#AugustCPIDropsTonight
#8月CPI今晚公布
Last night before going to sleep, I kept thinking about what the market might look like when I woke up.

My thought was pretty simple: if inflation data kept coming in hot and oil remained elevated, Bitcoin could face another wave of selling before the CPI even arrived.

Then I woke up, checked the market, and honestly… it played out almost exactly the way I had imagined.

Bitcoin had already been pushed down toward the $76K area, and the reason was becoming clearer. The latest U.S. PPI data showed producer prices rising faster than expected, keeping the inflation debate alive and making traders more cautious about the Fed’s next move.

Now the real test is August CPI.

That is the number I’m watching more closely than the noise on social media. The important question isn't simply whether CPI is “good” or “bad.” What matters is whether the actual numbers change expectations for inflation, Treasury yields and the Fed’s policy path.

If core CPI comes in around the expected 0.2% monthly increase, I wouldn't automatically chase a long. I want to see how Bitcoin reacts after the first volatility spike.

If inflation comes in hotter, the $75.8K area becomes very important for me. A clean breakdown could open the door to another leg lower.

But if CPI surprises to the downside and yields start cooling, the setup changes completely. Bitcoin has already taken a lot of pressure, so a softer inflation print could trigger a sharp relief move as shorts rush to cover.

This is why I don't like trading CPI purely on a prediction.

Last night I had one scenario in my head. This morning, the market gave me the first part of it.

Now I’m waiting to see whether tonight’s CPI confirms that idea — or completely invalidates it.

$BTC

‌@Gate_Square