BuddaTrader

💵 Foreign investors increased their holdings of U.S. bonds by $34.8 billion to $9.3 trillion in January, the second highest level on record.
TRADER BUDDA

Cartoon from the new issue of The Economist

❗️Lithuania, Latvia, and Estonia today officially opened their airspace to Ukrainian kamikaze UAVs attacking the Leningrad region.

🌍 The Organization for Economic Cooperation and Development now forecasts inflation in the G20 countries at 4.0% in 2026, compared to 2.8% in its December forecast.

🤔 The US tech sector recorded the largest weekly inflow of funds in history (data is counted since 2008).

🩸Is the rally canceled?
It looks like the market is starting to front-run a possible ground operation on Kharg Island.
Meanwhile, Axios (a Republican-leaning publication) writes that "the Pentagon is preparing for a crushing final strike on Iran."

🤔 The S&P 500 is experiencing historically high intraday volatility.
Over the past 3 months, there have been 28 intraday reversals — the most since 2015 and the second highest since the 2008 Global Financial Crisis.

🇨🇳☄️ CHINA'S INDUSTRY UNDER PRESSURE.
.............................................................
China's industrial sector is "under severe pressure":
🤍 In 2025, 23.8% of industrial enterprises were unprofitable – the highest since 2000 and "double the 2017 figure."
🤍 This is already the "fourth consecutive year" of growth – the worst performance on record.
🤍 Profitability of private enterprises has fallen to 4.5% – the lowest since at least 2014 and has been declining for four consecutive years.
The backdrop is worsening:
🤍"The longest deflation on record."
🤍Weak domestic demand
🤍U

💸 On-chain data shows a significant reduction in whale activity - the volume of large transfers ($100K+) has dropped to the lowest levels since September 2023.

🛢🇮🇳 India bought about 60 million barrels of Russian oil in March and has already contracted about the same amount for delivery in April.
👀 The purchases are made at a premium of $5–$15 per barrel over the Brent benchmark. At current prices, this is more than $6.5 billion per month.

🗣 Trump: "You have 48 hours to open the Strait of Hormuz."
🇮🇷 Iran: …
🗣 Trump: "You have 5 days to make a deal with us."
🇮🇷 Iran: …
🗣 Trump: "A month-long ceasefire?"