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I woke up this Sunday Morning, checked BTC first, and honestly the market feels unusually quiet.
Bitcoin is still sitting around the high-$70K area, and weekend price action hasn’t given me a strong directional signal yet. That’s not necessarily bearish or bullish to me. It simply tells me that the market is waiting for the next real liquidity window.
And that’s why I’m more interested in what happens on Monday than what BTC does today.
The biggest thing sitting in the background is still the U.S. inflation report.
August CPI came in at 0.4% month over month and 3.4% year over year, while core CPI increased 0.3% MoM and 2.4% YoY. The headline number was broadly in line with expectations, but inflation remains well above the Fed’s 2% target. More importantly, the report pushed expectations toward a possible September rate hike rather than giving markets the clean dovish signal that risk assets wanted.
That changes the way I’m looking at BTC.
Bitcoin can still move higher even when macro conditions are uncomfortable, but I don’t want to assume that a quiet weekend automatically means a Monday breakout.
For BTC, my first job on Monday will be to watch market structure and liquidity around the $75K–$80K zone.
The $75K area is particularly important for me because it has been identified as a key downside level in current market positioning. If BTC holds above that area and starts producing higher lows with stronger volume, I would become more comfortable looking for continuation toward the psychological $80K area and beyond.
But if BTC loses the important support zone and the breakdown comes with expanding volume, I would not rush into a long just because the price looks cheaper.
I’d rather wait for the market to prove that the breakdown was a fakeout or that buyers have actually stepped back in.
The macro side is equally important.
If Treasury yields and the dollar continue getting support from the more hawkish Fed expectations, that can create pressure on Bitcoin and other high-beta assets. Recent market coverage has specifically highlighted yields and oil as important variables for BTC after the CPI release.
So my Monday checklist is simple:
BTC above support + higher lows + improving volume = bullish setup.
BTC rejection near resistance + lower highs = patience.
BTC breakdown with strong selling volume = protect capital first.
I’m also not planning to jump aggressively into altcoins before BTC shows direction. When Bitcoin is uncertain, altcoins can give attractive-looking setups that disappear very quickly.
For me, the opportunity right now is not predicting the exact next candle.
It’s preparing both sides.
If BTC confirms strength after Monday liquidity returns, I’ll look for selective longs. If macro pressure takes control and BTC breaks support, I’ll wait for confirmation instead of trying to catch a falling market.
That’s my Sunday view.
The market looks calm right now, but the macro background is anything but calm.
Sunday is for preparation. Monday is for confirmation.
I’ll let BTC show me the direction before I decide which side deserves my trade.
#GateMeme #GateLaunchesTrenchesWith0GasFee #AppleEvent @GateSquare @Gate_Square
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① Sign up for the event 👉 https://www.gate.com/campaigns/6244
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💬 This week’s hot topic
U.S. CPI rose 0.4% month-on-month in August, the highest since June; the annual rate was 3.4%, unchanged from the previous reading. Both figures were in line with expectations. How will this affect expectations for Federal Reserve policy, and what market opportunities will it bring?
💡 Discussion
1️⃣ Will the CPI data change market expectations for the Federal Reserve’s rate-cut path?
2️⃣ How will crypto/stock assets react in the short term?
3️⃣ Which trading opportunities are you most bullish on under current market conditions?
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Event details: https://www.gate.com/announcements/article/101691