House

It's funny to see like all this talk spark about ai risks
The wave cannot be stopped
Imagine the fastest growing companies in history picking between "safety" or being the "winner"
Sure, that will work
Just hold on for the ride. Nothing is stopping it
Next 5 years will be a movie!

I've built dozens of indicators over the years and finally have landed something that truly gives a read nothing else does
Momentum Pulse tracks the curvature of participation itself: whether the money behind every candle is building pressure or quietly bleeding it, long before either shows up in price, using multiple data sources
One of the main reasons I was not bearish these last 2 months. $BTC buyers were showing up stronger and stronger, something the bare eye couldn't see.

$BTC
Suddenly, I love fractals

Yesterday my algo system generated ~450 bps in net raw returns (not including lev)
It's a different feeling to watch 1000s of hours translate, on a day when billions of dollars were wrong footed
(not HFT, all mid frequency)

$BTC
30 day realized volatility is sitting in the bottom 5th percentile since 2020 (~30%)
3/2019 hit 31% before breaking out of bottoming range
2/2022 hit 28% before breaking out of the bottoming range
We've seen this 7 times and over 2 months, 4 ended higher, 3 ended lower

$XRP hit ATH just over a year ago
Since then, it's been a down only, relentless sell off with barely any relief
Orderbook remains skewed toward bids, so sellers need to have the stronger hand to keep making progress
Overall it seems probable a trend shift is starting to develop in the near future
Think back to BTC's low at 16k in 2022, it was a slow, boring, low volatility shift

$BTC
My thoughts for the next few weeks/month are simple
With the amount of intended interest in the 50s, any sweep of the current lows should be short lived
Sideways / sweep / rebound should all end trading in the 70s over the next ~month