Bitcoin just retest WMA 200 at $68,000 after 85 days.

How Should Position Size Be Calculated? Why Is It More Reasonable to Determine the Risk Amount First, Then Decide How Much to Buy?

In cryptocurrency trading, many people are used to assessing the market first and then deciding how much to buy, while overlooking the most important step: if they are wrong, how much of a loss can they actually afford to bear? Sound position management should start with a risk budget, not potential returns.

First, determine the amount of risk you can afford to take.

Suppose your account has 1,000 USDT and you plan to limit the risk on a single trade to 1% of yo

Earlier, we said tail risk was high. We’ve seen all kinds of market conditions these past few days...

But looking at this quant trader’s current positions and trading activity, is the tail risk really that high?

It’s actually pretty easy to keep risk under control. The only thing is, the returns are genuinely low too—monthly returns of 2–5% really don’t appeal to crypto traders...

What Is Walk-Forward Backtesting? Why Is One Out-of-Sample Test Still Not Enough to Prove a Strategy Is Reliable?

Passing a single out-of-sample test does not mean a trading strategy will remain effective in all market conditions. A particular market period may happen to suit the strategy, so we also need to use walk-forward backtesting to observe its performance across different time periods.

First, what is walk-forward backtesting?

Walk-forward backtesting follows chronological order, repeatedly using past data to develop or optimize a strategy, then testing its performance on a subsequen

Does a sudden surge in trading volume signal a strengthening trend or a market reversal?

In crypto markets, a sudden increase in trading volume often catches traders’ attention. Some see it as a sign that capital is flowing in, while others worry that major players are exiting.

With the same surge in volume, why does the price sometimes keep rising, while at other times it suddenly reverses?

The key is that trading volume reflects changes in market activity, but on its own, it cannot show that buyers or sellers necessarily have the upper hand.

First, observe how the price behaves when volu

Please review and learn. Is the trend still the same? #XAU

Steadily Moving Forward on November 13

absolutely the most disgusting price action ever bitcoin:native

$BTC Surpassed 20 million🙄

🔽 It seems Jensen Huang got involved with someone from the crypto exchange leadership: $1.62 billion in liquidations and BTC at $68k

#Bitcoin | #BTC | $BTC ‌

🚨 US PPI INFLATION DATA DROPS TODAY AT 8:30 AM ET!
PREVIOUS: 6.3% | FORECAST: 6.6%
ABOVE 6.6% → BEARISH
AT 6.6% → MIXED REACTION
BELOW 6.6% → BULLISH
MARKETS ARE WATCHING CLOSELY!

Transporting the cat from Jiangsu to Sanya is really a huge undertaking 😭
You really shouldn’t get attached to too many things; once you have too many ties, the troubles begin

Regarding going long now, here’s my take.

Lately, people keep asking me whether they can go long on BTC and ETH now.

My view is clear: going long now is a gamble.

Look at the weekly charts: BTC and ETH are still steadily drifting lower, rebounds are getting weaker, highs keep moving down, and red candle follows red candle. We still haven’t seen a genuine bottoming structure.

I’ve been emphasizing for days that I’d rather miss some of the first rally than blindly try to catch the bottom in this kind of market.

There’s a saying in trading: going long earns you price gains; going short earns

Reasons why you need to know how to use SokoData tool.

Our target is 63K.

Let me show you exactly why you need this. Look at the proof on the screen. The system evaluated 7 recent forecasts and got 6 of them correct. That is an 85.7% accuracy rate with an average error of just 1.78%.

Back on Nov 5, it predicted a drop to $80,073. The actual price crashed to $71,712. It nailed the calls on Nov 8, 9, 10, and 11.

Right now, BTC is at $68,796. The engine is flashing a massive 90/100 Bearish confidence. Every single timeframe is pointing down. We are sitting in an accumulation cycle, down 43.17

Before the PPI release, what the market fears most isn't the data—it's your imagination!

The U.S. October PPI is due out tonight at 21:30.
The data isn't even out yet, and the market is already embroiled in a psychological battle.
Bulls think inflation is cooling and prices may continue to rise; bears believe the data could be mixed and are ready to look for a chance to buy the dip. And ordinary investors? They’re scrolling through the news and refreshing the market, wishing they could know the answer in advance.
Actually, the most dangerous thing to do before the data comes out is write your

All 80,000 Chinese characters are here
Knowing one-tenth of them already makes you highly literate.

What Is Price-Volume Divergence? How Is It Different from an Ordinary Decline in Trading Volume?

In crypto markets, price and trading volume do not always move in sync. When prices continue to rise while trading volume gradually declines, or prices keep falling while trading volume continues to contract, traders may look for signs of price-volume divergence. But price-volume divergence is only an analytical clue; it does not mean the market will necessarily reverse.

First, what is price-volume divergence?

Price-volume divergence refers to a mismatch between price movements and changes in tr

Does a Token Unlock Always Mean a Price Drop? The Three Variables That Really Matter

Whenever a crypto project announces a token unlock schedule, two views often emerge in the market: one holds that newly circulating tokens inevitably lead to a price drop, while the other says the unlock has already been priced in and there is no need to worry.

In reality, a token unlock means the potential circulating supply changes, but it does not mean those tokens will necessarily be sold immediately. To assess the impact, you need to analyze three variables.

First, how large is the unlock relative to t