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【Jinse Finance · Members Only】November 2 Trading Plan
Market: BTC 78102, high 78843, low 77570. ETH 2287, high 2320, low 2246. Fear and Greed Index 37, recovering for three consecutive days.
Key divergence: ETH is already above the 4H MA30 (2278), while BTC has not cleared its MA30 (78532); it surged to 78843 last night and was pushed back. Favor stronger assets for longs and weaker ones for shorts.
Three plans for today
1️⃣ ETH breakout long (first choice): Go long on a retest of 2310 after breaking above 2320, stop-loss 2280, target 2370, risk-reward ratio 1:2
2️⃣ BTC rebound short (second choice): Go short if momentum stalls on a rebound to 78500–78600, stop-loss 78900, target 78100, then watch 77600, risk-reward ratio 1:2.7
3️⃣ BTC pullback long (backup): Go long if price stabilizes at 77950–78000, stop-loss 77550, target 78530, risk-reward ratio 1:2
Two no-trade zones: 78100 is the middle ground—stay out; don't short ETH.
Risks this week: Midterm elections on November 3, nonfarm payrolls on November 6, and a 72% probability of a rate hike in December. Keep positions small.
In a word: This is a recovery phase, not a reversal; stay out of the middle ground.
You need to pay close attention to trading volume, and especially to aggressive buying and selling