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$BTC
30 day realized volatility is sitting in the bottom 5th percentile since 2020 (~30%)
3/2019 hit 31% before breaking out of bottoming range
2/2022 hit 28% before breaking out of the bottoming range
We've seen this 7 times and over 2 months, 4 ended higher, 3 ended lower
BTC0.74%
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If you are a trader, "influencer" or have any large social media following and you partner with an online casino, I lose all respect
I cant even imagine building an audience and then selling them on a literal money dumpster
"Thanks for following and supporting me, now go lose money gambling" 😂
Younger generation doesn't want to work and it's clear why. Their minds are being tainted by value.
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The easy days in this market are over. I started talking about this nearly two years ago
Learning the art of trading at a high level is the only way your time remains valuable spent here day to day
Anyone who tells you it's "easy" is lying
QuantumFlow is launching soon and aims to improve the success of that. Less noise, more signal
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$XRP hit ATH just over a year ago
Since then, it's been a down only, relentless sell off with barely any relief
Orderbook remains skewed toward bids, so sellers need to have the stronger hand to keep making progress
Overall it seems probable a trend shift is starting to develop in the near future
Think back to BTC's low at 16k in 2022, it was a slow, boring, low volatility shift
XRP-1.79%
BTC0.74%
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The market has spoken $BTC
It's happy to see Saylor exit!
The more he sells, the better the long term
BTC0.74%
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DuniaForexCrypto:
Keep doing and generate profit.
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$BTC
My thoughts for the next few weeks/month are simple
With the amount of intended interest in the 50s, any sweep of the current lows should be short lived
Sideways / sweep / rebound should all end trading in the 70s over the next ~month
BTC0.74%
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$BTC update
I call this the box of Noise (~15k range)
Nothing that happens in here is meaningful
Probably need some patience here before anything substantial happens
BTC0.74%
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Over the last week, $BTC aggregated spot flow momentum hit its lowest reading since the FTX crash
The rate and intensity of that selling has not been seen in nearly 4 years
It was also the largest "coins exchanging hands" events we have seen in years
This one, "Momentum Pulse", is based on months of research and one of many tools that I've been building to better read order flow
BTC0.74%
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$BTC funding is finally negative again
It took -23% for retail bulls to give up on that dip buying
Each leg down, liquidations have been printing less
They're nearly wiped out as the cascade fuel is diminishing
BTC0.74%
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$BTC currently trading below its 3000 day trend
Anything in 50ks should be max value that doesn't last long
If it does, well things have clearly changed
Daily RSI sitting around 12
We've seen this 7 times over the last 12 years
85% of the instances ended positive over 3 months with an avg recovery of 23%
Glory or death.
BTC0.74%
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$BTC spot book is now heavily skewed toward bids
The side profile shows the imbalance well
Lots of support below in the case of a 60k sweep - near empty path back towards 70k
BTC0.74%
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$BTC
Where's all the volume on this sell off?
Same path from 80s to low 60s
1/4 of the volume...
BTC0.74%
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$BTC
Longs have not given up throughout this whole ride down
Long to short ratio continues to increase
Funding is still positive and is even more positive then it was above 80K
Odd combo that can end bad if the bear pressure doesn't exhaust
BTC0.74%
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$XRP orderbook on Coinbase is still heavily skewed towards bids (nearly 7x on the large bands)
Now this doesn't automatically mean "price go up"
But it does mean it's much easier to move price meaningfully up then down
The book is simply intentions. Early 2025 I used the large bands of the book to solidify my bearish thesis on $BTC before it dropped 30%
XRP-1.79%
BTC0.74%
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$BTC
What a wild site to see - spot has actually seen net buying throughout the dip here
BTC0.74%
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$BTC
Bulls need to show up here to save the ship short term
Bid skew has flipped positive within 5% - vwap from lows is current support area
BTC0.74%
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Claude: Wins on human-like/creativeness
GPT: Wins on pure intelligence / strict "by the book" (will always find gaps in claude's output)
Gemini: Wins on real life knowledge by a mile. No other model comes closer (most are sleeping on Gemini's real time knowledge/lookup power - use this to learn stuff)
The worst thing is to constrain yourself to one. My current split is 45/45/10
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If you think you have an edge in this market, your first job is to do everything you can to prove it's actually just noise
Only then, if it's still standing, you might have one
If you skip that step the market will do it for you
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So you’ve been trading for a while and always wanted to automate your trading or build an algo
Now with ai, you feel like its time to give it a shot. You see all this stuff on twitter about how easy it is to build a profitable trading bot
You go to claude and have it write you up a pinescript strategy for tradingview
Claude builds 5+ knobs (parameters) within the strategy and each time you go adjust one, the result completely change
You realize there’s hundreds or thousands of ways you can combine different values of these knobs
Your initial thought is, “Alright, let’s keep testing different k
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$BTC currently has the largest single sell wall in over 3 weeks on perps
Nearly 3k $BTC (220M) sitting at $81,280
BTC0.74%
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