AlexGii

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AlexGii
Bitcoin has fallen almost by half, but a true capitulation still hasn’t happened
Over the past 12 months, holders have recorded a net loss of roughly 136,000 BTC. For comparison, around the lows of previous cycles, annual realized losses reached up to 1.3 million BTC and up to 3.7 million BTC
That is, the current metric is only a small fraction of the scale of panic selling seen in prior bear markets
At the same time, the current drop remains the mildest in history. Depending on the calculation point, the drawdown is about 49-51%, while major bear cycles in 2014, 2018, and 2022 ended with declines of 77-84%. By timing, the current phase is also still shorter than the past structural bear markets, which lasted about 321-385 days
It’s still too early to draw conclusions, of course—this bear market is definitely different from previous ones, both in terms of on-chain data and the political and, overall, global situation. I’ll repeat: current levels are suitable for a gradual spot position build-up and are definitely not the best option for margin .#USD1StakingEarnUpTo8%APR @ThisIsTranslateContent:TroyGod @
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AlexGii
Bitcoin has fallen almost by half, but a true capitulation still hasn’t happened
Over the past 12 months, holders have recorded a net loss of roughly 136,000 BTC. For comparison, around the lows of previous cycles, annual realized losses reached up to 1.3 million BTC and up to 3.7 million BTC
That is, the current metric is only a small fraction of the scale of panic selling seen in prior bear markets
At the same time, the current drop remains the mildest in history. Depending on the calculation point, the drawdown is about 49-51%, while major bear cycles in 2014, 2018, and 2022 ended with declines of 77-84%. By timing, the current phase is also still shorter than the past structural bear markets, which lasted about 321-385 days
It’s still too early to draw conclusions, of course—this bear market is definitely different from previous ones, both in terms of on-chain data and the political and, overall, global situation. I’ll repeat: current levels are suitable for a gradual spot position build-up and are definitely not the best option for margin .#USD1StakingEarnUpTo8%APR @ThisIsTranslateContent:TroyGod @
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AlexGii
Bitcoin has fallen almost by half, but a true capitulation still hasn’t happened
Over the past 12 months, holders have recorded a net loss of roughly 136,000 BTC. For comparison, around the lows of previous cycles, annual realized losses reached up to 1.3 million BTC and up to 3.7 million BTC
That is, the current metric is only a small fraction of the scale of panic selling seen in prior bear markets
At the same time, the current drop remains the mildest in history. Depending on the calculation point, the drawdown is about 49-51%, while major bear cycles in 2014, 2018, and 2022 ended with declines of 77-84%. By timing, the current phase is also still shorter than the past structural bear markets, which lasted about 321-385 days
It’s still too early to draw conclusions, of course—this bear market is definitely different from previous ones, both in terms of on-chain data and the political and, overall, global situation. I’ll repeat: current levels are suitable for a gradual spot position build-up and are definitely not the best option for margin .#USD1StakingEarnUpTo8%APR @ThisIsTranslateContent:TroyGod @
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📸 Inflation Picture through the lens of ETFs:
$RINF $EQRR $XLE $INFL
Up, Up, and Away... 🚀
This is one of the biggest headwind for investment portfolios and why active risk management is becoming ever increasing important in today's markets.
Reminds me also of Great classic book on risk management by Peter L. Bernstein. A book that i will also recommend to all fellow financial practitioners 👇
"Against the Gods: The Remarkable Story of Risk"
Widely regarded as one of the best books ever written on risk, probability, investing, and decision-making!
Chart Source: ChartMonitor
XLE-1.27%
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Bitcoin has fallen nearly in half, but a true capitulation still hasn’t happened
Over the past 12 months, holders have recorded a net loss of approximately 136,000 BTC. For comparison, around the lows of previous cycles, annual realized losses reached up to 1.3 million BTC and up to 3.7 million BTC
So the current figure is only a small fraction of the scale of panic selling during past bearish markets
At the same time, the current decline remains the mildest in history. Depending on the calculation point, the drawdown is about 49–51%, while major bearish cycles in 2014, 2018, and 2022 ended wi
BTC0.99%
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Bitcoin has fallen almost by half, but a true capitulation still hasn’t happened
Over the past 12 months, holders have recorded a net loss of roughly 136,000 BTC. For comparison, around the lows of previous cycles, annual realized losses reached up to 1.3 million BTC and up to 3.7 million BTC
That is, the current metric is only a small fraction of the scale of panic selling seen in prior bear markets
At the same time, the current drop remains the mildest in history. Depending on the calculation point, the drawdown is about 49-51%, while major bear cycles in 2014, 2018, and 2022 ended with decl
BTC0.99%
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Another GTA VI trailer released by...?
August 31
1.20x
83%
June 30
Yes
$1.25K Vol+4 more
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AlexGii:
LFG 🔥
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Bitcoin has fallen by almost half, but there is still no real capitulation
Over the past 12 months, holders have recorded a net loss of about 136,000 BTC. For comparison, near the lows of previous cycles, annual realized losses reached up to 1.3 million BTC and up to 3.7 million BTC
So the current figure is only a small fraction of the scale of panic selling seen in past bearish markets
At the same time, the current decline remains the mildest in history. Depending on the calculation point, the drawdown is about 49-51%, while major bear cycles in 2014, 2018, and 2022 ended with drops of 77-84%
BTC0.99%
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Bitcoin has fallen to nearly half, but a real capitulation has not happened yet
Over the past 12 months, holders have recorded a net loss of roughly 136,000 BTC. By comparison, near the lows of previous cycles, annual realized losses reached up to 1.3 million BTC and up to 3.7 million BTC
So the current figure is only a small fraction of the scale of panic selling in past bearish markets
At the same time, the current drop remains the mildest in history. Depending on the calculation point, the drawdown is about 49-51%, while major bear cycles in 2014, 2018, and 2022 ended with declines of 77-84
BTC0.99%
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Good morning, friends!
