GateUser-5f5e10dd

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看了一圈美国大银行这两天披露的最新财报,看出了一股AI硬件股的感觉。
特别是高盛 $GS :Net Income同比增长78%,Global Banking & Markets (GBM)板块里和交易相关的Equities业务同比增长72%,投行业务同比增长55%。
业绩普遍炸裂,尤其是Equity,FICC和投行业务的增速很猛(直接反应AI行情太热)。每家的ROTCE都在增长,运营杠杆都在拉升,效率都在优化,信用损失准备总额也都在同比下跌...
$JPM
23% ROTCE
The Corporate & Investment Bank (CIB) is now the primary profit engine, fueled by an 86% YoY acceleration in Equity Markets and a 30% jump in Investment Banking fees。
$BAC
Global Markets net income spiked 72% YoY to $2.6B. Equities revenue surged an incredible 70% to $3.6B, and Total Investment Banking fees jumped 50%, proving BAC is fully capitalizing on a
GS-1.20%
JPM0.99%
BAC1.23%
C0.25%
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Strategy expects to remain disciplined in its use of
$MSTR
issuance, particularly when the stock trades at or near 1x mNAV.
用这里的1X mNAV来保持“纪律”,相比于他们之前的“标准”,实际上是放松了MSTR ATM纪律
MSTR-2.06%
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STRC, MSTR and BTC triple spiral down, mNAV continuously below breakeven point, "Individual investors should not sell their Bitcoin, never said companies cannot sell":
Financing tools, shareholder equity, market cap, debt repayment ability, PR... comprehensive (marginal) collapse.
At this point, the final BTC artist/philosopher art is complete.
The only good news: it may be just this wave of spiral-enhanced crash away from the true bottom.
MSTR-2.06%
BTC-0.22%
PR-0.09%
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GateUser-27c86b46:
Bitcoin will plunge again.
Although I was a bit surprised tonight, brother, based on my experience, this kind of quota distribution for xstocks is normal,
1) U.S. stock IPOs have always been quite transparent, unlike Hong Kong IPOs
2) For popular "quality" stocks, it's very difficult for all brokers to get shares
It reminded me of IPOs from a few years ago, like Beike and Xiaopeng... they only gave 5, 10, or 20 shares as a token gesture. Beike was probably the one that gave the most at the time, no doubt, but the absolute number was still very low.
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I looked into it—every BN U.S. stock feature uses USDC to pay and settle.
Circle’s long-cherished dream of “creating an outstanding USDC network effect with massive USDC pairs” has somehow overtaken USDT on the inside lane, achieving it effortlessly—without a single shot?
USDC0.02%
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BofA: Currently, "going long on global semiconductors" is the most crowded trade.
A month ago, the most crowded trade was "going long on crude oil," and two months ago, it was "going long on gold" & "going long on global semiconductors" (but it wasn't as crowded back then as it is now).
Another piece of good news is that "shorting global carbon-based consumer stocks" ranks as this year's least crowded trade. But the bad news is that there aren't many people going long on the carbon-based consumer concept either.
GLDX0.24%
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There are many excellent four-season hotels domestically, such as Hong Kong, Suzhou, Hangzhou, Dalian, and Guangzhou, but Beijing Four Seasons is truly quite outstanding. I would call it American-style old-guard (compared to Shangri-La's Chinese-style old-guard).
In the chicken wine circle, is there anything more surprising than Huang Renxun, a loyal MO fan, ignoring two exceptionally excellent MO hotels in Beijing and only staying with leadership in the old-guard style? Is there anything more uncomfortable than staying at Beijing Four Seasons?
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End this week's bitter life with the following shitpost,
1. The continuous surge in storage has had a huge impact on my physical health. Every time the storage rises, I feel a slight anxiety (thinking my mindset is already very excellent), and every time I feel a bit anxious, I go to the gym to lift weights, climb stairs, and swim. So recently, I’ve almost been living in the gym.
2. On Friday, I built positions in $FICO and $NOW , going further and further against the main narrative of the market. “#Patience of the Incapable Capital.”
3. I studied the “last car of semiconductors” carefu
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On Sunday, I read an excellent article,
Tantuh Macro: "The claim that 'U.S. stocks always decline significantly during each transition of Federal Reserve chairs' " is incorrect.
