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7213Ejaaz

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so just to recap a crazy week:
- $3 trillion was wiped out of markets in 24 hours
- then Jensen admits cheating on his wife with a chinese spy in a company-wide email
- anthropic & openAI valuations get slashed down to $1-1.3 trillion, openai raises only $10/30B target
- despite this anthropic rumored to have hit $80 billion ARR, ChatGPT hits 20% google search volume, openai hits 1.2B weekly users
- 67% of americans think AI will cause more harm than good. 56% don’t want data centers.
- this endangers 45% of data center projects next year putting AI progress at risk.
- and yet METR reports ant
OPENAI-0.04%
GOOGL+1.21%
MSFT+2.75%
what’s happening with google right now marks the end of the internet as we know it:
- the internet economy runs on search driven ads. pay google, you get customers
- AI is killing this. customers interact with websites via ai now. information is being sourced via models not google search.
problem: ai search isn’t monetized so neither google nor businesses get paid anymore (anthropic and openai do)
result: companies like reddit and amazon just close their doors and the entire ai cycle slows down.
thats why google and reddit are tanking.
$GOOG
GOOGL+1.21%
GOOG+0.80%
RDDT+5.97%
AMZN+2.95%
elon was right.
nvidia to invest $5 billion+ into neocloud NScale to prevent it defaulting, bringing their total investment in neoclouds to $170 billion:
- money will be used for power and construction, not buying GPUs. so less circular.
- money will help Nscale take on more investment grade debt.
- nscale just signed another $45B deal with anthropic last week…
NVDA-4.34%
absolute bloodbath in AI this week despite record earnings, people need to pay attention to what’s happening here:
cash is running out to pay for data centers so companies are resorting to borrowing/ raising:
google $GOOGL -12% ($500 billion
Amazon -12% ($315 billion)
Intel $INTC -22%
corweave, nebius, iren down 30-35%
it’s a result of the market not seeing the ROI on the billions spent on AI so far + these companies doubling down on spending for 2027.
also see Reddit following the same path as amazon shutting of access to its platform due to AI stealing its data to train on + google ads fa
GOOGL+1.21%
AMZN+2.95%
INTC+5.50%
IREN-1.16%
RDDT+5.97%
every shopping platform will need to embrace AI in the same way Walmart is - this is the case study to watch:
- amazon banned ai agents from shopping, walmart did the opposite - any agent (muse, , GPT) gets its own account, can browse and shop on behalf of a human
- browsing history, shopping preferences are kept private to the user.
- human can set spending limits and view, return any items the agent buys. great shopping experience, less pressure on “risk”
on average every meta muse user is spending $200, i expect this to dramatically increase as more of the world replaces browsers with pe
WMT+0.11%
AMZN+2.95%
about to pass out, some bedtime thoughts on the craziness of what’s happening in AI:
- last 48 hours we’ve seen an increased number of cyber exploits as hackers turn to using AI models to pull off attacks. whats fascinating is if one model fails, the attack can just be replaced by another. artificial general intelligence has reached a level where it doesn’t matter - ability to identify and exploit are freely available.
- personal agents are the new browser: anthropic released Claude Duet today (i’ve got access it’s pretty dope), meta has muse, openai Dots and grok bot. they’re fighting to bec
GOOGL+1.21%
AMZN+2.95%
huge: new models expected from anthropic, openai and google imminently
- claude fable 5.5 / opus 5.6, models will be able to predict what you want. use cases involve trading and general reasoning.
- Google Carbon - nect upgrade from argon last week, not quite frontier but glad to see googles shipping quickly now
- GPT terra upgrade - openai's answer to pricing out anthropic's offering on the mid-tier model layer. guessing this will match opus 5.5 at least.
per the Information
first Leopold’s situational awareness blows up now this,
the rumors circulating are that AI fund Vara (worth $26.4 billion) blew up causing the market to dump.
they owned $40 billion worth of positions across $CRWV $NBIS $BE + other infra bets. funds only been around 16 months.
but idt it’s them, it’s likely some fund of similar size.
also leopold bet heavily on corweave post-blow up.
brutal markets
post-image
CRWV+5.69%
NBIS+9.29%
BE+12.00%
just to recap how insane things are getting:
- an 11 day old model just solved 100s of math problems in a week that have stumped humans for centuries
- AI is one-shotting every game, tool and software threatening the value of private moats to $0
- AI agents are hitting escape velocity hacking everything in sight AND winning everyone’s attention (Muse #1 in app store)
- the pace of new model releases has compressed to every 11 days
- the most powerful models are increasingly living behind closed walls, accessible to a elite group
- biological AI models are entering mainstream channels & wil
“calling delta” - muse
im telling you the days of doing the most boring, mundane tasks are numbered.
i dont care about productivity, just remove all this tedious work from my life.
post-image
Flight delayed 7 hours - asked Muse to file for compensation. 5 mins later i had $250 credit in my delta account. it even found and rebooked me a new flight.
it just figured everything out. even responded to the support email itself.
shit feels like magic.
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Openai is now offering advertisers a feature that uses ai to re-write their ad to match the language, tone and style used by the target user in their conversation.
they're also rolling out 'sponsored agents' that activate when you click on an ad. ask it any question about the product and it's goal will be to answer and convert you.
its hard to see this not becoming the dominant way advertising happens online. incredibly personal, real-time ads that adopt to the way you're thinking and talking - built on millions of rich context in chatgpt.
OPENAI-0.04%
openai's reportedly on the verge of solving yet another millenium math problem (the Hodge Conjecture) but whats more important is *why* they're doing it:
- AI already solved coding. the next plausible field is math. math is deterministic, high corrigibility.
- if they solve math then they solve recursive self-improvement which is largely maths-based.
their internal model codenamed 'Doug' (largest potato in ever grown in the USA) is said to be behind the break-through
Meta's completely stolen the show in AI this month: 2 frontier models, #1 ranked AI agent muse and new custom inference chips going live
they're also officially the CHEAPEST frontier american lab, every single model / feature competes on intelligence-per-watt
the comeback must be studied.
post-image
META+5.12%
palantir and nvidia have stopped using claude/GPT when dealing with proprietary information due to concerns their data is being used to train a model that replaces them.
instead they're using claude + gpt to automate generic HR, finance, legal work then shifting to open source + air-gapped private servers for confidential work (codebases, drug designs, software).
anthropic, openai's argument is they need the data to prevent misaligned use.
post-image
PLTR+5.49%
NVDA-4.34%
assuming AI “solves” the toughest challenges in Math, physics, medicine over the next decade then the bigger picture is this - we’ve found a new way to scale the creation of knowledge
previous world: human intelligence + resources are limited. only so many “experts” to throw at an infinite list of unknowns
today: throw gpt 6 astra at it and pop out an answer in 3 days.
today this costs a lot of money (openai spent millions to solve Navier stokes) but eventually this will come down.
the sickest part is people will end up inventing more things much faster than we ever have - economic boom
gpt 6 genuinely feels like the first model in a while that feels like magic.
it just does what i tell it to do, works hours if needed but gets the job done to a very high quality. this is a step up similar to when o1 was released.
craziest part is it isn't even more intelligent! it barely beats sol 5.6 on most benchmarks lol but where it shines is its tool-use and ability to use a computer
we're finally at a point where we have models that can meaningfully automate harder tasks
i don't think people are pricing in the ramifications this has for work, leisure and interactions
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