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During the early Asian session on the 14th, after the market experienced a “deep V” plunge overnight (BTC 80,986, ETH 2,407), it has now entered a phase of sideways consolidation and recovery following the sharp drop.
Overall assessment: The bearish trend on the larger time frame (1D) remains unchanged, while the momentum of the short- to medium-term (1H/4H) oversold rebound has weakened. The market is currently in “weak consolidation below resistance.” Bull-bear strength: Short-term bulls and bears are balanced (sideways with a weak bias), with extremely heavy selling pressure overhead.
As volatility will surge sharply at 21:00 tonight (on the eve of the U.S. session), today’s daytime-session strategy should focus on “selling into strength and buying into weakness within the range, with quick entries and exits.”
Position management: A second retest of the lows often follows a sharp plunge. Do not go all-in at once; build positions in batches and keep sufficient funds in reserve for adding to positions.
Mindset control: In a sideways market, MACD and KDJ will frequently become less responsive. Focus on candlestick patterns (such as upper shadows and engulfing patterns) and trading volume. If a rebound lacks volume, it is most likely a bull trap and may fall again at any time.#韩林博士受邀牛津大学辩论社演讲