165110

⚠️ Today's pre-market must monitor the five major risk points
Risk Factors Time Potential Impact
🏛️ Federal Reserve FOMC decision April 30, 2:00 AM Beijing Time If hawkish → BTC may test $72K; if dovish → margin call triggers
📊 ETF capital flows Need to watch April 29 data release If outflows further expand to >$200 million → selling pressure signal; inflow reversal → bullish signal
🛢️ Middle East situation changes All day at any time Sudden escalation of US-Iran conflict → BTC "digital gold" safe-haven buying; easing → geopolitical risk premium dissipates, suppressing prices
📉 Monthly clo

4.30 Minimal Memo Version | BTC Trading (News + Market Combined)
Core Tone
Macro is hawkish, inflation suppression, overall volatile and bearish, rebound during the day to short, and determine direction at 20:30 with data.
Key Time Nodes
09:30 China PMI
19:00 UK Bank of England Decision
20:15 European Central Bank Decision
20:30 US GDP + Core PCE (Today’s Biggest Turning Point)
Core Price Levels
Strong Support: 74900–75000
Short-term Support: 75400
Current Range: 75800–76000
Short-term Resistance: 76000–76200
Strong Resistance: 76800–77000
Short Selling (Main Strategy)
1. Enter short at 76000–

Smooth sailing, favorable winds, and abundant wealth

Trading involves six stages in total; only those who can endure through them are qualified to say they are consistently profitable.
First stage, the pure gambler stage, newcomers basically treat the market as a casino, themselves as gamblers, eyes only on ups and downs, chasing after rises, shorting on dips, making a little money and thinking they are chosen by heaven, losing and immediately placing another order, full of thoughts of getting rich overnight, always hoping to go all-in for a big win.
In this stage, there’s no need to learn technical skills; what’s most needed is awakening—re

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As a futures trader, you should not keep fluctuations and price movements constantly on your mind. So-called rallies, trends, and surges are essentially not directly related to you, because you are merely a contract range arbitrage trader. Not all market conditions can be captured, and even if you happen to catch a segment of the market during a trend, the market's repeated oscillations combined with your insufficient mental state and cultivation will prevent you from firmly holding your positions. Instead, you will exit prematurely during the price fluctuations, or even reverse and trade in t

- Intraday high has reached **2289**, but volume has contracted continuously from the strongest bar of 733 million to 193 million over three consecutive bars,**clear divergence between volume and price**
- Two consecutive hourly candles have shown long upper wicks in the 2278—2289 range, **significant top resistance**
- Current 24H gain of +7.73%, accumulated approximately 206 points from 2083, this round is already at an extreme stretch position
- 24H high of 2289, just one step away from the 2290 round level, which may accumulate a large number of sell orders
2289── Intraday high / Current u

Being trapped in a position is not a dead end—blind trading is the real risk! Here's a practical strategy for recovering from losses that I'm sharing with you:
Being in a losing position is normal. Don't panic, don't blindly cut losses, and don't stubbornly hold to the end.
• Light loss: Wait for a rebound, reduce positions in batches, and relieve position pressure;
• Deep loss: Reduce on rebounds + add small positions at lows, average down your cost, and wait for a recovery;
• Deteriorating trend: Stop losses decisively to prevent small losses from turning into major losses;
• Ranging market:

Long position entry: Enter in batches between 2,010-2,015 USDT, with a stop loss set at 1,998 USDT.
Short position entry: If resistance at 2,085-2,100 USDT holds without breaking, consider shorting, with a stop loss set at 2,110 USDT.
Profit-taking suggestions: For short-term longs, initially target 2,055 USDT; if trading volume recovers, then look at 2,085 USDT. For shorts, target 2,025 USDT; if broken, chase down to 2,007 USDT.
Key event impact

Lightly add to short-term longs above MA20, target 2,055-2,070, stop loss set at 2,015-2,000

ETH has fluctuated between 1929.06 and 2035.69 USDT over the past 7 days, with a total decline of 2.75%. Both daily and 15-minute charts show a bearish trend, with short-term prices breaking below the MA20, indicating a weakening trend. In the past 24 hours, there has been increased selling volume, market panic has intensified, and it has underperformed BTC.