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PONS JUST LOST ITS PARABOLIC MOMENTUM — BUT IS THIS A REVERSAL OR A RESET?

PONS/USDT is now trading around $0.81, after falling more than 15% from its recent highs. The move looks dramatic, but the bigger picture matters more than a single red session.

PONS had climbed to an ATH near $0.9710 on September 5, following an extraordinary run that pushed its weekly performance close to +192% and its monthly gain toward an astonishing 3,000%.

After a move of that magnitude, a sharp correction should not come as a surprise.

The market is now moving from euphoria to price discovery through consolidation.

Early holders have a strong incentive to secure profits, while traders who entered near the top are suddenly facing much higher volatility. That combination can create aggressive selling even when the underlying ecosystem continues expanding.

THE LEVEL THAT MATTERS NOW

For me, the most important zone is $0.75–$0.80.

PONS is currently sitting just above that area, making it the first serious test for buyers.

If this zone absorbs the selling pressure and volume begins stabilizing, the correction could develop into a healthy consolidation rather than a complete trend breakdown.

A recovery above $0.85 would be the first sign that buyers are regaining control.

From there, the market would face $0.90, followed by the previous ATH around $0.97.

A clean breakout through $0.97 would reopen price discovery, while $1.00 becomes the major psychological milestone.

But there is another side to the chart.

If $0.75 breaks decisively with strong selling volume, the structure becomes considerably weaker and $0.65 becomes the next major downside zone I would monitor.

VOLUME IS THE REAL SIGNAL

Price alone doesn't tell the whole story.

If PONS continues falling while selling volume expands, that would suggest active distribution rather than simple profit-taking.

But if price stabilizes around $0.75–$0.80 while selling volume starts declining, the market could be signaling that the strongest wave of profit realization is finally being absorbed.

The bullish confirmation I would want is simple:

Support holds → selling pressure fades → buyers return → $0.85 gets reclaimed.

Without that sequence, a temporary bounce could simply provide another exit opportunity for holders who bought much lower.

WHY THE STORY IS STILL INTERESTING

PONS is closely connected with the rapidly expanding Robinhood Chain ecosystem, where its token-creation activity has generated significant attention and fee volume.

That fundamental growth helps explain why the token attracted such an aggressive repricing.

But strong ecosystem activity does not remove valuation risk.

After a near-vertical rally, liquidity, leverage and market psychology become just as important as fundamentals.

MY MARKET VIEW

At around $0.81, I am:

BEARISH ON SHORT-TERM MOMENTUM, BUT NOT READY TO CALL THE ENTIRE TREND DEAD.

The market needs to prove whether $0.75–$0.80 can become a base.

Bullish path:
$0.80 holds → $0.85 → $0.90 → $0.97 → $1.00

Bearish path:
$0.75 breaks → $0.65 becomes the next major zone.

PONS has already shown that it can move violently in either direction.

The next big question isn't how high the next green candle can go.

It is whether buyers can defend the first major support after the biggest rally of the cycle.

That answer could determine whether this is simply a profit-taking reset — or the beginning of a deeper correction.

PONS: ~$0.81 | ATH: $0.9710 | Key Support: $0.75–$0.80 | Major Downside: $0.65 | Breakout Zone: $0.97–$1.00

Not financial advice. Always manage risk in high-volatility assets.
@Gate_Square
This page may contain third-party content, which is provided for information purposes only (not representations/warranties) and should not be considered as an endorsement of its views by Gate, nor as financial or professional advice. See Disclaimer for details.
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