Square
Following
Hot
News
Notifications
Profile
Share your thoughts
placeholder
Article
#Polymarket年化收入突破18亿美元 #WCTCS9
Yes, I believe that prediction markets are not merely experiencing a temporary surge in popularity, but have instead entered a genuine phase of growth. However, their long-term success will depend on whether they can sustain liquidity and user engagement during the intervals between major global events.

From my perspective, prediction markets are evolving from platforms for speculative betting into ecosystems for real-time information and forecasting.

I find three areas to be particularly promising:

1. Macroeconomics and financial markets: BTC and ETH prices,
BTC-0.67%
ETH-1.26%
US500+0.86%
SKHYNIX+4.85%
High-risk play, but already at the bottom. 🧐
"Check below." 👇🏻
post-image
Trenches
mihao
m
bade
b
mihao
4Cxj...pump
Market Cap
$.
Change
.
24h Vol
$.
Holders
.
AGT
A
bade
b
AGT
0x5d...e274
Market Cap
$.
Change
.
24h Vol
$.
Holders
.
HOLD
H
bade
b
HOLD
4iJ7...pump
Market Cap
$.
Change
.
24h Vol
$.
Holders
.
DacityCoin
D
bade
b
DacityCoin
DKYc...pump
Market Cap
$.
Change
.
24h Vol
$.
Holders
.
Dacity
D
bade
b
Dacity
nxPq...pump
Market Cap
$.
Change
.
24h Vol
$.
Holders
.
Thanks to the official team for sending over the merch
Long-form article | Why Does an Effective Trading Strategy Suddenly Stop Working?

Many traders run into this problem:

A strategy was consistently profitable, and its backtest curve looked impressive. But a few months later, the same parameters and signals start producing frequent losses in live trading.

Is the problem really with the strategy itself?

Not necessarily. A strategy’s effectiveness often depends on the market environment it operates in, rather than how much it has earned in the past.

There are at least four aspects of the market environment worth watching:

1. The trend struct
post-image
Many people directly treat a negative funding rate as a bullish signal. This is a typical trading misconception. A negative rate only means shorts are paying; it does not mean shorts have surrendered. Especially amid panic, it is more likely the result of shorts piling in and longs being squeezed.
$CYBER The current price is 0.266, down 15.29% in 24h, with a funding rate of -0.2071%. This is an extreme negative value, indicating that short positions in perpetual contracts are crowded and are continuously paying longs. But the price has not made a corresponding strong rebound: MA5=0.2658 remai
post-image
MUB
MUBMubbin
Pump.Fun
MC:$3.42KHolders:1
0%
CYBER-5.40%
QNT+4.79%
🇩🇪Germany's largest bank, Deutsche Bank, officially rolls out crypto custody services, marking another step toward institutional crypto adoption.
post-image
  • 1
BTC Below $71K: $600M Longs at Risk — Key Levels to Watch
live-cover
LIVE2,670
#TOTAL
A cycle spiral for the total market.
Friends, I did the same analysis for the total crypto market cap as I did for Bitcoin. Each full rotation is 4 years. The farther from the center, the higher the market cap.
The red dots are cycle peaks. The peaks in January 2018, November 2021, and October 2025 have all clustered in the lower half of the dial.
The green dots are cycle bottoms. The bottoms in January 2015, December 2018, and November 2022 are in the lower-left area.
The black dot is today. The total market cap is $2.43 trillion. Calendar-wise, we are in the area where the previous th
post-image
BTC-0.67%
On-chain, it’s all high-tech tricks and shady tactics.
What ringleaders, what crews, each person taking a whole market…
post-image
The market suffered a sharp downturn last night, and today we saw a fairly strong rebound, with U.S. stocks and crypto markets rising in tandem. But I want to remind everyone: this is not the time to chase the rally. This rise is essentially just a technical recovery from oversold conditions, not a trend reversal. Take Ethereum, for example: $ETH is currently trading around 2070, right within the 2000-2150 range I gave earlier. My strategy is clear: patiently wait for the price to move convincingly above 2100 before considering looking for shorting opportunities. Risk warning: The above refle
post-image
ETH-1.23%
$PEPE Current price is around 5e-06; 5.25e-06 (MA20) above is the short-term bull-bear dividing line, while 4.96e-06 (Bollinger lower band) below is the last line of defense. Price is tracking the Bollinger lower band, with MA5 below MA20. The MACD histogram at -4.565e-08 shows bearish momentum continuing, while RSI at 34.5 is nearing oversold territory but has not triggered a reversal. The Fear & Greed Index at 29 indicates a subdued market mood, with little support for bulls. Funding rate data is unavailable; liquidation and wick-spike risks mainly come from lower-wick stop sweeps amid thin
post-image
PEPE+0.97%
ZEC+1.16%
CYBER-5.40%
Plume has secured SEC registration and FINRA approval to operate as a U.S. broker-dealer.
It aims to launch in H1 2027, bringing tokenized U.S. stocks, ETFs and bonds to self-custodial wallets.
@plumenetwork
PLUME+3.05%
Baird cut its price target on Nvidia from 500 to 200, named Megaspeed in its downgrade report, and said 10% to 30% of channel orders could be canceled early😮‍💨
Analyst Tristan Gerra’s point is that it is unclear what action the government will take after the congressional hearing, so the rating was downgraded from Outperform to Neutral.
He laid out two possible outcomes.
One is that the U.S. bans sales of H200 to China again.
The other is that export controls close loopholes involving data centers in Southeast Asia, and the Justice Department takes action against Megaspeed. Data centers in t
post-image
NVDA-5.47%
$USDT Dominance Is Rising. A Signal Worth Watching!
USDT dominance has climbed to 7.25%, showing that stablecoins are taking a larger share of the crypto market.
This may suggest investors are moving towards safety instead of buying risky assets.
For altcoins to gain strength, we need to see USDT dominance start falling.
Watch this chart closely.
post-image
🚨 BREAKING: Strategy $MSTR could face up to $2.8 BILLION in forced stock selling if MSCI removes it from its global indexes tomorrow, according to JPMorgan. 📉
Any removal would take effect at the close of November 30.
Strategy also disclosed in its Q3 SEC filing that it expects to be excluded from MSCI indexes this month.
MSTR-3.72%
MSCI+1.58%
  • 1
Slowly the grind up begins
sellers are exhausted right ?
post-image
  • 1
Close $KORU for a profit of 👍
post-image
Original content no longer visible
KORU-1.22%
  • 6
  • 2
Load More

Join 40 M users in our growing community

⚡️ Join 40 M users in the crypto craze discussion

💬 Engage with your favorite top creators

👍 See what interests you

Trending Topics

GateIPOAccessAnthropic

502 Views1.44k Discussing

Gate IPO Access Phase 3 features Anthropic (ANT), with USDT subscription interest starting from 100 USDT. Successful allocations will be delivered as real shares to Gate Stock Accounts. Indicative price: $70–$78/share Subscription: Nov 12–17 (UTC+8) Allocation is not guaranteed. Please manage risk accordingly. [👉 Subscribe Now](https://www.gate.com/ipos/ipo-access/anthropic-ipo-access/69)

USOctoberCPIBeatsExpectations

93.39k Views2.72k Discussing

GateGlobalComplianceExpansion

19.78k Views377 Discussing

View More