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ChopTradoor

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i was promised uptober
and i got choptober
Btw if you've been losing money only going long or only shorting recently, I think this is VERY VERY normal.
Markets have *not* been easy.
If you miss the 1-2 days it moves a lot, you're basically just thrown random chop.
I got chopped up a bit on stronger directional bets before I pivoted into pair trading again in the last 1-2 weeks and strategies have stabilized much more
Continue to adapt. If you've been losing a lot, just cut size to like 10% your normal risk until you feel like markets are turning in your favor again
Such is the life cycle and infinite improvement treadmill we are all
PAIR-11.35%
Bought some coins
panic shorters at the lows on $BTC
BTC-0.65%
people ask me how i can stomach the recent losses.
i lost nothing. in this moment, i have exactly the amount of dollars i deserve. the rest is just variance.
our NW will always regress to the base level of our process. always. our job is to constantly elevate said base level.
Some choppy consolidation wouldn't surprise me on $BTC
Any sustained weakness below 81k and I'd gtfo, add to hedge shorts
Still net long for now with selective alt hedge shorts open for now.
Best to wait for closes in choppy environments
Act slow when markets are slow
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BTC-0.67%
Did SwellDAO $SWELL just vibe code all of their things on railway or why do the bros have keys exposed there bruh
SWELL+9.05%
This is what they all wishes the equity curve looked like
(it's not mine in aggregate but one of the main strategies entered around the 760s)
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To be clear, there are 2 sides of the coin for the $PAPER changes
As @papertrade_xyz team, obviously they have to do it to prevent attack vectors, maximize longevity, and they still earn via fees
As stakers, you have to fight the inflation economics of PAPER emissions. If you were hoping for staking + not trading and earning, then obviously profitability comes down drastically
It is what it is. Just going to leave $PAPER staked and hope revenues outgrow the inflation lmeow.
Some people seem upset about the $PAPER @papertrade_xyz update but I think it's good
Owning PAPER is owning a share of the house
If non-transferability etc. is required in order to prevent attack vectors, then that's how it should be
Ppl missing the forest for the trees
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Some of the coins i like on this drop
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ON+4.77%
Market structure on lots of alts look a little messed up whilst $BTC is still okay.
Basically how I view it is:
• $BTC can start looking much better with good closes. First sign would be closing today above 83.7k. Last few hours' PA has been alright, but not yet
• Lots of previously strong alts are showing some local weakness (within a larger aggressive uptrend) so it's understandable for either consolidation or more pullback
• Consolidations are happening on the 4H etc. I expect the previously strong coins to remain as the stronger coins WHEN trend continuation happens
• I am playing it defe
BTC-0.67%
Scalping some shorts here
Pick the coines who have broken market structure, ideally lower volume on the rise up than normal, shorts closing, good setups
Quite a few out there. Pick the one that fits your volume profile
Successful traders’ arcs all seem to follow one general path:

1) Get rekt learning and maybe mimicking ppl you look up to, studying, learning basics
2) Making money but still losing more. Poor execution, risk mgmt, not focused enough
3) Net profitable for a more sustained period but struggling with keeping money and managing drawdown. Got the basics but inconsistent and emotional
4) Realize you need to be way more selective and slow down + bet bigger on higher conviction. Probably miss a few bigger shots. Realize what true edge means
5) Now you’re actually profitable and have edge. You kno
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Queue here
Queue there
Queue everywhere
Scooped the dip
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