‍#Gate股票观点挑战 + $SPCX

$150 is a realistic near-term rebound target for $SPCX, but I’d treat it as a technical resistance level, not yet proof that a new major rally has begun.

$SPCX has a viable pathway to rebound back above $150, but it hinges on holding the $130–$135 support zone and breaking key overhead technical resistance.

The recent liquidity event—the 20% unlock wave on August 26, 2026—initially pressured pre-IPO asset certificates/tokenized shares, causing prices to swing between the $108 low and $140 resistance. Now that the initial unlock sell-off has been absorbed, whether this strength represents a sustainable rally or a temporary relief bounce comes down to key technical levels and market dynamics.
The interesting part is that the unlock itself hasn't produced the sustained selling pressure bears expected. The first major unlock made up to 911.5M shares eligible, while another 319M shares became eligible around Aug. 20. Yet the stock has repeatedly found buyers after unlock-related weakness
My framework:

$135: key pivot — roughly the IPO price and an important psychological level.

$140–145: first area that needs to be reclaimed decisively.

$150: major test. A clean breakout above $150 with strong volume would make the rebound much more convincing.

Above $150: momentum could accelerate toward the previous higher trading zones.

Below $130–135: the bullish rebound thesis becomes much weaker.

My view: moderately bullish. If SPCX can absorb the continuing unlock supply and establish $140+ as support, $150 looks achievable. But I wouldn't call it a confirmed new rally until $150 is reclaimed and held.
Bullish vs. Bearish Drivers
Bullish Catalysts: Institutional accumulation and post-unlock supply absorption indicate strong underlying demand for space/satellite internet exposure.

Bearish Risks: A secondary unlock scheduled for September 2026 could bring another wave of insider liquidity to market, potentially capping gains if overall market sentiment turns risk-averse.

Can $SPCX break back above $150 after the unlock? The post-unlock absorption for $SPCX has shown strong resilience, bouncing off the $130 support and moving back toward the $140 resistance line.

Bull Case: If $SPCX can break and hold above $140, momentum will likely carry it toward the key $150–$151 Fibonacci pivot zone. A break past $150 clears the path to $160–$180.

Bear Case: Failing to break $140 could keep price action range-bound, with another test of the $130 support before the next unlock phase.

My View: I’m cautiously bullish as long as $130 holds. The post-unlock volume shows institutional absorption rather than panic selling! What’s your target?
‍$SPCX