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$TSLA Tesla stock started the new week with a strong rise. TSLA gained 4.89% as of August 31, reaching $365.80. This increase made it the best-performing stock of the day in both the S&P 500 and Nasdaq 100 indices.
So what's behind this rise?
A New Perception of the Energy Sector
A weekend announcement by Elon Musk created a new perception in the markets. Musk announced that Tesla and SpaceX are each building 100 GW of solar power generation capacity annually. This announcement took Tesla's energy business to a completely different perspective. As AI data centers increasingly consume electricity, creating new demand in the energy sector, Tesla's energy storage and solar power business appears to have the potential to fill this gap.
Musk also stated that SpaceX could accelerate the commissioning time of natural gas turbines by casting internal blades for these turbines, bringing the time to start up to 18 months. This detail was interpreted by investors as a sign of the deepening competitiveness of the Tesla energy ecosystem.
Paradigm Shift in Autonomous Driving
Tesla is also at the forefront of a significant transformation in autonomous driving technology. The company has completely abandoned LiDAR sensors and pre-mapped high-resolution maps, previously considered indispensable for autonomous driving. Instead, it is adopting a system that works with 8 camera sensors and advanced artificial intelligence neural networks.
Tesla is making a massive investment in end-to-end (E2E) model training using tens of thousands of Nvidia GPU clusters. This approach reflects a paradigm shift in autonomous driving. While in the traditional method, the perception, decision-making, and control phases are coded separately, in the E2E method, the entire process is taught to a single artificial intelligence neural network.
Excitement and Tension Regarding Robotaxi
Tesla's Cybercab event, to be held on September 3rd, is another source of excitement in the markets. News that Cybercabs have begun unmanned operations in Austin, along with statements from Tesla officials, had a positive impact on the stock.
However, there are voices opposing this optimism. Gary Black of Future Fund questions the optimistic assumptions used in robotaxi valuations. Black states that robotaxi services could rapidly become commodified and that valuation models in this area are based on unrealistic market dominance assumptions.
Financials and Challenges
Looking at Tesla's key indicators, the situation appears more complex. While the company's second-quarter revenue increased by 26 percent to $28.24 billion, adjusted earnings per share fell significantly short of expectations.
The $250 billion capital expenditure plan, particularly investments in the Optimus robot project and artificial intelligence infrastructure, is putting pressure on margins. In fact, the company's free cash flow turned negative from positive, and the operating margin fell from 4 percent to 1.4 percent.
The current price-to-earnings ratio is 338. This ratio is well above the historical median of 107, indicating that the market has significant growth expectations for Tesla.
Tesla has caught a wave of short-term optimism in the markets with its breakthroughs in energy and autonomous driving. However, it's important to remember that the company still faces significant margin pressures and high valuation risk. In the coming period, investors will closely watch how both the robotaxi launch and the $250 billion investment plan will impact profitability.
This information is not investment advice. Do your own research.