AlphaExtract

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New indicator, open source, published on TV: - Hidden Liquidity Profile Link below.

Price is sitting around ~$60k while Kalman fair value is near ~$93k. That puts BTC at a ~35.9% discount to on-chain value. The important part: The model is not seeing a premium market. It is not seeing euphoria. It is still classifying this as a Discount regime with ~99.996%

Global liquidity is currently sitting around $147.4T. More importantly, short-term momentum is improving, with the 12-week RoC at +2.14 versus the 52-week RoC at +0.55. That means liquidity is beginning to reaccelerate again. But this is still not a clean, broad-based

Been a bit inactive here, mostly enjoying driving this beauty that arrived recently. Never stopped working or participating in the market, just operating at ~60% capacity for a while. Honestly, it's surreal. Five years ago, I started studying markets. Four years ago, I started

Global liquidity increased by approximately $0.7T this week, bringing total liquidity to roughly $146.6T (+0.5%). More importantly, momentum continues to improve, although the pace of expansion remains modest. Liquidity itself remains elevated, but levels alone rarely drive

bitcoin:native Don't think we get much action outside of this little range going into the weekend. Don't let your impatience put you in a bad spot here, it's totally fine to sit through this PA if you don't have a system to trade it with.

It's a market for SDCA enjoyers, imo. More confluence to keep placing those bids.

Bitcoin continues to struggle to keep up. While global liquidity momentum is still improving slightly, a positive cross has yet to occur, leaving markets without the acceleration typically seen during stronger risk-on environments. Liquidity itself remains elevated, but levels

Both Liquidity Fair Oscillators (medium and long-term) sent a buy signal yesterday. Still thinking we go lower before we go higher, but either way - both of these firing at the same time usually leads towards a reversal over a longer duration. In short, more signs for potential

$BTC failed to close below the yearly low at 60.2k on the 4H timeframe. That's a constructive sign. As mentioned in the previous post, I still think we see lower prices before this is over. Nevertheless, this is another data point suggesting a base may be forming. We've

This is exactly what I tell my friends, when they start complaining before even scratching the surface, and it's crazy how difficult those two sentences are to absorb. But it genuinely doesn't get more accurate than this. You don't need big capital to learn how to trade. In

Yearly low swept. The question now is simple: do we start building a base here, or do we continue lower? This is where you look for signs of seller exhaustion. You don't blindly long a falling market trying to catch the exact bottom. While a V-shaped reversal is always

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We've published another TradingView indicator: - Adaptive Trend Ribbon Link below.

No respect shown for 200 EMA band on the weekly TF for $BTC, and although we're seeing buyers step in around the 65.8k level - don't think this is the end of the downtrend. From my pov, this significantly increases the odds of a 60k test now. Not interested in longs here until

On another note, that's a sell signal from our BVRS - Dynamic Trend model.

Important area for a bullish $BTC reaction, imo. From a macro standpoint, still think there are several boxes left to check before expecting a sustained move higher. That said, a lack of bullish response here would likely add further pressure to market sentiment.

Global liquidity momentum continues to improve, and stocks are reflecting that accordingly. Bitcoin, however, continues to struggle a bit. The latest ISM PMI data points to a stronger US economy. While that sounds bullish on the surface, stronger economic activity can also pull

Similar take here - really want to see a test and reaction off the weekly 200 EMA band, right around the 68.9k level.