AlphaExtract

Oil has entered a phase of increased volatility since March, steering away from the stability seen in months prior to it. This isn't about one single narrative. It reflects conflicting 'forces' at play: tightening supply risks on one side, fragile global demand on the other.

Gold is looking oversold on our Probable Range Bands. Yet both daily and weekly structure suggest a lower high may be forming - closely resembling previous highlighted setup. Context matters. Oversold inside weakening structure is often continuation, not reversal.

Global liquidity fell by 0.69% this week. Not a collapse, but not an expansion either. And that is the signal. Liquidity remains elevated (~$144.8T), but momentum keeps weakening. This is what a transitional macro environment looks like: - plenty of liquidity - no directional

Our BVRS - Trend Component has flipped long. Lower timeframe structure on $BTC still looks weak, but this is exactly why mixing systems across timeframes leads to bad decisions. Each system has its own context. Respect it.

Quietly watching intraday price action using a fixed range volume profile here. Failure to push through both VAH and weekly resistance around UTC midnight, combined with continuous closes below PoC, typically sets up a high-probability move toward VAL.

Bitcoin's liquidity-driven fair value increased significantly since end of March, jumping up to 78k now - and yet, BTC is still struggling to break above. The question is: do we continue to range and drift back towards range low, or do we break out and start trending? Important

The On-Chain Trend Map is designed to answer one question: is Bitcoin's price trend being confirmed by internal on-chain structure, or is the move losing support underneath the surface? It does that by compressing several on-chain inputs into one trend score rather than relying

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Just published a new indicator on TradingView - had a lot of fun building this one. It uses on-chain data, so a slightly different approach than our usual work. - BTC Valuation Cycle Link below.

Another great example of how combining multiple systems creates clarity to enter a trade. Rudimentary framework: 1) MCI - bias and direction confirmation 2) EMA's - early positioning 3) BVRS Dynamic trend - confirmation / later entry

Such a bad take on creatine. It's one of the most researched and scientifically validated supplements we have - not just for strength and performance, but cognitive function too. Better mental performance. Improved memory. Faster processing speed - especially under stress. If

And that's exactly why most people fail. Evolution is hilarious when you really think about it. Humans once fought apex predators to survive. Now we struggle to sit still without simulation, lmao.

Risk assets look ready to move higher, but this rally feels headline-driven - not structural. Global liquidity has had a sharp move up, but when you look at the RoC, not much changed. RoC has now been negative for 5 consecutive weeks. Based on this analysis, we're sitting in

For the past 66 days, price hasn't moved much. But that doesn't mean you should've done the same. Genuine question - what did you do during this period? Sharpen your skills? Added new tools to your playbook? Or were you just waiting for volatility to save you?

Bitcoin Value Range System - Dynamic Trend just flipped long. Momentum is somewhat improving, but $BTC is still trading inside of a range. Breakout confirmation remains key.

$BTC is slowly picking up strength here. Faster-optimized trend systems are already catching the shift. Until proven otherwise, this remains a ranging environment - with price auctioning at range high's extreme. Interestingly enough, the intra-week GLI update is also beginning

Pretty decent surge for $BTC, but based on our probable range analysis - it's hitting the upper band on this level, and correction is to be expected. The congestion we're seeing on these bands is also a pretty telling sign. In most cases, it leads to an explosive move.

Quick update on Global liquidity. As positioning shifts toward 'the bottom is in' for risk assets, global liquidity is telling a different story. Wrote on another post about how the move higher in oil, directly tightens global liquidity. If the conflict persists or escalates,

There is quite a lot on this chart that suggests Bitcoin is still trading from a discounted on-chain position. Price is sitting around $67k, while the model's Kalman fair value is closer to $73.1k, leaving BTC roughly 8.4% below fair. More importantly, this is not just a simple

Last few weeks came at me with a lot of extra work and pressure, which got me thinking. You either increase your sacrifice, or reduce desire. Life really is that simple.