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Current Price: $2,552.75
24h Range: $2,496.52 to $2,578.45
Weekly Chart Analysis
The weekly timeframe shows the price has recovered from the lower Bollinger Band at $1,355. The asset is currently trading above the middle Bollinger Band, which sits at $2,139. The upper band is located at $2,923, marking a long-term resistance level. The MACD indicator remains in negative territory, but the downward momentum is decreasing.
Daily Chart Analysis
On the daily chart, the price is trading below the middle Bollinger Band at $2,640. The recent local high was $2,806, which now acts as resistance. The lower Bollinger Band is at $2,477. The MACD lines are below the zero level, with DIF at -4.42 and DEA at 24.40. This indicates that the broader trend remains under pressure, and buyers need to reclaim the $2,640 level to confirm a trend reversal.
4-Hour Chart Analysis
The 4-hour chart shows a recovery from the recent low of $2,405. The price is currently testing the upper Bollinger Band at $2,558. The middle band at $2,511 serves as immediate support. The MACD on this timeframe shows DIF at 4.98 and DEA at 17.45. The histogram is negative but shrinking, indicating that selling pressure is easing.
Key Levels for Monday
Resistance: $2,558, $2,640, $2,806
Support: $2,511, $2,464, $2,405
What to Expect on Monday
The market is at a decision point. The price is compressed between the middle and upper Bollinger Bands on the 4-hour chart.
Bullish Scenario: If the price breaks and closes above $2,558 with increasing volume, the next target is the daily middle band at $2,640. A close above $2,640 would open the way toward $2,806.
Bearish Scenario: If the price fails to hold $2,558 and drops below the 4-hour middle band at $2,511, a retest of the lower band at $2,464 is likely. Losing $2,464 would bring the recent low of $2,405 back into focus.
Strategy
Given the current compression, opening leveraged positions at the current price carries higher risk. It is preferable to wait for a confirmed breakout above $2,560 or a pullback to the $2,460 to $2,480 zone to evaluate entry points. Risk management should remain strict.
This is not financial advice.
$ETH
Tom Lee said in an interview that Ethereum could rise to $25,000–$50,000 in this cycle and may exceed $5,000 by the end of the year. According to him, ETH has been trading in the same range for five years, and prolonged accumulation could form the basis for a major breakout. If Bitcoin rises above $100,000, ETH could reach approximately $7,500.
It is important to understand: this is a forecast, not a guarantee. Traders, according to the prediction market, estimate the probability of reaching $5,000 by the end of 2026 at just 4%.
Weekly chart (1W): price below the Bollinger middle band
On the weekly timeframe, ETH is trading around $2,501. The Bollinger middle band (MB) is at $2,110, the upper band (UB): $2,869, and the lower band (LB): $1,351.
The price is holding above the middle band, preserving the global uptrend, but it is still far from the upper channel boundary. MACD on the weekly chart: the histogram is positive (100.69), while the DIF and DEA lines are near the zero mark, indicating weak but not negative momentum. Weekly OBV is declining, indicating a lack of significant inflows on this timeframe.
Daily chart (1D): attempt to hold above support
The daily timeframe provides a more precise picture. The price of $2,501 is below the Bollinger middle band ($2,648), which technically indicates weakness. The upper band: $2,818, and the lower band: $2,478.
MACD on the daily chart: the histogram is negative (-35.59), but the DIF and DEA lines are converging—the downward momentum is slowing. Daily OBV is also declining, indicating that selling is prevailing. The nearest support is the lower Bollinger band at $2,478; resistance is the middle band at $2,648.
4-hour chart (4H): consolidation near the lower band
On the 4-hour timeframe, the price of $2,501 is slightly above the Bollinger middle band ($2,496). The bands are: UB — $2,548, LB — $2,444.
MACD on the 4H chart is only beginning to form: the histogram is slightly positive (8.02), while DIF (-27.02) and DEA (-35.05) remain in negative territory. This indicates a possible reversal, but there is no confirmation yet. 24-hour volume is 506.13K ETH, which is below average. OBV on the 4H chart is declining, confirming the absence of aggressive buying.
Conclusion
The technical picture on the ETH charts looks neutral and cautious. The price is trapped between support at $2,444–$2,478 and resistance at $2,548–$2,648. For Tom Lee’s scenario to materialize, the upper boundary of the daily Bollinger channel ($2,818) must be broken with rising volumes. For now, the market is in a consolidation phase, and the forecast remains just a forecast and nothing more.
#EthereumUpOver71%inQ3
$ETH {currencycard:futures}(ETH_USDT)