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I. Fading hype is the core reason for the revenue decline
1. The Meme coin market is cooling: Robinhood Chain’s recent revenue has been highly dependent on speculative trading of Meme coins, such as PONS. Such trading is characterized by hype rising and fading quickly. As early profit-taking and cooling market sentiment have set in, on-chain trading volume and fees (Gas) have contracted significantly, directly causing on-chain revenue to decline.
2. Market sentiment and fund diversion: The collapse of some Meme coins, such as laptop, and the legal and compliance risks facing the stock Meme narrative have dampened the market’s FOMO (fear of missing out), causing funds to flow elsewhere and reducing on-chain trading activity.
3. Impact of declining subsidies: Some on-chain trading activity depended on initial Gas subsidies. As subsidy thresholds were lowered or subsidies expired, some “airdrop farmers” and short-term arbitrage funds exited, further amplifying the decline in trading volume.
II. Short-term correction and structural factors
1. Natural pullback after a high base: Driven by the earlier Meme coin boom, Robinhood Chain’s revenue reached a historical peak, such as $5.44 million in a single day. Without sustained incremental capital, its decline to a normal range, such as $1.42 million, is a natural adjustment following a high base.
2. Exposure of risks from a single-structured ecosystem: Robinhood Chain still relies heavily on the Meme coin ecosystem, while officially promoted real-world asset (RWA) sectors such as tokenized stocks remain in the development phase and have yet to form a “second growth curve” capable of fully taking over from Meme coins. As speculative hype fades, the fragility of its single-source revenue structure becomes apparent.
Summary: Robinhood Chain’s revenue decline is mainly due to fading hype caused by the cooling Meme coin cycle and the withdrawal of short-term funds, compounded by a natural pullback after a high base. If the chain cannot quickly transition from being “speculation-driven” to “real-asset-driven,” the impact of fading hype may persist. $PONS