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$PLTR Revenue Jumps 96% But Stock Falls - Info Heavy Read
$PLTR posted its highest growth rate ever, yet stock fell, a clear case of beat versus high bar.
Verified Prints - Current
• Revenue: 2.313 billion USD, up 96% year over year, highest growth rate in firm history, up 20% quarter over quarter, vs Street call 2.18 billion USD and 2.17 to 2.2 billion range. Beat near 130 million USD. • Adjusted EPS: 44 cents, up 95% year over year, vs 40 cents and 41 cents consensus per FactSet, vs 0.44 USD reported. Profit 1.13 billion USD, or 44 cents per share, up from 475.6 million USD a year ago. • US commercial revenue: 984 million USD, up 148% year over year, passing US government revenue for first time. • US government revenue: 953 million USD, up 96% year over year. • Total US revenue growth 119% per some tallies, showing US now core driver. • Contract value: total deals worth 2.9 billion USD in quarter, down from 3.4 billion USD prior quarter. US commercial contract value 1.463 billion USD, up 11%. • Stock: regular close 178.34 USD down 3.13% or -5.77 USD, after hours down 3% to 3.6%, premarket down 7.6% to 164.89 USD, early trade down over 7% to 164.66 USD, other premarket print 169.11 USD down about 5% from 178.34 close. Valuation over 400 billion USD.
Why Stock Fell Despite 96% Growth
1. High bar. Market priced 96% growth already, with stock up sharply year to date. Beat of 130 million USD is strong but not huge vs 2.18 billion view. 2. Deal slowdown. Total contract value fell from 3.4 billion to 2.9 billion quarter over quarter, even though revenue rose. Investors watch contract value as forward gauge, so drop raised worry about ability to keep breakneck pace. 3. Valuation. At over 400 billion USD market cap, $PLTR trades at high multiple. Even with profit more than doubling, multiple compresses if growth slows. 4. Mix shift. US commercial passing government is bullish long term, but government is sticky, commercial is more cyclical. Some holders see mix shift as higher risk.
What Was Strong
• US commercial 148% growth shows AI platform adoption in private sector. • Government 96% growth shows defense and public sector still expanding. • Profit more than doubled, showing operating leverage. • Revenue up 20% quarter over quarter, showing momentum intact.
Trader Read
Support: 164.66 to 164.89 premarket low, then 169.11 premarket print. If 164 area holds with volume, bounce toward 178.34 close possible.
Resistance: 178.34 prior close, then 180 to 185 zone. Close above 178.34 with strong volume needed to reclaim up trend.
For long term, 96% growth, 2.313 billion USD revenue and 1.13 billion USD profit with US commercial now larger than government is a structural shift. For short term, watch contract value trend and guide for next quarter. If next quarter guide shows total deal value back above 3.4 billion USD, stock could recover. If deal value stays near 2.9 billion USD, chop may persist.
This is classic beat and fade: record growth, but market asks can you repeat it?
#PalantirRevenueJumps96ButStockFalls #ShareWeekly $PLTR