ASD001

ETH 3264 long
Stop loss 3250
Take profit 3330
Want to short at 3412 and 3482, short $ETH

Understand Venezuela, Comprehend Bitcoin
The Americans now hate gold the most. If gold were only a safe haven, it wouldn’t have risen so decisively. Now, countries around the world are actively buying gold to short the dollar, which is the most direct way to price in the dollar’s decline.
After the collapse of the Bretton Woods system, gold became the biggest rival to the dollar. Because the dollar has been replacing gold’s circulation function, the two have always been inversely related. When industrial resources like silver, copper, and lithium also start rising following gold’s logic, it means the world no longer recognizes the US “credit treaty” but instead trusts the real collateral of resources.
This is why the US now must “fight to the death” by striking at Venezuela to seize its oil. Because it understands that if it cannot reassert dominance over gold and the resource camp behind it through physical assets, the dollar will become a pile of rotten mud, and dollar hegemony will cease to exist. When the oil-rich Middle Eastern countries refuse to cooperate, the petrodollar system cannot operate. The US must find a compliant and large oil reserve in its “own backyard.” Controlling Venezuela, the US has created a massive closed loop of oil and minerals in the Western Hemisphere. In the long run, this is a way of re-mortgaging the dollar with physical assets.
However, short-term impacts are also very important. The 2026 mid-term elections are crucial for Trump; losing the election would mean losing his political life! To secure votes, he needs low oil prices, a high stock market, and low interest rates. Although striking at Venezuela won’t immediately boost its oil production, it sends a signal of future oversupply in the financial markets. This can sufficiently suppress speculative funds and allow voters to see falling prices at the gas station.
At the start of 2026, the world is more surreal than a movie. When news begins circulating online that Venezuela holds $60 billion worth of Bitcoin, the consensus around decentralization, statelessness, and non-inflatable assets will evolve into a form of faith. The US, for election purposes, can forcibly cut interest rates or strike at other countries for oil. We are witnessing an era where fiat currencies are weaponized, and Bitcoin is the only survival fortress. That’s why the US wants to seize the initiative and take control of Bitcoin’s pricing power. The shift from “private speculation” to “national strategic reserve” marks Bitcoin’s official “coming of age” ceremony!

Tao looks good, enter around 287 with 1x capital, 75x leverage, stop loss at 279, 2.8% stop loss rate, targets at 295-314-345-394.

US stocks, ETH, short around 3195, add positions at 3220, stop loss at 3232, target 3166-3145

ETH, afternoon order, short around 3250
Target 3220--3198
Add position at 3275, stop loss 3290

[Aggressive Short to Medium Term Limit Price: #BTC ]
Suggested Position Size: 2 - 4% (based on loss tolerance)
Operation Advice: Long
Win Rate Estimate: 60%
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Entry Points: 91300 (Aggressive) - 88600 (Conservative) Average around 89000
Short-term Target: 92144 - 93144
Medium-term Target: 94344 - 99444
Stop Loss: 87744
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For learning and communication only. Remember to set BE after taking profit.
@FlyingFish2026 Blessing Edition

1.7 Auntie
Synchronized oscillation upward, bullish momentum gradually accumulates, short-term moving averages indicate an upward trend, and the price breaks through the signal line, with buying pressure supporting potential further gains.
The daily chart shows a clear bullish structure, RSI trendline testing and rebounding from the lower boundary of the upward channel form a double bullish signal, with potential to challenge previous highs.
- Suggestion: Buy on pullback near 3180-3230, target 3300-3350, and after breaking through, look towards 3400-3465.$ETH

· Current Price and Status: approximately $3,217, short-term structure is bullish but below a key resistance zone.
· Key Resistance Zone: $3,220 - $3,250. This is the first critical area that the bulls need to break through.
· Bullish Breakout Signal: a confirmed breakout and stabilization above $3,250 could open further upside potential.
· Potential Long Opportunities (after a pullback): if the price retraces to support levels at $3,190** or **$3,110 - $3,070 and stabilizes, it may present a more robust long entry.
· Risks to Watch Out For: the market has a large amount of leveraged longs
• Key Resistance (Upward Barrier)
· $3,220 - $3,250: short-term key resistance, whether broken or not determines the near-term direction.
· $3,350 - $3,500: stronger resistance area, gathering historical selling pressure.
• Key Support (Downside Support)
· $3,190: the most recent first support.
· $3,110 - $3,070: a stronger support zone, including moving averages and demand areas.
· $3,000 - $2,920: an important structural support band; a breakdown here would weaken the bullish structure.
• Macro Technical Patterns
Multiple analysts point out that a symmetrical triangle convergence pattern is forming on the Ethereum daily chart, indicating volatility compression and an imminent choice of direction. The upward breakout target is around $4,060, while the downward breakdown target is near $2,200.
1. High Leverage Risks: Derivatives market data shows that the current ETH market’s long leverage is at a historical high, with many liquidations concentrated between $3,150 and $2,850.
2. Potential Hidden Bearish Divergence: Some analyses indicate that on smaller timeframes (such as the 4-hour chart), when attempting to break through $3,200, momentum indicators (like RSI) already show “hidden bearish divergence.” If the price cannot break through strongly, a pullback may be necessary to digest.
3. Whale Battles: Large whales have established significant short positions worth $63 million near the resistance zone of $3,200-$3,400, which can suppress upward movement and indicates market disagreement at this level.
· Aggressive (Breakout Followed by Long): wait for the price to **effectively break through and stabilize above $3,250**, which can be seen as a short-term bullish signal. The next targets could be $3,305, then around $3,430. However, stop-losses should be set close below the breakout point, as this approach carries higher risk.
· Conservative (Pullback to Long): wait for the price to retrace to and stabilize at key support levels. The more notable support is in the $3,110 - $3,070 range. If the price finds support here and shows a rebound signal, it may offer a better risk-reward long opportunity. Stop-losses can be set below $3,030 or $2,920.
Long-term Catalysts to Watch
Besides short-term trading, some long-term positive factors also support market confidence in Ethereum, forming an important background:
· Institutional Adoption Accelerates: Traditional financial giants like JPMorgan, BlackRock, and Fidelity have begun asset tokenization on Ethereum, viewing it as a reliable financial infrastructure.

#数字资产动态追踪 This round of Ethereum trading was very smooth. The long position from 3223 to 3299, directly capturing 76 points. Over in oil and gas, things haven't been idle either, pocketing $7516 in one go. Stick to your own rhythm, that's how it is. Don't hesitate when it's time to eat meat. $ETH $BTC $SOL , keep fighting!

So everyone just realized it's time to start buying MEME on ETH? This round is Ethereum's bull run. Everyone, follow along!!!

ETH is pushing against a key 4-hour resistance following a solid recovery from demand zones. Momentum's cooling off at this level though—pullback wouldn't be unusual unless the buyers really step up and force a clean break through. How the price reacts right here will pretty much determine what happens next.