The maximum drawdown within the first six months after a Fed chair takes office, and the maximum drawdown within any six months in the history of the S&P 500, show no significant difference.
If the calculation method is based on the lowest point within six months of taking office minus the S&P 500 level at the time of appointment, then
1) The maximum drawdowns within six months after the appointment of the most
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The Chief Economist is actually a very prestigious position, mainly focused on research plus PR/IR.
If your trading is average or terrible, but you have good looks (like Hong Hao), know what to say to attract attention (like Li Bei), or have excellent market interpretation skills (even if forced, like Zhang Yidong),
then you are inherently a top-tier figure.
The excellence of this track is still greatly underestimated by veteran players in the crypto circle;
theoretically, it’s relatively easy to achieve a “Base + Bonus + near-zero risk altcoin exposure.”
But the guys are still compe
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Current market
If you buy “high valuation,” then you’re very likely to be following the market’s main theme; excellent industry fundamentals and sentiment may take you a long way—for example, positioning optical modules.
If you buy “low valuation,” then you may be able to bet on a value rebound—for example, last year’s Google; today’s Microsoft, Amazon, and META.
If you buy something priced fairly—not underpriced and not overpriced—then it means you’ve bought the “fairly priced + stuck for the long haul” combination—for example, Tencent and Moutai.
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Hermès, Kering (Gucci's parent company) announced their earnings today, and unsurprisingly, they reported a major blowout, with double-digit declines (the largest drop since Hermès went public). A couple of days ago, LVMH's earnings were also quite weak, with leather goods business declining for seven consecutive quarters.
The business in China for these three brands is also quite sluggish.
But in recent years, the luxury industry hasn't been completely bleak,
1) There are always mythic sales stories defying the trend, with Miu Miu leading the way, and now Coach. It looks like Coach is a
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I finished reading CZ’s new book carefully.
How should I put it? Starting from nine years ago, when Ray Dalio sparked the “financial big-shot writing books” trend, I’ve gradually read Ray Dalio’s *Principles*, Su Shimin’s *My Experience and Lessons*, and CZ’s *Freedom of Money*...
But the one that left the deepest impression on me was Su Shimin’s book, because the big brother is just too good at trying to show off.
1) “Humbly” says that his entry into Yale mainly came from sports.
2) In 1985, he left Lehman Brothers to found Blackstone, raising $850 million in the first round. This was
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Recently, a traffic secret has been released: as long as you promote on ( (more obvious) or Xiaohongshu, including but not limited to praising their pillows/mattresses as awesome, praising their new high-end line Sa and Niubi, praising their tea leaves/ear hanging as delicious, praising their stable stock price, and even praising their washing machines/dryers as easy to use...
You are very likely to receive mysterious push traffic.
It's a very interesting phenomenon. I noticed that when promoting competitors like Huazhu's new products, the All-Season Panorama and Intercity, the push traffic is
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Previously, I specifically DD'd the USD1 reserve, carefully reviewed BitGo's monthly reports, and checked the currency market funds corresponding to the CUSIP codes (Fidelity products)... I thought the issue wasn't significant, but just now, a small drop shook my confidence instantly.
After brainstorming with my experienced brother from Zhuoyue, we think this lack of confidence might also be related to the fact that many artists under this project have issued too many promotional materials.
USD10.01%
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Buybacks still heavily depend on the regime
1) Excellent buyback: It is part of the core narrative and also involves buybacks. This market generally interprets it very positively, with buyback effects maximized; buying back 1 yuan might generate 10 yuan of outside buying pressure. For example, in recent years, the AI sector.
2) Effortful buyback: Long-term observers like Wolong Fengchu, $ADBE and $PYPL , both have stable large-scale buybacks: $ADBE 's buyback in the past two years is around 10B, and $PYPL 's buyback in the past two years is around 6B. Their growth looks relatively decent.
How
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Every year at the end of the year, I go to Lingshun Temple in Hangzhou for a report. This temple is reputed as the "Number One Wealth God Temple in the World" and is also well-known in the crypto circle.
But this year, there are especially many people, feeling like the number has increased by an order of magnitude: long lines for the cable car, crowds on the walking paths up and down the mountain, and the temple on the mountain top is packed inside and out. After returning, I still receive various recommendations from Xiaohongshu every day. The content is all about how there are too many peo
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