repeats that the halving defines the cycles of $BTC .
But this cycle ignored the classic script.
High interest rates, ETFs draining supply, and institutions setting the pace.
👉 Why is this cycle structurally different from previous ones?
Full article in the profile.
‍#btc #halving

Interest rates cut by the Fed — but does this really change the direction of prices?
I put together a straightforward article with data, context, and what might happen in the upcoming market movements.
👉 Click to see the analysis before it's too late.

Many people didn't understand the significance of yesterday's interest rate cut... but the market did. I prepared a clear summary of the impact of this decision on the dollar, commodities, and crypto.
👉 Access the full article and get prepared before opening any trade.

The Fed cut interest rates — and the market has already started to react.
I explained in the article the real impact of this on $BTC and assets, and what you need to watch out for before trading in the next few hours.
👉 Read now and don't trade in the dark.

Tomorrow is Fed decision day — and this could create the best opportunities… or the worst traps in the crypto market.
BTC, ETH, altcoins: everything could react very differently depending on the announcement.
What should you watch for before the FOMC knocks on the door?
👇I explained it in the full article. Check it out.

Everyone talks about the FOMC… but hardly anyone understands how it impacts the crypto world.
Tomorrow the game changes — for better or worse.
Do you want to know what could happen if the Fed cuts, holds, or raises interest rates?
And which scenario the market is actually expecting?
👇I put everything in the article. Worth reading before the decision.

🚀🚀LUNC could go far… or not💥💥
LUNC’s recent surge has drawn attention—and brought a lot of speculation with it.
But the coin carries a heavy history, extreme tokenomics, and a narrative split between hope and caution.
If you want to understand what's driving this and what $LUNC 's real potential is, I broke everything down in the article.
👇 Go check it out and read.