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2026.9.28 Morning Intraday Analysis of BTC/ETH/XAU/U.S. Stocks
The market started dumping early Monday, forcing longs into a squeeze. After an extended sideways period without gains, the China-U.S. talks failed to generate any substantive sentiment-driven positive catalyst, while the U.S.-Iran conflict has been starting and stopping. The market has not seen the expected sentiment, and a wave of short-term positions has fled;
XAU first: the average price for the 4310 long and the 4225 add-on position is around 4268. If 4185-4200 breaks and the decline continues with increasing volume, reduce the position by 70% decisively, lowering the add-on position and part of the 4310 position; afterward, there is no need to rush to add. The 4255 XAU long and XAG 63.4 long were already advised over the weekend to be reduced to preserve principal and limit losses; nothing wrong with that;
BTC support/resistance levels: 87550/85150/78425/75475
It is currently within the broad 85150-78425 range. A minor short-term downtrend is emerging. Do not go long for now today. If there is no strong reclaim of 85150 tonight, this week will temporarily focus on shorting rebounds with stop losses; do not rush into longs;
ETH support/resistance levels: 2750//2525/2400/2225/2100
The intermediate support/resistance zone is 2600-2625; the minor short-term downtrend in the current pullback is gradually emerging across the 1h/2h/4h charts; do not buy the dip. Assess market conditions tonight; the approach is consistent with BTC!
U.S. stocks are under pressure today, with a high probability of opening lower tonight; I will assess after the opening;
Reduced SUI again; the remaining position is around 1/3. Reduced TRUMP to around 1/5 remaining; in short, reduce profitable altcoin positions in batches and in sequence!
Trading suggestions do not constitute any investment basis: this is not about abandoning expectations for a November rebound, but short- and medium-term upward momentum is temporarily weak and short-term indicators have deteriorated. Controlling position sizes, reducing holdings, and locking in most profits is never a wrong trade! Moreover, the originally estimated first November target of 85150-87550 was completed ahead of schedule last week, so not a single bit of the planned reduction should be skipped!
#GateBTC现货交易量跻身前三