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Coinhusays1

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Break-even. Just killing time with a quick trade
This fucking Bitcoin is so much stronger than the Nasdaq
Here’s a strategy: U.S. stocks still have a fairly significant impact on Bitcoin. For example, volatility tends to increase at 16:00 pre-market (4:00 p.m. Beijing time). Watch whether it moves up or down, then open a position in the same direction. For example, if it moves down today, open a short position and steadily capture 1.7 volatility units.
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BTC+0.80%
昨夜美股 "利空出尽" 剧本验证 —— 纳指 +1.11% 报 26,430.89,存储链集体反弹(海力士 +4.6%、美光 +3%);但油价夜盘从白天低点 96.76 大幅拉回至 103.66(美防长秘访以色列、对伊军事行动再议),黄金回落至 4,140 下方。今日 09:00 LPR 是 A 股开盘第一裁决,央行信号 = 或走 "OMO 换锚" 类降息而非直接调 LPR。
NAS100-0.36%
GLDX-0.55%
PAXG-0.38%
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BTC and gold are both moving sideways; it’s best to take a break. Don’t listen to those KOLs saying gold can be bought long immediately
Maintain independent judgment
BTC+0.80%
GLDX-0.55%
PAXG-0.38%
XAU-0.46%
The scariest thing about poverty isn’t having no money, but that it steals your time. Waiting for buses, comparing prices, handling paperwork, and dealing with all kinds of institutions….
Poverty is like a second job with no pay.
CSI 500 led gains at +0.90%, making it the strongest tier today: this was not merely index heavyweight support, but gains in mid-cap industry leaders (given today’s PPI data, the pro-cyclical resources/chemicals chain should be the main driver).
Technology continued to be pressured: STAR 50 led the entire market lower at -1.18%, while the ChiNext Index fell -0.48%; semiconductors and new energy weakened for a third consecutive week, remaining the main decliners.
Small-cap sentiment cooled: CSI 2000 fell -0.39%, hot-money sentiment was mediocre, and small-cap stocks did not rise across the boar
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Today is the Double Ninth Festival, and with little to trade in A-shares, investors unexpectedly piled into Jiuyang Co
The Philadelphia Semiconductor Index and Nasdaq futures index are still holding up
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NAS100-0.36%
Semiconductors may rally today, but breaking higher won’t be easy. I’ll just buy the dip for a T+0 trade
① U.S. stocks plunged at Friday’s close + inflation trade (oil above $100, 10Y at 5.125%, gold at 4,211); ② Middle East geopolitical tensions escalated and then eased over the weekend (oil tanker attacked → Iran announced the Strait of Hormuz was “closed” → then floated a “7-day navigation plan”); ③ Diverging signals from institutions over the weekend (CITIC sees the “AI correction nearing its end” vs. Capital bearish on gold). Monday’s open will decide all three fronts.
GLDX-0.55%
PAXG-0.38%
XAU-0.46%
The current state of China’s A-shares over the past two years:
Quants dominate volatility, institutions dominate trends, and sentiment-driven money is being led around like a dog
Semiconductors completely wrecked my trades—they somehow turned A-shares’ T+1 into T+0.
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Currently opened high and pulled back; waiting for stabilization
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South Korea’s financial regulators held an emergency meeting on the stock market and issued an official statement, urging proactive measures to ensure market stability and protect investors; they urged financial institutions to avoid excessive credit extension and strengthen investor protection and risk management; they will severely punish conduct that disrupts the market and, if necessary, prepare to activate emergency plans.
Daily and intraday charts are falling in sync—doesn’t even bounce once📷 📷
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Yesterday’s situation: The market was supported in the morning session, then collapsed across the board in the afternoon — evolving from “heavyweights propping up the index” into “indiscriminate selling across all segments,” with tech and growth stocks as the bleeding point
Tech and growth stocks (STAR 50 / ChiNext Index) fell 3%+ in a single day; the high open in the morning was a trap, and today will typically see further momentum-driven selling. Wait for declining volume and stabilization
After a second day of low-volume declines, there will most likely be another low—don’t rush to catc
bitcoin:native With the market like this, it’s very difficult to trade. Either stay in cash and do nothing, or hold a short position with a small allocation.
At this level, it has already fallen twice before, so it’s hard to say whether it can go lower this time.
The current situation has a chance of both ranging and falling—roughly 40/60.
Choosing to do nothing and taking a break is also fine.
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BTC+0.82%