#ShareWeekly
Weekend charts can be misleading because liquidity is thinner, so I’m not interested in forcing a trade today. I’m more interested in where BTC, ETH and gold are positioned before next week’s Fed decision.

BTC is hovering around $77K after failing to stay above the $79K–$80K area. The recent session range reached roughly $76.4K on the downside, so that is the first area I want bulls to defend. If BTC reclaims $79K and then breaks $80K with acceptance above it, the next upside zone I would watch is around $82K–$83K.

The opposite side is important too. A clean loss of $76K, followed by a failed reclaim, would tell me sellers are gaining control. In that case I would rather wait for a lower support to form than assume every dip is a buying opportunity.

ETH is showing less strength than I would like. Price is around the $2.5K area, with $2.4K acting as the important downside reference and roughly $2.53K as the first meaningful recovery level. A reclaim of $2.53K and a push through $2.6K would make the ETH structure much healthier. Losing $2.4K would shift my short-term bias back toward sellers.

Gold is giving a different picture. Spot gold finished Friday around $4,363 after recovering more than 1% from the previous weakness, but it still ended the week lower. The $4,300 area is now important support, while $4,400 is the first recovery barrier and $4,500 is the bigger upside resistance.

The macro connection is what makes next week interesting. August U.S. CPI rose 0.4% month-on-month and 3.4% year-on-year, while core CPI increased 0.3% month-on-month. Markets are now pricing around an 85% chance of a 25-basis-point Fed hike at the September 15–16 meeting.

So my bullish crypto scenario is not simply “BTC is cheap.” I want BTC above $80K and ETH above $2.53K with follow-through. That would suggest risk appetite is returning despite the rate pressure.

My bearish scenario is BTC losing $76K and ETH losing $2.4K while Treasury yields remain elevated. That combination would make me defensive and look for lower levels instead of averaging into weakness.

For gold, holding $4,300 keeps the recovery alive. A decisive break above $4,400 would improve the upside setup, while losing $4,300 would warn that the Fed/yield pressure is becoming dominant.

My strategy for next week is confirmation first, position second. I would rather miss the first move than enter before the market proves the direction.

Risk stays at 1–2% of capital per trade. Wider invalidation means smaller position size; leverage does not change that rule.

My weekend bias is neutral-to-cautious. BTC above $80K, ETH above $2.53K and gold above $4,400 would turn me more bullish. BTC below $76K, ETH below $2.4K and gold below $4,300 would shift the map decisively bearish.

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$BTC

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