Escalation of the conflict with Iran: The US is conducting a military operation in Iran during a ceasefire, BTC responds by falling below $1M. The reaction is extremely neutral, apparently the market is tired of reacting to every such news
📊 Market now
⚫⚫⚫⚫⚫⚫⚫
- Bitcoin around $59,841
- Ethereum around $1,567
🎮 Indices
⚫⚫⚫⚫⚫⚫⚫
- Fear and Greed Index: 18
- Altcoin Season Index: 52
- Bitcoin dominance: 55.9%
- Market capitalization: $2.14 trillion
🕯ETF for the week
⚫⚫⚫⚫⚫⚫⚫
⬇️BTC ETF $1.78 billion
⬇️ETH ETF $273.5 million
⬇️HYPE ETF $1.0 million
⚠️ Liquidation
BTC0.99%
ETH0.00%
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Good morning, friends!
Escalation of conflict with Iran: US conducts military operation in Iran during truce, BTC reacts by falling below $60k. The reaction is extremely neutral, apparently the market is tired of reacting to every such news.
📊 Market now
⚫⚫⚫⚫⚫⚫⚫
- Bitcoin around $59,841
- Ethereum around $1,567
🎮 Indices
⚫⚫⚫⚫⚫⚫⚫
- Fear and Greed Index: 18
- Altseason Index: 52
- Bitcoin dominance: 55.9%
- Market cap: $2.14 trillion
🕯 ETFs this week
⚫⚫⚫⚫⚫⚫⚫
⬇️BTC ETF $1.78B
⬇️ETH ETF $273.5M
⬇️HYPE ETF $1.0M
⚠️ Liquidations (24h) - $129.7M
⚫⚫⚫⚫⚫⚫⚫⚫⚫⚫⚫⚫
Long - $78.6M
Short - $51.1M
BTC1.47%
ETH0.16%
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JUST NOW: ANSEM Perpetuals are launching on AsterDEX. A trader opened a short with 3x leverage on 80k ANSEM at a price of $0.12 and made a profit of ~80%. Potential signal of short-term volatility around the launch. $ANSEM 😉😊#TradFiCFDGoldMaster
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JUST IN: ANSEM Perpetuals are launching on AsterDEX. A trader opened a 3x short on 80k ANSEM at $0.12 and made a profit of ~80%. Potential signal of short-term volatility around the launch. $ANSEM 😊😆#IsraelStrikesIranBTCPlunges
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Kashkari: the labor market is not driving inflation now.
Translation: there is no reason to cut rates. Borrowing remains expensive, risk appetite remains compressed.
$BTC feels this more strongly than most.😗
BTC0.99%
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Kashkari: the labor market is not driving inflation now.
Translation: no reason to lower rates. Borrowing remains expensive, risk appetite remains tight.
$BTC feels this more strongly than most.#SKHynixTopsKOSPIByMarketCap #USMayPCEInflationRisesTo4.1%HighestIn3Years #WorldCup🏴󠁧󠁢󠁳󠁣󠁴󠁿vs🇧🇷 #HoldUSD1EarnYield #USNetCapitalInflowsHitRecord884B 😘😗☺️😚😙😙🤪
BTC0.99%
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Kashkari: The labor market is not driving inflation now.
Translation: No reason to lower rates. Borrowing remains expensive, risk appetite remains compressed.
$BTC feels this more than most.#WorldCup🏴󠁧󠁢󠁳󠁣󠁴󠁿vs🇧🇷 #USMayPCEInflationRisesTo4.1%HighestIn3Years #SKHynixTopsKOSPIByMarketCap 🫠🫠🫠🫠
BTC0.99%
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Kashkari: The labor market is not being driven by inflation right now.
Translation: There is no reason to cut rates. Borrowing remains expensive, and risk appetite remains constrained.
$BTC Feels this more strongly than most. 😃🙂‍↔️🙃😙😙🥳😌😏🥲
BTC0.99%
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Kashkari: The labor market is not currently driving inflation.
Translation: There is no reason to cut rates. Borrowing remains expensive, risk appetite remains compressed.
$BTC feels this more strongly than the majority.
BTC0.99%
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Kashkari: The labor market is not driving inflation now.
Translation: There is no reason to lower rates. Borrowing remains expensive, risk appetite remains compressed.
$BTC feels this more than most. calm down🤩
BTC0.99%
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Kashkari: the labor market is not driving inflation now.
Translation: there is no reason to cut rates. Borrowing remains expensive, risk appetite remains tight.
$BTC feels this more than most.#WorldCup🏴󠁧󠁢󠁳󠁣󠁴󠁿vs🇧🇷 😇😇
BTC0.99%
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Kashkari: the labor market is not being driven by inflation right now.
Translation: there is no reason to cut rates. Borrowing remains expensive, and risk appetite remains constrained.
$BTC feels this more strongly than most.#😄
BTC0.99%
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